|
EUROPE: Job Woes in Europe? Don't Blame High Tech
By Gary S. Becker
In the face of high, chronic unemployment, European politicians are blaming high technology for stealing jobs. Nobel Prize–winner and Hoover fellow Gary S. Becker argues that, instead, they should blame the big governments they built.
I recently returned from a lecture trip to several Western European
nations, where the two main topics were the causes and cures of their
high unemployment, which has averaged more than 11 percent for several
years, and the plans for a common currency. These are closely related
subjects since a new currency probably will not be introduced in 1999,
unless the unemployment situation greatly improves.
The great concern about unemployment helps explain the astounding
victory of the Socialists in the recent French national elections over
Jacques Chirac's do-nothing government of the right. The Socialists
promised to create jobs by slowing down privatization and by legislating
reduction of the workweek to thirty-five hours or less to encourage job
sharing.
But such make-work programs have always failed to stimulate
private employment since they raise the cost of labor. This has recently
been shown in a study of the German experience during the past decade by
economist Jennifer Hunt of Yale University. She finds that government and
union pressure there to reduce the standard workweek may actually have
reduced overall employment.
Flux
Many European politicians and some intellectuals are suggesting work
sharing because they have been convinced by recent claims that the
number of possible jobs in the market economy is shrinking because of
computers and other technological advances that reduce the need for
workers. Such advances have always caused apprehension about job losses.
Just recall the Luddites' attempts to protect their jobs by destroying new
textile manufacturing machinery in the nineteenth century. In the past,
however, many workers found employment in industries created by new
technologies, such as textile manufacturing, automobile production,
airline travel, and steel production. As a result, overall unemployment
rates in Europe and the United States did not grow during the past 150
years.
Similarly, computers and other products have stimulated robust
demand for workers in many newly created sectors, including chip making,
telecommunications, software programming, bio-technical products, and
other advanced businesses. Despite the fearmongers' warnings, there is no
evidence that recent technological advances have much to do with the high
unemployment rates found throughout Europe. Indeed, there is no evidence
that recent advances have been faster than those in the past.
|
Despite the fearmongers' warnings, there is no
evidence that recent technological advances have much to do with the high
unemployment rates found throughout Europe.
|
No, the employment problems of France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and
elsewhere in Europe are due more to conventional interventions in labor
markets that discourage companies from hiring workers. These include
high social security and other taxes on labor, generous subsidies to
persons without jobs that discourage them from looking for work, and
onerous regulations that raise the difficulty and cost of hiring and firing
workers. Italian owners of small and midsize businesses told me that
union and government regulations make it virtually impossible to fire
workers when times are bad. And the situation isn't much better in the
other countries.
Long Haul
Many regulations also discourage young entrepreneurs from starting the
new enterprises that have been so important to job creation in the United
States. In Italy, it takes three to five years to get all the approvals for a
new business, unless officials are bribed to speed up the process.
Labor market reforms in Britain are a good example of how to reduce
Europe's unemployment. Britain lowered labor taxes and regulations and
greatly weakened the economic and political power of large national
unions. The effect was a rapid expansion in private employment and a
reduction over time of unemployment to less than 6 percent.
The relatively flexible labor markets of the United States have
created jobs at an impressive rate since the early 1980s. Almost 70
percent of men and women of working age are employed in the private
sector, and unemployment has dipped to below 5 percent. Western Europe,
by contrast, has experienced no net increase in private employment since
the middle of the 1970s. Western European companies now need lower
labor taxes and greater employment flexibility if they are to hire
additional workers in Europe rather than setting up plants abroad.
To deal effectively with the continent's sluggish job creation,
European governments must take action by cutting taxes, subsidies,
regulations, and controls over employment, wages, and new businesses.
That would provide new jobs and raise output. And jobs help the
unemployed boost their self-respect by allowing them to help create
national wealth instead of depending on government handouts.
Reprinted from BusinessWeek, July 7, 1997. Used with permission. Available from the Hoover Press are The Essence of Becker, a volume of essays by the Nobel Prize–winning economist, and The Economic Way of Thinking: The Nobel Lecture, published as a Classic in the Hoover Institution's Essays in Public Policy series. To order a copy of either, call 800-935-2882.
Gary S. Becker, who won the Nobel Memorial Prize for Economic Science in 1992, is the Rose-Marie and Jack R. Anderson Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and University Professor of Economics and Sociology at the University of Chicago. He is an expert in human capital, economics of the family, and economic analysis of crime, discrimination, and population. His current research focuses on habits and addictions, formation of preferences, human capital, and population growth. He is a featured monthly columnist for Business Week magazine and is one of the initial fellows of the Society of Labor Economists. In addition to being a Nobel laureate, Becker is a recipient of the 2007 Presidential Medal of Freedom.
|