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CHINA: The Dragon Next Door
By Thomas A. Metzger
How China and the United States can learn to become
good neighbors—and why they must. By Thomas A. Metzger.
Once again there is talk in Washington that the
United States should treat China as a dangerous adversary, a
militaristically aggressive power like Germany in the 1930s. Former
secretary of state Henry Kissinger, however, has correctly called such an
approach “unwise.” A policy of “containment” would
only increase the threat of war in the Pacific and undermine the chances of
dealing constructively with conflicts of interest.
We should try instead to build a cooperative
relationship with China. Two kinds of problems seem to prevent such a
relationship, but they have been exaggerated. First, it is true that the
United States faces a huge challenge competing in the globalized economy
with a nation in which a well-educated and increasingly affluent population
sector about the size of the whole U.S. population enjoys an endless supply
of cheap labor and makes increasing demands on the world’s scarce
resources, notably oil. I believe, however, that the American business
world has the technological and entrepreneurial resources to meet this
challenge.
Second, many Americans are concerned with the way
that Chinese policies actually or potentially conflict with U.S. interests
in peace on the Korean peninsula, the security of Japan, the security of
Taiwan, and respect for international law in Southeast Asia. Again,
however, there are no insuperable problems in this regard. The pursuit of
U.S. interests in these cases depends on our retaining the naval primacy in
the Pacific that we won in World War II, which China is not going to
challenge in the foreseeable future. Moreover, there are no irresolvable
disagreements between the United States and China in any of these cases.
The threat posed by North Korea is a product of North Korean, not Chinese,
behavior. As for the problem in the Taiwan Straits, China and the United
States could clash if Taipei defied Beijing by taking decisive steps toward
independence, and if Beijing then took military action against Taiwan. Such
a nightmare, however, is unlikely. For many years now, relations between
China and Taiwan have been moving toward peace and economic
interdependence.
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The Chinese are unable—habitually and culturally—to view as normal
the international network of power centered in the United States.
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The real source of tension between Beijing and
Washington is usually overlooked. It lies outside these two types of
problems and dangerously impedes pragmatic efforts to resolve them. It
consists of the way that the United States and China are currently locked
into ideological visions demonizing each other. This ideological impasse
will aggravate U.S.-Chinese relations still more in the next decades, when
these two nations will probably have conflicts of interest regarding ever
more formidable problems, such as those about energy resources. We and the
Chinese, therefore, should minimize this ideological impasse in order to
deal as reasonably as possible with our concrete conflicts of interest.
Mutual Demonization
The nature of this impasse is complicated and little
understood. First of all, when one looks at the whole spectrum of publicly
articulated opinion in China—official and nonofficial, Marxist and
non-Marxist—one finds a deep ambivalence about the West, especially
the United States.
On the one hand, the desire in China to emulate
Western modernity is widespread and far stronger than in the Muslim world.
Ever since the late nineteenth century, when the Chinese discovered that
Western nations were wealthier, more powerful, and freer than China, they
have used Western ideas to criticize and change themselves. Strong
affinities exist between Chinese and American ways of life because both
cultures tend to put individual merit above inherited social position.
Modern Chinese culture also resembles ours in its emphasis on critically
scrutinizing and revising traditional ways, wavering between healthy
skepticism and impulsive iconoclasm. (Those traits are far from universal
in the world today.) Moreover, the Chinese are aware that we stayed out of
the imperialistic scramble for power in China before 1949 and helped them
overcome Japanese imperialism during World War II. To this day, these
memories color interactions between Chinese and Americans on many levels.
The Chinese also have a tradition of realism and flexibility in the
management of foreign relations and for now are willing to play an
international role secondary to that of the United States, the
world’s most powerful nation.
On the other hand, in China today runs a strong
current of opinion highly critical of the Western model of capitalism and
democracy. Many Chinese object to the glaring inequalities produced by
capitalism and the individualistic freedom on which capitalism thrives,
what the Chinese call li-ji zhu-yi (putting primacy on selfish interests). Most
important, the Chinese have largely rejected or misunderstood the modern
Western concept of legality fundamental to capitalism. Mainstream Chinese
intellectuals are enthusiastic about “the rule of law,” but by
this they mean laws that are fully moral and rational, not scrupulous
respect for the letter of the law even when it is perceived as irrational.
Thus the Chinese are uncomfortable with both the idea of legality as the
rules of the game in a capitalistic and democratic society and the idea
that individuals morally playing this game normally pursue their own
self-interest.
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We know much too little to tell the Chinese how to deal with the enormous complexities of their political development. We should admit as much.
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To be sure, Chinese pursue their selfish interests as
much as Westerners do, but they deplore this, insisting it is not what they
want. Clearly utopian, their goal is to unleash the dynamism of a market
economy while improving on Western modernity by minimizing selfishness and
inequality. The Chinese, moreover, apply this moralistic outlook to
international relations and also combine it with an emphatically
teleological vision of history, believing that there is a “global
tide of events” (shi-jie-de chao-liu) moving toward an era of international harmony free of
the pursuit of selfish interests. Thus they cannot see normal international
relations as a process of bargaining between nations all pursuing national
self-interest. Instead, they define it as a struggle between altruistic
nations (such as China) moving with the tide of history toward an era of
international harmony and nations (such as the United States) resisting
that historical tide by pursuing national self-interest at the expense of
other nations. Even while respecting the United States as a model of
modernization, the Chinese see it as a hotbed of capitalistic selfishness,
inequality, and “hegemonism.”
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All of us in the world of Western capitalism see each other as neighbors with a shared sense of decency and civilization. This comforting feeling
of neighborliness is missing when we look out across the Pacific.
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To be sure, the Chinese are capable of pragmatically
adjusting their policies to minimize conflict with the United States.
Nevertheless, they are unable—habitually and culturally—to view
as normal the
international network of power centered in the United States, not to
mention any combination of this network with the use of military force, as
in our current war in Iraq.
The Chinese, then, are uncomfortable with the way
that the Pacific has become an American lake, not to mention the way that
the United States has used diplomacy and military means to surround Asia
with a belt of power reaching from NATO to the U.S. alliance with Japan.
This Chinese ambivalence about the global role of the United States is
reinforced by the Chinese sense of their own global centrality, which
China’s George Washington, Sun Yat-sen, summed up as China’s
obligation to “save [itself] . . . and save the world” (jiu zhong-guo, jiu shi-jie).
To be sure, there is common ground between some of
these Chinese views and the whole Western tradition of self-criticism, not
to mention between the Chinese and the American criticisms of President
Bush’s policy in Iraq. Nevertheless, most Americans see as absurd any
idea that China’s mission is to “save the world” by
spreading the Buddhist and Confucian vision of morality and international
harmony; China’s claim that it is abnormal for nations to pursue
national self-interest; and China’s express discomfort with the
projection of U.S. power throughout the Pacific and along the coast of
Eurasia.
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Totalitarianism depends on fear. Visit China and you’ll meet one person after another who has no such fear.
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Most important, if one wants to talk about who is
responsible for saving the world, Western culture denies that this could be
the responsibility of a non-Western people. The American consensus is that
this job belongs to the United States. Both
the Democratic and Republican Parties strongly
support the idea that U.S. foreign policy should aim to realize human
rights and democracy throughout the world. President Bush did not invent
this idea, he just combined it with the idea of fighting terrorism. By
defining all undemocratic governments as evil, or at least abnormal and
awaiting democratization, the Bush administration demonizes the Beijing
regime as surely as Beijing demonizes the United States. Indeed, the Bush
administration is not bashful about linking its China policy with its
ongoing effort to seek the democratization of any nation with a different
form of governance.
Thinking the Unthinkable
Given this clash between fundamental Chinese and U.S.
perspectives on the international world, it is easy to see why the two
sides can only tentatively mute the tension between them, instead of
forthrightly and pragmatically dealing with their concrete conflicts of
interest. We Americans thus are dangerously locked into a view of our
Pacific neighborhood that is much more pessimistic than that of our
Atlantic neighborhood.
To be sure, some of our European friends can be
obnoxious, especially those supercilious French, and scholars like Timothy
Garton Ash have sensitively explored the tensions preventing the optimal
coordination of U.S. and European policies. Basically, however, all of us
in the world of Western capitalism see each other as neighbors with a
shared sense of decency and civilization, and this comforting feeling of
neighborliness is missing when we look across the Pacific.
There are obvious reasons why it is missing, but it is
dangerous to assume that the Pacific area will always be a less friendly
neighborhood than the Atlantic. Such a gloomy assumption can become a
self-fulfilling prophecy and aborts the possibility of building on the
historical and cultural tendencies in the United States and China that
could bring us closer together. To build on them, the key step is to
disentangle the concrete issues on which we disagree from the ideological
views with which we demonize each other. This will require both sides to
start thinking what so far has been unthinkable.
On the Chinese side, the unthinkable is the idea of
international relations as an arena where national self-interest can only
be channeled toward a certain standard of legal, reasonable behavior, not
eliminated, and where it is normal for developments such as World War II to
create patterns of unequal international power that can only slowly evolve,
such as the current naval primacy of the United States in the Pacific.
Although many educated Chinese will say there is nothing wrong with this
view, it contradicts the rhetorical mainstream of their nation.
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By defining all undemocratic governments as evil, or at least abnormal,
the Bush administration demonizes the Beijing regime as surely as Beijing demonizes the United States.
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On the U.S. side, we have to stop seeing ourselves as
the political role model for the world; we must admit that we lack the
knowledge to tell the Chinese how they should deal with the enormous
complexities of their political development; and we cannot make our
respecting the legitimacy of their government contingent on their accepting
our ideas about how to reorganize it.
How can this process of mutual de-demonization be
accomplished? Actually, it is already under way. It is based on that good
chemistry between Chinese and U.S. culture mentioned above, which is
accelerating with the ever-increasing traffic between our two nations. This
traffic includes academic exchanges, but it also includes vital
interactions between nonacademics, such as business people, members of the
military, medical doctors, artists, and intellectually alert tourists. A
good example is Admiral Joseph W. Prueher who, as U.S. ambassador to
Beijing under President Clinton, won the respect of the Chinese while still
forthrightly representing U.S. interests. An aviator, a warrior, and an
administrator—not an academic—this man’s ability to
analyze Chinese political realities was greater than that of many China
scholars. Conversely, the traffic across the Pacific has brought us
innumerable visitors and immigrants from the Chinese world whose great
contributions to our society in many fields inevitably influence our image
of their homeland.
Americans cannot continue to believe that the Chinese
live with the fear on which totalitarianism depends when they meet one
person after another in China who has no such fear—witness the
300,000 or so Taiwanese who have left their democratic society in Taiwan to
live in Shanghai; the professor in a Shanghai university who publicly
argues that Chinese laws lack moral legitimacy; and the professor at Peking
University who says in the classroom that Mao’s revolution
“replaced morality with ideology.”
On the Chinese side, developing a more favorable
image of the rival power across the Pacific should be still easier because,
as already mentioned, Chinese public opinion for more than a century has
combined doubts about Western modernity with a basic desire to emulate it.
Leaders on both sides of the Pacific must build on
these tendencies toward mutual appreciation to facilitate the cooperation
both sides need to face urgent problems that are only too obvious.
Special to the Hoover
Digest. Adapted from a lecture delivered by the
author at the Matrix: Midland Festival on June 13, 2005.
Available from the Hoover Press is Greater China and
U.S. Foreign Policy, edited by Thomas A. Metzger and Ramon H. Myers. To
order, call 800.935.2882 or visit www.hooverpress.org.
Thomas A. Metzger is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution. He specializes in the intellectual and institutional history of China, studying both the premodern and the modern periods. His current research focuses on contemporary China's moral-political discourse and its historical roots, dealing with both China and Taiwan. He also writes on U.S.–China policy issues.
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