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IRAQ: Why We Must Stay
By Victor Davis Hanson
Why the war in Iraq is not like the war in Vietnam—and why the present conflict must not be permitted to end the way the former conflict ended. By Victor Davis Hanson.
Vietnam is once again in the air. The recent antiwar
demonstrations in Crawford, Texas, have been heralded as the beginning of
an antiwar movement that will take to the streets like the one of 30 years
ago. Influential pundits—in the manner
of a gloomy Walter Cronkite after the Tet offensive—are assuring us that we can’t win in Iraq and that we
have no option but a summary withdrawal. We may
even have a new McGovern-style presidential “peace”
candidate in Wisconsin senator Russ Feingold.
America’s most contentious war is being freely
evoked to explain the “quagmire” we are supposedly now in.
Vietnam is an obvious comparison, given the frustration of asymmetrical
warfare and savage enemies who escape our conventional power. But make no
mistake, Iraq is not like Vietnam and it must not end like Vietnam. Despite
our tragic lapses, leaving now would be a monumental mistake—and one
that we would all too soon come to regret.
If we flee precipitously, moderates in the Middle
East could never again believe in American assurances of support for reform
and would have to retreat into the shadows—or find themselves at the
mercy of fascist killers. Jihadists would
swell their ranks as they hyped their defeat of the American infidels. Our forward strategy of hitting terrorists
hard abroad would be discredited and replaced by a return to the pre-9/11
tactics of a few cruise missiles and writs. And loyal allies in Eastern
Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, and Japan, along with new friends in
India and the former Soviet republics, would find themselves leaderless in
the global struggle against Islamic radicalism.
The specter of Vietnam will also turn on those who
embrace it. Iraq is not a surrogate theater of the Cold War, where national
liberationists, fueled by the romance of radical egalitarianism, are
fortified by nearby Marxist nuclear patrons. The jihadists have an
eighth-century agenda of gender apartheid, religious intolerance, and
theocracy. For all its pyrotechnics, the call for a glorious return to the
Dark Ages has found no broad constituency.
Neither is our army in Iraq conscript; rather, it is
volunteer and professional. The Iraqi
constitutional debate is already light-years ahead of anything that emerged in Saigon. And there is an exit strategy, not
mission creep—we will consider
withdrawal as the evolution to a legitimate government continues and the
Iraqi security forces grow.
But the comparison to Vietnam may be instructive
regarding another aspect—the aftershocks of a premature American
departure. Leaving Vietnam
to the Communists did not make anyone safer. The flight of the mid-1970s
energized U.S. enemies in Iran, Cambodia, Afghanistan, and Central America
and tore our own country apart for nearly a quarter-century. Today, most
Americans are indeed very troubled over the war in Iraq—but mostly
they are angry about not winning quickly, rather than resigned to losing
amid recriminations.
We forget that, once war breaks out, things usually
get far worse before they get better. We should remember that 1943, after
we had entered World War II, was a far bloodier year than 1938, when the
world left Hitler alone. Similarly, 2005 may have brought more open
violence in Iraq than was visible during
Saddam’s less publicized killings of 2002. So it is when extremists are confronted rather than
appeased. But unlike the time before the invasion, when we patrolled Iraq’s
skies while Saddam butchered his own with impunity below, there is now a hopeful future for Iraq.
It is true that foreign terrorists are flocking into
the country, the way they earlier crossed the Pakistani border into
Afghanistan to fight with the Taliban, and that this makes the short-term
task of securing the country far more difficult. But again, just as there
were more Nazis and fascists out in the open in 1941 than before the war,
so too there were almost none left by 1946. If we continue to defeat the
jihadists in Iraq—and the untold story of this war is that the U.S.
military has performed brilliantly in killing and jailing tens of thousands
of them—their cause will be discredited by the stick of military
defeat and the carrot of genuine political freedom.
All this is not wishful thinking. The United States
has an impressive record of military reconstruction and democratization
following the defeat of our enemies—versus the abject chaos that
followed when we failed to help fragile postwar societies. After World War
II, Germany, Italy, and Japan (American troops are still posted in all
three) proved to be success stories. In contrast, an unstable
post–World War I Weimar Germany soon led to something worse than
Kaiser Wilhelm.
After the Korean War, South Korea survived and
evolved. South Vietnam, by contrast, ended up with a Stalinist government, and the world
watched the unfolding tragedy of the boat
people, reeducation camps, and a Southeast Asian holocaust.
Present-day Kabul has the most enlightened
constitution in the Middle East. Post-Soviet Afghanistan—after we
ceased our involvement with the mujahideen resistance—was an Islamic
nightmare.
So we fool ourselves if we think that peace is the
natural order of things and that it follows organically from the cessation
of hostilities. It does not. Leave Iraq, and expect far worse tribal chaos
and Islamic terrorism than in Mogadishu or Lebanon; finish the task, and
there is the real chance for something like
present-day Turkey or the current calm of federated Kurdistan.
Have we forgotten that Iraq before the invasion was
not just another frightening Middle East autocracy like Syria or Libya but
a country in shambles—not, as some will say, because of international
sanctions but thanks to one of the worst regimes on the planet, with a
horrific record of genocide at home and
regional aggression abroad? As the heart of the ancient caliphate, Iraq symbolized the worst aspects of pan-Arab
nationalism and posed the most daunting obstacle for any change in the
Middle East. Thus al Qaedists and ex-Baathists alike are desperate to drive
us out. They grasp that, should a democratic
Iraq emerge, then the era of both Islamic theocracies and fascist autocracies elsewhere in the region may also be
doomed.
Our presence in Iraq is one of the most principled
efforts in a sometimes checkered history of U.S. foreign policy. Yes, there
is infighting among the Kurds, the Shiites, and the Sunnis, but this is
precisely because Saddam Hussein pitted the
sects against each other for 30 years in order to subjugate them; we are now trying to
unite them so that they might govern themselves. The United States has elevated the formerly despised and
exploited Shiites and Kurds to equal status
with the Sunnis, their former rulers. And from our own history we know that such massive structural reform is
always messy, dangerous—and humane.
So, too, with other changes. It is hard to imagine
that Syria would have withdrawn from Lebanon
without American resolve in both Afghanistan and Iraq, nor would Pakistan’s A.Q. Khan or Libya’s
Muammar Qaddafi have given up on plans to nuclearize the Middle East.
Saddam’s demise put pressure on Hosni Mubarak to entertain the
possibility of democratic reform in Egypt. These upheavals are, in the
short term, controversial and volatile developments whose ultimate success
hinges only on continued American resolve in Iraq.
There is no other solution to either Islamic
terrorism of the sort that hit us on September 11, 2001, or the sort of
state fascism that caused the first Gulf War than the Bush
administration’s easily caricatured effort to work for a third
democratic choice beyond either dictatorship or theocracy. We know that not
because of pre-9/11 neocon pipedreams of “remaking the Middle
East” but because for decades we tried almost everything else in
vain—from backing monarchs in the Gulf who pumped oil and dictators
in Pakistan and Egypt who promised order to “containing”
murderous autocrats like Saddam and ignoring tyrannous theocrats like the
Taliban.
Yes, the administration must account to the American
people for the sacrifices of American lives we are making on behalf of the freedom of Kurds and
Shiites. It must remind us that we are engaging murderers of a sort not
seen since the Waffen SS and the suicide killers off Okinawa. And it must
tell us that victory is our only option and explain in detail how and why
we are winning.
The New York Times recently deplored the public’s ignorance of American heroes in Iraq. In fact, there are thousands of them.
But in their eagerness to view Iraq through the fogged lens of Vietnam, the
media themselves are largely responsible for the public’s shameful
lack of interest.
This summer, while the networks were transfixed by
Cindy Sheehan (or was it Aruba?), the United
States military, in conjunction with Iraqi forces, was driving out jihadists from
Mosul—where the terrorists are being arrested and killed in droves. Lieutenant Colonel Erik Kurilla of the 1st
Battalion, 24th Infantry Regiment, who had
worked for months to create an atmosphere of
mutual understanding on the city’s streets, was severely wounded as
he led his men to clear out a terrorist
hideaway. The jihadist who shot him—who had recently been released
from Abu Ghraib—was not killed but arrested and given medical care by
U.S. surgeons.
Not long before he was wounded, Lieutenant Colonel
Kurilla had delivered a eulogy for three
of his own fallen men. Posted on a military website, it showed that he, far
better than most of us, knows why America is there:
You see—there are 26 million people in Iraq
whose freedom we are fighting for, against terrorists and insurgents that
want a return to power and oppression, or worse, a state of fundamentalist
tyranny. Some of whom we fight are international terrorists who hate the
fact that in our way of life we can choose who will govern us, the method
in which we worship, and the myriad other freedoms we have. We are fighting
so that these fanatical terrorists do not enter the sacred ground of our
country and we have to fight them in our own backyard.
Amen.
This essay appeared in the Washington Post on September 4,
2005.
Available from the Hoover Press is Terrorism, the Laws of War, and the Constitution: Debating the Enemy Combatant Cases, edited by Peter Berkowitz. To order, call 800.935.2882 or visit www.hooverpress.org.
Victor Davis Hanson is the Martin and Illie Anderson Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution. He is a classicist and an expert on the history of war. A regular contributor to National Review Online and many other national and international publications, he has written or edited sixteen books, including theNew York Times bestseller Carnage and Culture: Landmark Battles in the Rise of Western Power. His most recent book is A War Like No Other: How the Athenians and Spartans Fought the Peloponnesian War. He was awarded a National Humanities Medal by President Bush in 2007.
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