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RICH MAN, POOR MAN: Income Inequality
Filmed on July 18, 2001
How much does the gap between rich and poor matter? In 1979, for every dollar the poorest fifth of the American population earned, the richest fifth earned nine. By 1997, that gap had increased to fifteen to one. Is this growing income inequality a serious problem? Is the size of the gap between rich and poor less important than the poor's absolute level of income? In other words, should we focus on reducing the income gap or on fighting poverty?
Guests:
Bruce Bartlett Bruce Bartlett is a senior fellow at the National Center for Policy Analysis.
Peter Orszag Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution
Streaming video:
Transcript:
Peter Robinson: Today on Uncommon Knowledge, Rich Man, Poor Man. Does the gap between rich and poor really matter?
Announcer: Funding for this program is provided by the John M. Olin
Foundation and the Starr Foundation.
[Music]
Peter Robinson: Welcome to Uncommon Knowledge, I'm Peter Robinson. Our
show today, income inequality. Monopoly, the classic game of cut
throat capitalism, all the players start equal, but by the end of the
game, one player ends up holding all the dough. Is something
similar happening in America itself? Consider a couple of statistics.
In 1979, for every one hundred dollars earned by the poorest one-fifth of the population, the richest one-fifth earned nine hundred
dollars. By 1997, that gap, nine to one, had increased to fifteen to
one. On the very face of it, income inequality this dramatic looks
like a serious problem, but is it?
Joining us today two guests. Bruce Bartlett is a Senior Fellow at the
National Center for Policy Analysis. Peter Orszag is a Senior
Fellow at the Brookings Institution and a former Special Assistant
for Economic Policy to President Clinton.
Title: Mind the Gap
Peter Robinson: The economist, Thorsten Veblen in his famous study, "The Theory
of the Leader Class, " published in 1899, quote, "The accumulation
of wealth at the upper end of the pecuniary scale implies privation
at the other end," closed quote. Does Veblen's statement have any
bearing on the American economy today?
Peter Orszag: Yes, it does have some bearing. Uh, there are, uh--the situation's
different if the inequality associated with losses at the bottom
instead of gains at the bottom, but regardless of the losses or gains
at the bottom, higher in--inequality does impose costs on society.
Peter Robinson: All right, the rich getting richer implies that the poor are getting
poorer?
Peter Orszag: Not necessarily poorer but there are, um, many reasons to think that
even if the poor are getting slightly richer, if the rich are getting
much richer, that that is--that causes problems.
Peter Robinson: Bruce?
Bruce Bartlett: Uh, I think Veblen was operating under an assumption implicit, uh,
that the pie is fixed, and the pie is not fixed.
[Talking at same time]
Peter Robinson: So if John D. Rockefeller has more, than I have less.
Bruce Bartlett: That would be true if--if the size of the economic pie was the same,
then obviously any--any one person's gain must come at somebody
else's loss. Uh, but that's not true because the pie is getting bigger
all the time. Uh, basically everybody's getting richer. It's just that
some people are getting richer faster than others.
Peter Robinson: Which brings us to the question of the income gap. From a paper
by the Economic Policy Institute, again I quote, "Income inequality,
the gap between those at the top, middle, and bottom of the income
scale has grown significantly throughout the past two decades and
remains higher than at any other time in the post-war era. Would
you explain that finding?
Peter Orszag: Sure, basically what's happened over the past twenty years is that,
uh, income at the very top of the income distribution has increased
very rapidly. According to data from the congressional budget
office, the top one percent of income distribution between 1979 and
1997 increased their income by over a hundred and fifty percent, in
real, inflation adjusted terms. The bottom twenty percent witnessed
a decline in income of about three or four percent.
Peter Robinson: Okay, Bruce, do you contest the finding?
Bruce Bartlett: Oh--those--those data as he explain--uh, sites them, are--are
correct, uh, but I think that it's--it all--it makes a lot of difference
when you start the clock. Uh, basically, the re--uh, we've had a
problem with--with the growth of productivity over the last three
decades, uh, that has contributed to this situation.
Peter Robinson: So the seven--you'd include the 70's where…
[Talking at same time]
Bruce Bartlett: Yeah, I--I--I…
Peter Robinson: …in the 80's?
Bruce Bartlett: Right, and I think that using 1979 as many people do, uh, is--is not
a fair base year for comparison. I think it's more, uh--because the
whole idea of that is to try to, uh, use the--the big decline
in--in--in income that oc--uh, occurred in 1980 and 81' and 82' as
a res--purely as a result of the recessions, uh, to make it seem like
that was somehow policy driven.
Peter Robinson: Okay, but let me ask you this. You're making various adjustments,
but you would not deny the overall trend, which is that the
dispersion--a dispersion has taken place, uh, and it has--and the
income gap has widened. You don't deny that?
Bruce Bartlett: No I do not deny that at all.
Peter Robinson: Okay, so we have agreement on…
Peter Robinson: Our guests agree, the income gap is widening, now let's see whether
they think they it makes any difference.
Title: Movin' On Up
Peter Robinson: University of Michigan has what it calls the panel survey in income
dynamics has been collecting detailed information on fifty thousand
and more Americans since 1968. Now, this is for you; the study
found that of those in the bottom quintile, the bottom fifth in 1975,
only five percent were still there in 1991. That is to say, over a
period of sixteen years, ninety-five percent of those who started in
the bottom one-fifth of income distribution, moved up.
Bruce Bartlett: And some at the top moved down.
Peter Robinson: And some at the top moved down but if we're concerned with
the--with--with the disadvantage in society, those at the bottom,
they're moving up. Let me quote to you; economist Michael Cox
and Richard Alan have studied all this data, quote, "These results go
a long way toward quelling fears that the United States is becoming
polarized between rich and poor. What's particularly encouraging
is the ability of those who start out in the lowest income brackets to
jump into the middle and upper quintiles, most Americans are
making their way up the income ladder," closed quote. Peter?
Peter Orszag: That data set is a very useful data set. Unfortunately those authors
have, uh, not studied the data in a rigorous way. Peter Gottschalk at
Boston College, Tim Smeeding and others who have examined the
same--exact same data set have found that if you look at families in
the bottom quintile…
Peter Robinson: As opposed to individuals?
Peter Orszag: As opposed to individuals, and we'll come back to that in a second.
Families in the bottom quintile in the late 1960's and then look at
where they are in the early 1990's, the answer is, roughly forty-percent of the people--the--sorry, the families in the bottom
quintile in the late 1960's are still there in the early 1990's. Two-thirds are either in the bottom quintile or the second to bottom
quintile, and only five percent have made it to the top quintile. Now
why--why such dramatically different results? There are several
reasons. One of the most important is, by looking at individuals,
you're including in the bottom quintile people like my daughter in
fifteen years, or sixteen years. She's going to college; she looks
like she's got very low income.
Peter Robinson: You mean in sixteen years she'll be going to college?
Peter Orszag: Exactly…
Peter Robinson: Okay.
Peter Orszag: We hope. Uh, it looks--it will look like she has very low income
but that's a very misleading, uh, indication of her financial
resources and lifetime resources. Basically, to look at the family is
a more illuminating perspective. That's the first point. The second
point, which is very important, is there is no evidence that this
mobility has increased over time. So if we're looking at the trends
in inequality over time, the only way that that would be offset by
mobility is if mobility were rising over time. And regardless of the
level of mobility, there is no evidence that it's increased over time.
Peter Robinson: Okay, I know you to have a rigorously analytical mind, and it
sounds to me as though he's put an analytical conundrum for you.
If indeed the income dispersion is widening, we must not merely
have mobility but increased rates of mobility.
Bruce Bartlett: That's not true. Why should there be increased rates in mobility? I
think you're--you're setting up a straw man. You're making an
argument that has nothing whatsoever to do with the point. Uh,
historically the people who are worried about inequality have
denied the existence of mobility, and they've only responded to it
because people like myself and people like, uh, Cox and a--a--and
a number of other people have made this argument. And now
they're trying furiously to undermine it by setting up a straw man
and saying, well the rate of increase of, uh, mobility has not risen.
But the point--the very fact that mobility, and the fact that it's very
high and we can quibble about whether it's extremely high or only
moderately high…
Peter Robinson: Do you have any idea how…
Bruce Bartlett: …undermines the whole point…
Peter Orszag: Let--let me give you some…
Bruce Bartlett: …because the whole--the fundamental point of this whole
inequality debate from the point of view of people like Peter is that
the--is that essentially, if you're born poor, you're going to stay
poor your whole life. And the fer--the fact, the existence of
mobility, undermines and undercuts that whole argument.
Peter Robinson: All right. So the Gospel tells us, the poor you--you will have
always with you.
Bruce Bartlett: But not the same poor. Not the same poor.
[Talking at same time]
Peter Robinson: But your point is that it's a different poor from
different--from--from…
[Talking at same time]
Bruce Bartlett: That's right. That's exactly right.
Peter Robinson: Let's get back to those who remain at the bottom of the income
ladder, are they doing better or worse over time?
Title: For Better or Worse?
Peter Robinson: You said that in the University of Michigan study when you look at
families rather than individuals, you get something like forty
percent who stay in the bottom quintile for that period of a decade
and a half.
Peter Orszag: Well longer than that, but…
Peter Robinson: Longer than that, excuse me.
Peter Orszag: Twenty, twenty-five years.
Peter Robinson: Okay, for a couple of decades.
Peter Orszag: Right.
Peter Robinson: So would that suggest to you that about forty-percent, four out of
ten families that start out poor relative to the rest of the nation,
remain poor over time. We're talking about…
Peter Orszag: Yeah, and--and…
Peter Robinson: …forty percent who are persistently poor…
Peter Orszag: That's correct and another…
Peter Robinson: …and would you agree with a figure like that or what would you
think it is, twenty percent?
Bruce Bartlett: I don't deny that there is an element we used to call the underclass,
maybe we still do…
Peter Robinson: Okay.
Bruce Bartlett: …of--of people who tend to stay in the…
Peter Robinson: Fine--fine, I have now--this is an achievement for me, I have now
got--I have now got the conversation squared up for my next
question which is this. If we grant that there is an element, it may
be forty-percent, it may be lower, but there's an element, and it's
not negligible, of folks who stay in that bottom quintile, that is to
say, who are persistently poor. The question is, are they doing a
little bit better over time, that is--or are they getting poorer and
poorer--how bad off are they, is my question? Now, I revert to the
Michigan study. 1991, two-thirds of those who started in the
bottom quintile had achieved a better living standard than those in
the middle quintile in 1975. This is all quite confusing, but the
point that they're trying to make is that this rising tide lifts all boats,
it lifts boats at the to--it lifts the yachts faster, but the little
rowboats are rising too. That is to say, Peter, the rich are
undoubtedly getting richer, but the poor are getting richer too. So
what are you worried about?
Peter Orszag: Well first, it depends on the time period and so it's not necessarily
true. But let's take the time periods in which the poor are getting,
um, somewhat richer. What's the problem?
Peter Robinson: Yeah, exactly.
Peter Orszag: I think there're several things to say. First, even if you don't think
it's a bad thing for income inequality to be going up, it's certainly
not a good thing and it's not something that policymakers should be
encouraging, so we can come back to that.
Peter Robinson: Okay, yeah, I'd like--actually I will come back to that.
Peter Orszag: But secondly there--there is a problem and the problem has to do
with the social fabric of society. As the rich get much richer and the
poor get only a little bit richer, you--you pull at the social fabric
that holds together society, part of which is irrational or
psychological. People just--if you look at surveys, they don't
like--they would prefer not to have an income gain, than to have a
little income gain and have someone else get a much larger income
gain.
Bruce Bartlett: Does this mean the social fabric has gotten enormously better over
the last year when something like three trillion dollars of Nasdaq
wealth just evaporated? We've taken that all out of the pockets of
the rich. The rich are about three trillion dollars poorer today than
they were a year ago.
[Talking at the same time]
Peter Robinson: Does that gladden your heart?
Peter Orszag: No it doesn't, because what I was saying had to do with all else
being equal.
[Talking at the same time]
Peter Robinson: Let me--let me frame up the question a different way. We have a
nation in which, thanks be, the poor in this country--now there are
people with--who have problems with addiction, I mean there
are--there are pockets of--of undeniably serious poverty, but
generally speaking, poor people in this country look at any study
and they are able to eat, they have housing, they have VCR's,
automobiles, washing machines, microwaves. This is not poor by
the standards of humanity down through the ages.
Peter Orszag: I think you have to be a little bit careful. There have been lots of
studies that suggest that the poor have TV's and VCR's. One of the
reasons is, as Bruce pointed out in a paper that he wrote, the price of
television sets has fallen substantially over the last twenty…
Peter Robinson: But that's precisely what you would expect in an economy like this,
a dynamic economy. Even to be poor, you're better off than poor
folks were a few years ago…
Peter Orszag: But you…
Peter Robinson: …or in almost any other country.
Peter Orszag: Sorry. But you can't eat a--you can't eat a television set. If you
look at…
Peter Robinson: Yeah, but food prices have been falling too.
Peter Orszag: If you--if you look at deprivation in terms of was your gas or
electric, um, turned off, do you live in substandard housing, um,
were you evicted? A recent study in The Monthly Labor Review
said--looked at nine of those indicators and found that fifty-five
percent of poor families suffered from one of those problems, only
thirteen-percent of the rest of the population. So there is still a
significant difference, reg--despite the fact that a high percentage
of the poor have television sets.
Peter Robinson: Okay, let's clarify something, why should we pay attention to
income inequality rather than to absolute levels of poverty?
Title: Hoop Dreams
Peter Robinson: Robert Nozick, philosopher at Harvard uses this example, an
example similar to this, to talk about patterns of income
distribution. Professional basketball game, look at the people inside
the stadium. You've got people in the stands who are poorer as a
result of the game, they paid money to get in. On the court, you've
got a huge dispersion of incomes from the refs who get--I don't
know what they get per game but it's not all that much, up to the top
two or three stars on either team and they have a huge income from
one night bouncing a ball up and down the court. Is anybody
alarmed? Is anybody harmed? Of course not, the people who are
poorer are happy to be poorer, they wanted to see the game. The
stars are simply benefiting from what their strange skills command
in a market economy. The point is this, the mere pattern of wealth
distr--income distribution tells you nothing about whether the
in--whether that pattern has any moral content, whether it's good or
whether it's bad. So, how do you respond to that? That you look at
a pattern and somehow say this is bad?
Peter Orszag: There--there--there is evidence suggesting that--again, for any
given level of aggregate income, the more unequal that income is,
uh, there are a variety of problems that could arise in the long-run.
Studies have suggested that long-term growth rates are lower the
more unequal the society is. Studies have also suggested, although
the evidence here is less clear in my opinion, that the health for the
average person--the health status of the average person is worse the
higher that level of inequality--whatever the aggregate level.
Peter Robinson: Why?
Peter Orszag: The--the argument--the argument--the argument…
Bruce Bartlett: It's based on statistical comparisons of different countries, uh,
poorer countries tend to have more unequal distributions. We all
know you go to Latin American, there's very wide, uh, disper--uh,
you know.
Peter Orszag: Even if you look across states in the United States, the relationship
holds, for example, on health. And the reason, presumably is,
people--I mean--it's a--it's a very difficult question, but one of
the reasons is--that's been hypothesized, and I should say no one
knows the answer--that the more unequal society, the more likely it
is that you have political contention and squabbling, and that
restrains growth and also harms health.
Peter Robinson: You reject that notion?
Bruce Bartlett: Well, there's other studies that make--that--that have different
points of view.
Peter Robinson: 1999, the typical CEO earned a hundred and seven times more than
the typical worker and that was almost double the multiple of just
ten years earlier. All that is, is a pattern of distribution--income
distribution, don't you find that offensive in and of itself?
Bruce Bartlett: No, I don't because one of the reasons why the CEO's of this
country--uh, in this country have gotten a lot richer, relative to the
workers that--who--who they employ is because it became
apparent to the shareholders of the world, the people who owned the
corporations, that giving the CEO's more incentive was in their
interest. Uh, because the vast bulk of that, uh, CEO pay is coming
in the form of stock options, uh, that it is essentially coming out of
the pockets of the shareholders not--it's not coming out of the
pockets of the workers, it's not coming out of the pockets of the
customers…
Peter Robinson: So you…
Bruce Bartlett: …it's coming out of the pockets of the shareholders and they
approve of it because their shares have gone up as a result. And
there's been a number of studies of this as well. Uh if you'll…
Peter Robinson: It doesn't offend you? You're not worried about placing stresses on
society?
Bruce Bartlett: No, I don't see any evidence at all. I think--I think this is all made
up.
Peter Robinson: Okay, now…
Peter Robinson: Next topic, income inequality and the role of public policy.
Title: At the (Head) Starting Line
Peter Robinson: Income inequality grew not only under the republicans Reagan and
Bush, but under the democrat, the President you served, William
Jefferson Clinton. Did President Clinton do an inadequate job of
addressing income inequalities?
Peter Orszag: Well first the--uh, the trend really depends on the survey that you
use. Under some surveys, the trend in inequality topped off during
the 1990's. President Clinton did several things that were very
crucially important for, uh, reducing poverty. Remember, the
poverty base is now 11.8%
Peter Robinson: Wait, wait, wait--poverty rate--okay, and that's a way of
addressing the income inequality problem?
Peter Orszag: It's--it's related. Um, but let…
Peter Robinson: Go ahead.
Peter Orszag: …let's look at the policy measures. Uh, a dramatic expansion in
earned income tax credit, which is, uh, uh, …
Peter Robinson: Okay, go--go quickly though this because I don't want to…
[Talking at same time]
Peter Robinson: … relive this--lord knows, I don't want to relive the Clinton years.
Peter Orszag: I don't think anyone wants to but earned income tax credit,
minimum wage, um, dramatic increase in the Pell Grant
which--which boosts, uh, enrollment in college for low income
students and, I mean, we don't need to go through the whole list.
But, uh, doubling of Head Start…
Bruce Bartlett: There's an extremely important point that--that needs to be made
right here and that is that the official data that one sees in the
newspapers, on the front page of the--of the Wall street Journal
and the Washington Post, uh, that come out usually in the fall are
from the United States Census Bureau. They are before tax income
without in kind government benefits. So, basically everything he's
talking about did nothing to improve the--the official statistics
because most of the stuff is in kind benefits. It did nothing to
reduce the incomes of the--of the rich, or help the, uh, the earned
income tax credit as a tax program. Uh, you put--we put higher tax
rates on the rich in 1993--had zero impact because by definition,
the data exclude those things that we have done…
Peter Orszag: As you know, there are alternative series that the census…
Bruce Bartlett: That's true.
Peter Orszag: …also publishes that takes those things into account. So…
Bruce Bartlett: You have to look really hard to find it.
[Talking at same time]
Peter Robinson: Now--now we--now we go back to our first point which is that
even after you make the corrections--even if the census bureau
were to publish a different set of statistics that conform with your
view of what is relevant, you'd still see the trend.
Bruce Bartlett: That's true. That's true.
Peter Orszag: Over the last twenty years, yeah.
Peter Robinson: Okay, so now let me ask you this. What would you do that
President Clinton didn't do?
Peter Orszag: I would have more--more aggressively expanded early Head Start
and Head Start. I would have, even more aggressively expanded
Pell Grants and simplified the Pell Grant process. Uh, I…
Bruce Bartlett: Did you agree with welfare reform?
Peter Orszag: I did agree with welfare reform. I think it--I think that there are
co--concerns about…
Peter Robinson: Why don't you just soak the rich? If you're concerned that these
rich are getting richer too quickly…
Peter Orszag: There is a tradeoff that one has to find a balance between…
Peter Robinson: Ahh, okay, all right.
Peter Orszag: …in--in, uh, equality versus incentives. And at some point,
one--one leans too hard and the disincentive effects are too large.
The question is finding a balance between the--the incentives
provided to produce, supply labor, take risks, and fairness.
Peter Robinson: So this would be difficult statistically, but the rule of thumb would
be, we engage in redistribution, we cream off the top quintile and
put it one the bottom qui--quintile, to the extent that we can
without killing the economic engine--without smothering growth.
Would that be about the rule of thumb that'd you go for?
Peter Orszag: I think that's about the rule of thumb, yes.
Peter Robinson: So…
Peter Orszag: It's all a matter of degree. How much reduction in--in economic
activity are you willing to…
Peter Robinson: Right, and it could be difficult to find that balance…
Peter Orszag: Right.
Peter Robinson: …but that would be the aim.
Peter Orszag: That should be the aim, yes.
Peter Robinson: So the--the key instrument then for addressing the problem is
redistribution.
Peter Orszag: No it's--well, it's not just redistribution, it's also ensuring equality
of opportunity. Remember, things like Head Start are not--we--we
don't get low-income ki--the poverty rate for kids is still seventeen,
eighteen percent. We don't get low-income kids high--ready for
school well enough, and we could be doing more. I wouldn't call
that redistribution.
Peter Robinson: So you'd support President Bush's move to--or his efforts to
improve education?
Peter Orszag: Uh, I would support moves to improve education. I think there are
questions about--precisely how President Bush is doing that.
Bruce Bartlett: A lot of this discussion about the--the--the evils of inequality and
the improvements that would come from more equal distribution of
income implicitly assume that whatever you--whatever income is
taken away from the wealthy, is in fact given to the poor. And now,
as we know, there's a huge transactions cost, and--and I--and one
of the questions…
[Talking at the same time]
Peter Robinson: You got to run it through the federal bureaucracy, state
bureaucracy…
Bruce Bartlett: Suppose you put on a tax that was, uh, that sim--say--say we
increased the capital gains tax…
Peter Robinson: Right.
Bruce Bartlett: …and only the capital gain because the rich are the only ones who
get capital gains…
Peter Robinson: Right.
Bruce Bartlett: …and as a consequence, uh, the rich simply stopped realizing
capital gains. So on paper, their incomes have gone down, but--but
not--but there has been no revenue derived from this. Uh, so--so
the rich have gotten or--or on paper poorer, but there's been no
revenue that's been to--to give to those at the bottom. All that has
happened is that the rich have come down, they have less wealth as
they--as they do over the last, uh, year. I think that this is a very
important point.
Peter Robinson: So you've harmed the position of those at the top without helping
those at the bottom.
[Talking at same time]
Bruce Bartlett: The society has not gotten better…
[Talking at the same time]
Peter Robinson: And the poor are not better off.
Bruce Bartlett: Society is--that's right, they're not any better off. Nobody is better
off.
Peter Robinson: Last topic, why has income inequality increased over the last
several decades?
Title: Study Skills
Peter Robinson: It sounds to me as though the causes of this income inequality are
not well understood. Is that right?
Peter Orszag: I think that's a--a bit of an exaggeration. There--there are major,
uh, hypothesis that have been proposed and we know something
about the causes of income inequality. Basically the income
inequality has--has a lot to do with skill bias--with--with--returns
to skill, with--it returns to being a skilled worker. Um, for
example, if you look at college-educated workers, they're now
earning seventy-six percent more than high school educated
workers. Twenty years ago, they were only earning thirty-eight
percent more. And economists think that has a lot to do with the
increase in income as well.
Peter Robinson: So would you favor doing things to improve education in the
country?
Bruce Bartlett: Of course. I don' t know any economist who doesn't. Uh, the
question is, what--what--then--then you have to have an
education debate about what actually works in that area, but per se,
I don't know any economist who doesn't feel that education is
important. Another factor that might be worth mentioning is
the--the age distribution of the--of the population, uh, we're a
relatively aging society as we all know, we're all baby boomers at
this table I think. Uh, we're--we're into…
Peter Orszag: Not quite, but…
Bruce Bartlett: Well, I mean, we're--we're well into our peak earning…
Peter Robinson: Bruce and I have boomed long ago.
Peter Orszag: Okay.
Bruce Bartlett: And--and--and of course, the--the elderly are an important of--of
all this debate. We've been talking mainly about people on welfare,
but a very goodly portion of people in the bottom quintile are--are
the elderly. But I think that we--in--in this discussion about
income, we sometimes lose track of wealth, which is also an
important consideration.
Peter Robinson: Right.
Bruce Bartlett: Uh, my mother was a good example of this. Uh, she lived--her
income was very, very low because she had only essentially social
security as cash income, but she owned her house free and clear.
She had no mortgage on it whatsoever. She had a substantial
number of stocks that she was--she could have sold at any time,
any time she needed some extra money. She actually didn't need
anymore than she got out of social security to--to live a--a very
nice, uh, life.
Peter Robinson: And so she actually was quite comfortable but it didn't show up in
the statistics.
Bruce Bartlett: That's right, if you're looking at income--if you're looking at
income.
Peter Robinson: …statistics. So Bruce would your view be simply this; look,
income distribution just--it just isn't relevant. It's a very good
question, if the poor are getting poorer, we should do what we can
to attack, uh, poverty in the country. We should certainly do what
we can to improve education because that's investing in the future.
It makes everybody more--all that is fine, but this notion of
publishing statistics and worrying about how quickly the rich
are--worrying about this gap between the folks in the bottom and
the folks on the top, it's--it's confusing, it's elusory, it's irrelevant,
forget about it. Would that be a summary of your position?
Bruce Bartlett: I think--yes--I think that if…
Peter Robinson: Don't worry about if folks, it just isn't a serious problem. Poverty
is a serious problem, but the gap is not.
Bruce Bartlett: We should try to increase the standard of living of all Americans to
the best that we can, and--and I think generally we have. Uh,
clearly the--the--the wealthiest people in our society today are
living, uh, better than--and--and so are the poor.
Peter Robinson: It's television men, final question; The Economist Magazine, I
quote, "In America between 1979 and 1997,"--restatement of some
statistics here--"the average income of the richest fifth of the
population jumped from nine times the income of the poorest fifth o
to around fifteen times." When will we see the gap begin to
narrow? We've already established that you think it doesn't matter
and you think it does, but can you predict when the gap will
narrow?
Bruce Bartlett: Next time we have a really serious recession, it will narrow. Uh,
the greatest increase in equality, uh, occurred during the Great
Depression. I think…
Peter Robinson: Because everybody was poorer, got poorer.
Bruce Bartlett: Yeah, but--but the rich lose more because the stock market
collapses, wealth collapses, property values collapse…
Peter Robinson: Peter, when will we see the gap narrow?
Peter Orszag: We'll see the gap narrow when we finally do provide sufficient
equality of opportunity, especially with regard to education, that,
uh, in terms of lifetime opportunities, people at the bottom would
have a much better chance at reaching the top than they do now.
Peter Robinson: Peter and Bruce, thank you very much.
Peter Orszag: Thank you.
Peter Robinson: Peter Orszag believes there's something not quite right about a
society in which some people can afford hotels on Boardwalk while
others can't even afford houses on Baltic Avenue. Bruce Bartlett
says, don't even look at the people on Boardwalk; just ask whether
the lot of the poor, those people on Baltic Avenue, is improving
over time. I'm Peter Robinson, thanks for joining us.
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