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Monday, September 11, 2017

Fall 2017 Issue 54

Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy

Chinese Attitudes Toward The U.S. Withdrawal From The Paris Climate Accords

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Monday, September 11, 2017

China’s leaders strongly oppose President Donald J. Trump’s decision to withdraw the United States from the Paris Climate Accords.

China-Taiwan-United States
China-Taiwan-United States

Cross-Strait Relations: Skepticism Abounds

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Monday, September 11, 2017

Whether the issue is internal splits within Taiwan’s two major political parties or Beijing’s view of the parties and their leaders, the predominating mood today is skepticism. 

Military Affairs
Military Affairs

Oh Fang, Where Art Thou? Xi Jinping and the PLA’s 90th Anniversary

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Monday, September 11, 2017

As the Chinese Communist Party heads into the 19th Party Congress in October, Xi Jinping’s speech commemorating the 90th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Liberation Army was notable both for what he said and what he did not say.

Economic Policy
Economic Policy

The General Secretary’s Extended Reach: Xi Jinping Combines Economics and Politics

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Monday, September 11, 2017

Xi Jinping has seized the initiative in economic policy, making himself the dominant actor in financial regulation and environmental policy, among other areas. 

Political Reform and Governance
Political Reform and Governance

A Cadre by Any Other Name Would Smell as Sweet? Domestic Policy Trajectory after the 19th Party Congress

by Jessica Batkevia China Leadership Monitor
Monday, September 11, 2017

In advance of the leadership reshuffle this fall, with five of seven Politburo Standing Committee (PBSC) members expected to vacate their seats, observers’ focus is trained on the top candidates for advancement and the intense competition between them.

Party Affairs
Party Affairs

Xi Jinping And The Party’s “Guiding Ideology”

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Monday, September 11, 2017

As the 19th Party Congress approaches, there is widespread speculation that the party constitution will be revised to incorporate concepts associated with party General Secretary Xi Jinping as part of the party’s authoritative “guiding ideology.”

E.g., 10 / 20 / 2017
E.g., 10 / 20 / 2017
Monday, October 7, 2013

Fall 2013: Issue 42

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Monday, October 7, 2013
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Monday, October 7, 2013
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Monday, October 7, 2013
article
Friday, June 7, 2013

Spring 2013: Issue 41

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Thursday, June 6, 2013
article
Monday, January 14, 2013

Winter 2013: Issue 40

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Monday, January 14, 2013
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Monday, January 14, 2013
article
Monday, October 1, 2012

Fall 2012: Issue 39

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Monday, October 1, 2012
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Monday, October 1, 2012
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Monday, October 1, 2012
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Monday, October 1, 2012
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Monday, October 1, 2012
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Monday, October 1, 2012
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Monday, October 1, 2012
article
by Cheng Li Monday, October 29, 2012
article

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Economic Policy

Supply-side Structural Reform: Policy-makers Look For a Way Out

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Policy-making with respects to economic reform has been extremely inconsistent since early 2015.

Military Affairs

Promoting “Young Guards”: The Recent High Turnover in the PLA Leadership (Part II: Expansion and Escalation)

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

The most noticeable trend under the leadership of Xi Jinping since the 2012 National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has been the continuing consolidation of power. In particular, the military has been a key arena in which Xi has strengthened both his personal power and his new administration’s authority. 

Military Affairs

China’s “Goldwater-Nichols”? The Long-Awaited PLA Reorganization Has Finally Arrived

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

On 31 December 2015, CCP supremo Xi Jinping announced the most sweeping reorganization of the People’s Liberation Army since the 1950s.

China-Taiwan-United States

The “1992 Consensus” – Adapting to the Future?

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

In the January 16, 2016, Taiwan presidential and legislative elections, the Democratic Progressive Party inflicted a devastating defeat on the incumbent Kuomintang.

Great Wall of China
Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on Global Governance Since 2008–9: Not Much New

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

China’s ideology of global governance shows much continuity between the pre- and post-2008–9 periods. Authoritative Chinese views all generally indicate that China’s proposed changes to the existing international order—such as reforms to correct “unjust” arrangements, strengthen the influence of developing countries, expand the idea of state sovereignty into new areas of state behaviors, and buttress the equality of sovereignty—are adjustments only, not radical acts departing from it. 

Party Affairs

The 18th Central Committee Leadership With Comrade Xi Jinping As General Secretary

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Authoritative party documents refer to the prescribed dynamic of elite politics in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) as its “collective leadership system.” 

Economic Policy

Reform Agenda In Turmoil: Can Policy-Makers Regain The Initiative?

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, September 9, 2015

The stock market turmoil in China revealed a certain amount of disarray in the top-down economic policy process designed by the Third Plenum. 

Military Affairs

Promoting “Young Guards”:
The Recent High Turnover In The PLA Leadership (Part I: Purges And Reshuffles)

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, September 9, 2015

A key component in Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power has centered on the military domain. 

Beijing, China
Military Affairs

So Crooked They Have To Screw Their Pants On—Part 3: The Guo Boxiong Edition

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, September 9, 2015

On 30 July, the Central Committee announced that General Guo Boxiong, who served as vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission between 2002 and 2012, was expelled from the Chinese Communist Party and handed over to prosecutors for accepting bribes. 

Map of Taiwan
China-Taiwan-United States

Consolidating Positions

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, September 9, 2015

In recent weeks, candidates in Taiwan’s forthcoming presidential election have focused on consolidating their positions.

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The China Leadership Monitor seeks to inform the American foreign policy community about current trends in China's leadership politics and in its foreign and domestic policies. The Monitor proceeds on the premise that as China's importance in international affairs grows, American policy-makers and the broader policy-interested public increasingly need analysis of politics among China's leadership that is accurate, comprehensive, systematic, current, and relevant to major areas of interest to the United States.

China Leadership Monitor analysis rests heavily on traditional China-watching methods of interpreting information in China's state-controlled media. Use of these methods was once universal among specialists in contemporary Chinese affairs. Although the use of these methods has declined as opportunities to study China using other approaches have opened up in recent decades, their value in following politics among China's top leadership has not. Monitor analysis also brings to bear some of the new avenues of information and insight that have opened up since the normalization of U.S.-China relations and China's policy "opening to the outside world" in the late 1970s.

The China Leadership Monitor website is updated with new analyses quarterly.

Subscribe here to receive a free copy in your email inbox every quarter.

The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University. Its general editor is Hoover Institution research fellow Alice Miller.