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FEATURES: Peaks, Cliffs, and Valleys
By Robert Costrell and Michael Podgursky
The peculiar incentives of teacher pensions
Ms. Baker is a hypothetical Ohio school teacher, age
49 with 24 years of service. She’s had a good run, but is
ready for a change; her heart’s not in it anymore, and she wants to
go out on a high note. But she has a dilemma regarding her pension. She and
her school district have contributed $422,000 to Ohio’s pension trust
fund (with interest), yet her pension is worth only $315,000. If she hangs
on for another six years, the pension picture changes dramatically: her
pension will be worth close to $1 million,
hundreds of thousands of dollars more than the contributions.
Ms. Brooks has the opposite dilemma. She’s been
teaching in Arkansas since age 25, and at age 53, in light of her exemplary
career and continuing enthusiasm, she’s just been chosen to be a
mentor teacher. The problem is her pension. Every year of additional
service reduces her pension wealth, despite the fact that she and her
district continue to contribute 20 percent of her pay into the fund.
Welcome to the world of teacher pensions.
Pensions have long been an important part of
compensation for teachers in public schools. However, the incentive
structures of teacher pension systems are not widely understood, even
though they can have powerful effects on the composition of our teaching
force and on public finance.
In our research, we have found that teacher pension
systems have two strong incentives—a pull and a push. Teachers
typically earn relatively little in the way of pension benefits until they
reach their early fifties, when much larger benefits start to accrue. The
system therefore pulls teachers to “put in their time” until
then, whether or not they are well suited to the profession. Beyond that
point, the pension system quickly begins to punish teachers for staying on
the job too long, pushing them out the door at a relatively young age,
often in their mid-fifties, even if they are still effective teachers.
These “pull-push” incentives are
embedded in the patterns of pension wealth accumulation over
teachers’ careers, patterns that feature dramatic peaks, cliffs, and
valleys that can greatly distort work decisions for no compelling
public-policy purpose.
Teacher pension systems can also have important
implications for recruitment. Pension benefits may seem distant and
uncertain for prospective young teachers, who often change jobs. The costs,
however, are incurred from the start in contributions from employer and
employee that can exceed 20 percent of the teacher’s pay. Many young
teachers, who are paying off student loans, starting families, and buying
homes, might prefer more of their compensation paid up front rather than
diverted into a system from which they may well never benefit.
Finally, the teacher retirement benefit system has
major effects on K–12 school finance. Teachers who retire in their
mid-fifties are likely to draw pension benefits for at least as many years
as they taught. This can be expensive. A teacher retiring at age 55 with a
$50,000 inflation-indexed annual pension has received an annuity valued at
over $1 million. Retiree health insurance can add much more to the bill. To
fund these benefits requires large contributions from employees and
employers. In Ohio, for example, contributions currently stand at 24
percent of salary (10 percent from the teacher and 14 percent from the
district). But even this falls well short of what is needed and pension
officials are recommending an increase to 29 percent, to shore up funding
for pensions and retiree health benefits.
There is a surprising disconnect between discussions
of state teacher pension systems and the larger discussion of retiree
benefits in an era of longer life spans and the impending bulge of
baby-boom retirees. The retirement age for Social Security is being raised,
but there is little discussion of the incentives to retire early from
teaching. Just as the benefit overhang of GM, Chrysler, and Ford finally
forced changes in their plans, the growing share of K–12 spending
consumed by these retirement benefit systems may force similar changes.
As teacher retiree benefit costs spiral upward, it is
important to begin asking what effect these systems have on recruitment and
retention. In this article, we analyze the incentives embedded in teacher
pension systems by examining the pattern of pension wealth accumulation
over a teacher’s career.
PENSION PLAN BASICS
Public school teachers are almost universally covered
by traditional defined benefit (DB) pension systems. The employer has an
obligation to provide a regular retirement check to employees upon their
retirement, based on a legislatively determined formula (see sidebar). The
key characteristic of DB systems is that the benefit is not tied to the
contributions that individual teachers and employers make to the pension
fund. That is what distinguishes DB from defined contribution (DC) plans,
known more popularly as 401(k)-type systems.
DB plans were once the norm in both the public and
private sectors. In recent decades, private sector employers have shifted
in large numbers to DC systems (or closely related systems known as cash
balance, discussed below). In DC systems, the employer contributes annually
to a retirement account for an employee, and the employee contributes as
well. For example, a common arrangement in the private sector is for the
employer to match employee contributions up to a certain percentage of the
employee’s salary. If the employee quits, he takes the retirement
funds with him. The employer is under no obligation to provide a given
payment to the employee at the time of retirement. The employee, however,
can always choose at retirement to convert the accumulated funds into a
stream of payments for life by buying an annuity.
Conversely, when a teacher retires under a DB plan,
she is entitled to a stream of payments that has a lump-sum value (or
present value) that can be readily determined using standard actuarial
methods. In principle, this pension wealth represents the market value of
the associated annuity: it is the size of the 401(k) that would be required
to generate the same stream of payments.
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HOW TEACHER PENSIONS WORK
Once a teacher is vested in a defined benefit system
(has worked and contributed for usually five or ten years), she becomes
eligible to receive a full pension upon reaching a certain age and/or
length of service. Eligibility rules typically allow a teacher to draw a
full pension well before age 65, especially if she has been teaching since
her midtwenties. Benefits at retirement are usually determined by a
formula such as the following:
Annual Benefit = (years of service) x (r) x (final average
salary).
Typically, the final average salary is calculated over
the last three years, and r is a percentage that we will call the “replacement
factor.” In Missouri, teachers earn 2.5 percent for each of the
first 30 years of teaching service. For example, Ms. Howard, a Missouri
teacher with 30 years’ service, would earn 75 percent of the final
average salary. So if the final average salary were $60,000, she would
receive:
Annual Benefit = 30 x .025 x $60,000 = $45,000,
payable for life.
For teachers who separate from service prior to being
eligible to receive the pension, the first draw is deferred and the amount
of the pension is frozen until that time. Once
the pension draw begins, there is typically some form of inflation
adjustment.
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Typically, a DB teacher pension plan requires that
both teachers and employers make a contribution each year to a pension
trust fund, much as in DC plans, but the funding characteristics are very
different. Under DC plans, the pension benefits are always fully funded,
since the benefit is generated directly by the contributions. Under DB
plans, individual benefits are not tied to contributions, so the pension
fund as a whole is supposed to accumulate enough money to pay for the
accrued liabilities. But this is rarely the case. Many teacher pension
systems have large unfunded liabilities (e.g., California $19.6 billion,
Missouri $5.2b, Ohio $19.4b, Oklahoma $7.7b, New Jersey $10.0b, all in
2006). Matters are made worse by legislatures that juice up the benefit
formula when the stock market is up and the value of pension funds is high,
only to find the systems saddled with even larger unfunded liabilities when
the market turns sour. And as large as these liabilities are, they do not
include future costs for retiree health insurance, an issue that is now
beginning to appear on education-finance radar screens.
INCENTIVES TO TEACH OR RETIRE
The decision to teach or to retire at any given age
can have profound financial consequences for the individual teacher. Small,
and arbitrary, differences in the timing of retirement can be worth
hundreds of thousands of dollars. Teachers cannot afford to be indifferent
to these consequences, and many of them surely respond to the incentives
embedded in the system. To appreciate these incentives, it is necessary to
understand the pattern of a teacher’s pension wealth accumulation
over the course of her career.
Figure 1 depicts the pension wealth, in
inflation-adjusted dollars, at various ages of separation for a 25-year-old
entrant to the Ohio teaching force, the profile of our hypothetical Ms.
Baker. Clearly, the accumulation of pension wealth is not smooth and
steady, but rises with fits and starts after age 50, due to rules of
eligibility for early retirement and the like. During her first 24 years in
the classroom, she accumulates $315,000 in
pension wealth. However, over the next six years she accumulates more than
$100,000 per year and
crosses the million-dollar mark at age 56. Pension wealth reaches a peak by
her early sixties and then starts to decline.
In this system, those teachers who retire after 25
years or more (age 50 in our example) receive more in benefits than has
been contributed to the system on their behalf, while those who leave
teaching earlier do not. The inequities here can be quite substantial. If
Ms. Baker retires at age 56, her million dollars of pension wealth exceeds
the cumulative contributions (with interest) of herself and of her employer
by over $370,000; if she leaves at age 49, she will receive benefits worth
$100,000 less than
the contributions.
The next set of figures answers the question that is
critical for understanding the system’s incentives: how much does a
teacher’s pension wealth change if she works an additional year? This
is a measure of deferred income received from employment. If, for example, a
year of work raises a teacher’s pension wealth by $50,000 (net of
interest on the prior year’s pension wealth), it is as if she had a
401(k) account that received $50,000 in contributions that year. Figures 2a
through 2e illustrate graphically the peaks, cliffs, and valleys in pension
wealth accrual from each additional year of work over the course of a
teacher’s career in five state systems.
Consider Ohio, depicted in Figure 2a (which is derived
from Figure 1). A teacher who enters service at age 25 (such as Ms. Baker)
accrues pension wealth during her early years on the job starting at
roughly 10 percent of annual earnings and gradually rising to 34 percent in
her 24th year (age 49). Her 25th year of experience yields quite a bonanza:
her pension wealth jumps by about 176 percent of her annual earnings. Each
of the next five years also yields deferred income that equals or exceeds
her current income. Pension wealth accrual drops off dramatically over the
years following, with another sharp spike at age 60 (35 years’
experience). Beyond age 60, while both she and her employer are continuing
to make large contributions to the retirement fund, Ms. Baker’s
pension wealth actually shrinks, and at an accelerating rate.
All five states display sharp pension spikes. In
Arkansas, a particularly sharp spike occurs at age 50 (see Figure 2b). In
that year, a teacher’s pension wealth increases by almost five times
her salary. For a teacher with a $50,000 salary, it is as if she received a
$250,000 contribution to her 401(k) account. Her pension wealth accrual
drops off precipitously the next year, and turns negative by age 54,
creating the dilemma of our would-be mentor teacher Ms. Brooks. Similarly,
teachers in Missouri, California, and Massachusetts experience pension
spikes in their early to mid-fifties, followed by much slower growth and
ultimately shrinking pension wealth at various ages (see Figures
2c–2e).
The dotted lines on Figures 2d and 2e indicate the
pattern of accrual prior to benefit enhancements enacted by the
legislatures in California and Massachusetts. These legislated changes
created spikes where none existed. In Arkansas, benefit enhancements over
the years have shifted the spike to the left, to earlier retirement.
Ohio’s multiple-spiked system also reflects its history of benefit
enhancements; it used to have a single spike at age 60.
WHAT CAUSES PENSION PEAKS, CLIFFS, AND VALLEYS?
What features of the benefit formula give rise to such
sharp spikes in pension wealth accrual? One might expect that the growth in
pension wealth would be fairly steady, as it is in a DC plan. After all,
both the teacher and employer are making the same contributions year after
year. But in a DB plan, pension wealth is not tied to contributions. The
primary drivers of pension wealth accrual are changes in the annual annuity
payment (determined by the benefit formula) and the number of years the
teacher can expect to collect. It is the latter that is often the wild card
in these systems.
Spikes in several of these states occur because
teachers can start collecting their pension at an earlier age once they
have worked a certain number of years. For example, during the first 24
years of teaching (to age 49), Ohio’s Ms. Baker had to wait until age
60 to collect her pension. However, her 25th year of teaching (at age 50)
allows her to begin collecting pension checks five years earlier, producing
a sharp spike in wealth accrual.
Another example is Missouri’s “rule of
eighty,” under which a teacher is eligible to receive a full pension
once the sum of age and service equals eighty, rather than the normal
retirement age of 60. When our 25-year-old entrant passes age 45, each
successive year of service allows her to start receiving her pension one
year earlier, resulting in rapid growth in pension wealth for several years
(see Figure 2c).
Once a teacher gets past the spike (or spikes),
pension wealth accrual turns negative. This is not because her monthly
pension check shrinks. In fact, it is growing. Rather, pension wealth falls
because once she is at an age to begin collecting without deferral, each
year of work requires her to forgo a year of pension, which is never
recouped. The monthly payment is not enhanced sufficiently to offset this
loss.
At this point in her career, the pension system serves
as a twofold tax on earnings, first by the required employee contribution
and second by the negative deferred income. Together, these can easily
offset much or even all of her salary, in which case her total compensation
is little or nothing. If the reduction in pension wealth from working an
additional year exceeds the teacher’s take-home pay, her total
compensation is negative and she is paying for the privilege of teaching.
DO TEACHERS RESPOND TO PENSION INCENTIVES?
The peaks and valleys of pension wealth accrual create
large pull-push incentives. Teachers are pulled to stay on the job until
they reap the benefit of the spikes: a few more years of “putting in
time” can mean a difference of several hundred thousand dollars. Once
a teacher is beyond the spike and pension wealth starts shrinking, the
system is effectively pushing her into retirement.
There is ample evidence that such incentives affect
behavior. Anecdotal evidence is commonplace of teachers (and others) timing
their retirement decisions to the parameters of the benefit formula;
pension systems routinely provide online pension calculators to help their
members do so. Labor economists have developed more systematic
statistical evidence on the incentive effects of retirement benefit
systems, particularly those in the Social Security system. There has
been much less research specifically on teacher pensions, but that which is
available indicates strong incentive effects. In Missouri, for example,
teacher labor-force data show that retirement rates spike when the sum of
age and experience is around 80—consistent with the incentives
embedded in that state’s “rule of eighty” eligibility
formula.
UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES: EMPLOYMENT AFTER "RETIREMENT"
Teacher pension systems typically have strong
incentives for early retirement built in. Given concerns about teacher
shortages and pressures from the No Child Left Behind Act to staff
classrooms with qualified teachers, it makes little sense for districts to
nudge experienced, credentialed, and effective teachers out the door at
such early ages. Not surprisingly, all of these teacher pension systems
have provisions that allow educators to continue to teach and collect their
pension in certain circumstances (a practice called “double
dipping”). These provisions seem to be expanding. Here are examples.
1. Part-time
employment. All of the pension systems considered here allow retired
teachers who are receiving pension payments to continue to work in covered
employment on a part-time basis (without accruing additional benefits).
2. Employment in
shortage areas. Many states permit retired educators to teach full time for
a specified period of time in “shortage” fields.
3. Break in
employment. Some states allow teachers to return to full-time employment
and collect their pension after a specified break in service. In California
the required break is 12 months. In Ohio, a retired teacher can return to
work the next day, but must wait two months before receiving pension
benefits.
4. DROP plans. Many
states have implemented Deferred Retirement Option Plans (DROPs). These
permit teachers to continue working full time for a specified period of
time (up to ten years in Arkansas), during which all or most of their
pension check goes into what amounts to an individual retirement account.
Of course, retired educators can resume teaching by
crossing a state line or a district boundary to work in a different pension
system. For example, Missouri teachers in the state pension system can
retire and work full time in the St. Louis or Kansas City systems, or they
can cross the border and work in Kansas.
The result of all of these postretirement options is
that the decision to “retire” (i.e., collect a retirement
check) is not necessarily the same as a decision to quit teaching.
Unfortunately, we are aware of no comprehensive national data on this
topic. Limited data from a national survey conducted by the U.S. Department
of Education suggest that at least 5 percent of the public school teaching
workforce is also collecting a teacher pension. A longitudinal study of
Missouri teachers found that 12 percent of teachers worked at least one
year part time or full time following retirement.
Reemployment provisions such as these are not found in
the private sector, where early retirement incentives are usually part of a
downsizing effort. In teaching, by contrast, early retirement incentives
have a completely different origin, namely legislatively enacted benefit
enhancements, typically under heavy union lobbying. Reemployment provisions
are often a delayed response to the unintended (if often predictable)
problems created by these incentives. In other words, these provisions are
ad hoc fixes to enhanced pension spikes.
Postretirement employment blurs the distinction
between current and deferred compensation. At the very least, this calls
into question the meaning of published data on teacher compensation. In
addition, as reemployment becomes easier, the incentive to
“retire” at or near a pension spike becomes more pronounced, as
there is no downside if employment can continue. It might also be in the
district’s interest, if the pension costs are borne by the state. One
might expect, therefore, that “retirements” would become even
further concentrated at the spikes.
MORE UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES: HEALTH INSURANCE
Another consequence of early teacher retirement is a
linked demand for retiree health insurance coverage. Since regular Medicare
eligibility does not begin until age 65, teachers who retire in their
fifties have a gap of many years in coverage. In light of this, many school
districts and states have extended health insurance coverage to retirees.
Unlike the teacher pension system, payments for retiree health insurance
are typically pay-as-you-go (i.e., no employer fund is created to pay for
these future liabilities). Under new government accounting rules (GASB 43
and 45), benefit plans and employers will need to begin providing annual
estimates of these liabilities in their financial statements. First hints
at the figures are staggering. Los Angeles Unified, which provides complete
health insurance coverage for all retirees, has an estimated $5 billion
unfunded liability. A recent report by the Cato Institute estimates that
the unfunded liabilities of state and local governments under GASB 45 could
total $1.5 trillion. These unfunded liabilities create pressures for higher
contribution rates, local tax increases, and spending cuts in other areas.
OPTIONS FOR REFORM
The underlying problem with DB systems is their
distortion of retirement incentives, stemming from the broken link between
benefits and contributions. DC systems and cash balance (CB) plans restore
that link. Many large corporations have switched to DC and CB plans over
the last 20 years. Some public entities, including a few teacher pension
systems (Ohio’s is one), have also started to offer DC or CB-type
options in their plans.
CB plans are similar to DC plans in that both systems
tie benefits closely to contributions. The main difference is that in a CB
plan, the return is guaranteed by the employer (typically at a rate
comparable to risk-free Treasury bonds), so the market risk is not borne by
the employee. Often the debate over DB vs. DC plans focuses on the issue of
risk, rather than the retirement incentives. Since our subject here is
retirement incentives, we focus on CB plans, where the issue of market risk
does not arise.
The neutrality of CB plans with regard to age of
separation can be simply depicted. In the pension wealth accrual graphs,
the lines would be horizontal at a percentage given by the sum of employee
and employer contributions (see Figure 2a). The system does not drive
teachers to stay to their mid-fifties and then leave. Pension wealth never
declines: if a teacher wants to work another year, the account grows by the
contributions, plus the investment return. This can then be converted to an
annuity. If a teacher works another year, the starting annuity is increased
in an actuarially fair manner, since there is one less year of retirement
to cover.
Such a retirement-neutral plan leaves the employee
much more latitude to decide when to retire or switch careers based on
individual preferences (such as Ms. Baker). It also makes it easier for
schools to retain effective teachers (such as Ms. Brooks), who might
otherwise be driven by the pull-push incentives of pension spikes. This is
preferable to the heavy-handed DB formulas, supplemented by makeshift DROP
formulas or other reemployment provisions. Finally, it is fiscally more
stable when benefits are tied closely to contributions. Unfunded
liabilities do not arise so readily, and legislatures have less opportunity
to enhance benefits by shifting costs to future generations of taxpayers
and teachers.
PRINCIPLES FOR REFORM
The time is ripe to consider teacher pension reform,
with an eye both to teacher quality and fiscal stability. A new or reworked
retirement system should embody several key features:
Neutrality. Each
additional year of work should increase pension wealth in a fairly uniform
way. There should be no spikes or cliffs at any particular years of
service. Longevity decisions by individuals and their employers should be
based on personal priorities and education needs.
Transparency. The
accrual of benefits should be simple and clear. There should be no
opportunities for “gaming” the system.
Portability. The
private sector has moved toward systems that do not penalize young
professionals for changing jobs. Portability may also help attract to
teaching an energetic, talented portion of the labor pool, as well as
midcareer switchers, such as engineers and other technical workers, who
could make valuable math and science teachers.
Sustainability. The
pension system should be self-funding. Individual benefits should be tied
to contributions made by and for the individual teacher.
DC and CB systems satisfy all these conditions far
better than the traditional and outdated DB systems. To build and maintain
a qualified teacher workforce in today’s labor market, states should
fundamentally reform their retirement benefit systems.
Robert M. Costrell is professor of education reform
and economics at the University of Arkansas. Michael Podgursky is professor
of economics at University of Missouri–Columbia.
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