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Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Winter 2017 Issue 52

Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on South Korea’s Deployment of THAAD

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

The Chinese leadership and the overwhelming majority of expert Chinese observers and commentators are strongly opposed to the U.S.-ROK decision to deploy the THAAD anti-missile system in South Korea.

China-Taiwan-United States
Map of Taiwan
China-Taiwan-United States

The Bull in the China Shop

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

As Tsai Ing-wen continued to struggle with implementation of her ambitious reform programs—losing public support in the process—Beijing maintained pressure to accept the “1992 Consensus” or some other expression of “one China.”

Military Affairs
Military Affairs

“Scraping Poison Off the Bone”: An Examination of the Campaign to “Eliminate the Baneful Influence of Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou”

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

In July 2016, Chinese state media began using a new formulation about “eliminating the baneful [pernicious] influence of Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou” from the military. 

Economic Policy
Economic Policy

Xi Jinping’s Economic Policy in the Run-up to the 19th Party Congress: The Gift from Donald Trump

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

In the run-up to the 19th Party Congress in the fall of 2017, Xi Jinping has a strong interest in sustaining three narratives: the Chinese economy is growing stably, economic reform is moving forward, and a rising China is playing a more important role on the global scene.

Political Reform and Governance
Political Reform and Governance

PRC Religious Policy: Serving the Gods of the CCP

by Jessica Batkevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Beijing’s update of national-level religious regulations is part and parcel of a larger governance effort.

Party Affairs
Party Affairs

What Would Deng Do?

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Xi Jinping’s ideological proclivities have been variously described as drawing from Mao Zedong, Confucius, and Deng Xiaoping.

E.g., 3 / 28 / 2017
E.g., 3 / 28 / 2017
Monday, January 14, 2013

Winter 2013: Issue 40

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Monday, January 14, 2013
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Monday, January 14, 2013
article
Monday, October 1, 2012

Fall 2012: Issue 39

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Monday, October 1, 2012
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Monday, October 1, 2012
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Monday, October 1, 2012
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Monday, October 1, 2012
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Monday, October 1, 2012
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Monday, October 1, 2012
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Monday, October 1, 2012
article
by Cheng Li Monday, October 29, 2012
article
Monday, August 6, 2012

Summer 2012: Issue 38

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Monday, August 6, 2012
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Monday, August 6, 2012
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Monday, August 6, 2012
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Monday, August 6, 2012
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Monday, August 6, 2012
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Monday, August 6, 2012
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Monday, August 6, 2012
article

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Party Affairs

Politburo Processes Under Xi Jinping

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 14, 2015

As described in PRC media, the workings of the Chinese Communist Party’s Politburo under General Secretary Xi Jinping closely follow patterns set down during the 10-year tenure of his predecessor Hu Jintao.

Economic Policy

Local Debt Restructuring: A Case of Ongoing Authoritarian Reform

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Local debt restructuring is a key part of the ambitious fiscal reforms proposed by Minister of Finance Lou Jiwei. 

Military Affairs

The Yuan Stops Here: Xi Jinping and the “CMC Chairman Responsibility System”

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 14, 2015

The Xi Jinping era has been marked by a greater degree of personalized command, sometimes veering toward cult of personality, than any leadership period since the death of Mao Zedong. 

China-Taiwan-United States

Squaring the Circle: Adhering to Principle, Embracing Ambiguity

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Although the ruling Chinese Nationalist Party (Kuomintang or KMT) is scheduled to name its presidential candidate in mid-June, the campaign has been well under way since late spring. 

Foreign Policy

Chinese Views and Commentary on the “One Belt, One Road”

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 14, 2015

The One Belt, One Road initiative offers considerable potential in several economic, political, cultural, and strategic realms; it also presents many uncertainties and potential concerns. 

China Leadership Monitor Winter 2015: Issue 46 Is Online

via China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Issue no. 46 of the China Leadership Monitor is available online.

The Provinces

Xi Jinping’s Inner Circle--Part 4: The Mishu Cluster I

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, March 19, 2015

Xi’s personal assistants, both previous and current, constitute a major cluster of his inner circle.

October 1, 1949, Celebrations
Party Affairs

The Trouble with Factions

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, March 19, 2015

Recent Politburo discussion of the problem of factions in the Chinese Communist Party prompts assessment of the characteristics and conduct of factionalism in contemporary PRC leadership politics.

Political Reform

China’s Political Ecology and the Fight against Corruption

by Joseph Fewsmithvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, March 19, 2015

Since the 18th Party Congress convened in November 2012, China has undertaken a wide-ranging campaign against corruption.

Economic Policy

Is There a “Xi Model” of Economic Reform?--Acceleration of Economic Reform since Fall 2014

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, March 19, 2015

China’s economic reform took major steps forward beginning in the fourth quarter of 2014.

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The China Leadership Monitor seeks to inform the American foreign policy community about current trends in China's leadership politics and in its foreign and domestic policies. The Monitor proceeds on the premise that as China's importance in international affairs grows, American policy-makers and the broader policy-interested public increasingly need analysis of politics among China's leadership that is accurate, comprehensive, systematic, current, and relevant to major areas of interest to the United States.

China Leadership Monitor analysis rests heavily on traditional China-watching methods of interpreting information in China's state-controlled media. Use of these methods was once universal among specialists in contemporary Chinese affairs. Although the use of these methods has declined as opportunities to study China using other approaches have opened up in recent decades, their value in following politics among China's top leadership has not. Monitor analysis also brings to bear some of the new avenues of information and insight that have opened up since the normalization of U.S.-China relations and China's policy "opening to the outside world" in the late 1970s.

The China Leadership Monitor website is updated with new analyses quarterly.

Subscribe here to receive a free copy in your email inbox every quarter.

The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University. Its general editor is Hoover Institution research fellow Alice Miller.