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FROM THE EDITORS: Learning from Catastrophe Theory
By Paul E. Peterson
What New Orleans Tells Us about Our Education Future
Did Katrina blow away a city’s
educational cobwebs? Will New Orleans enjoy a school renaissance?
Can catastrophe theory explain the properties of school reform as
well as the dynamics of physical systems?
In this issue’s cover story, Veronique
de Rugy and Kathryn Newmark say it’s too early to know
whether a catastrophe has swept away one of the country’s
most corrupt and ineffectual school systems, replacing it with a
network of competing, privately managed charter schools. But after
the wind, rain, and waters of Hurricane Katrina had subsided, only
the city’s private and charter schools had the wherewithal to
reopen in a timely fashion.
Most public schools were bogged down in mud
and wreckage that was as much political as physical. By June 2006,
only 12,000 of the 65,000 public school students had returned to
school. And most of them were going to the five pre-existing
charter schools—or to the 13 new ones formed in the wake of
the disaster. Meanwhile, 20,000 of the 26,000 students in private
schools were back in class.
Is New Orleans a metaphor for what could
happen to the American public-school system nationally? Can a new
birth be borne of catastrophe?
It does not take a confirmed curmudgeon to
dismiss such notions. Political change in the United States occurs
incrementally, a tiny step at a time. One should not expect much
more than a haphazard accountability system, some boutique charter
schools, a few scattered virtual schools, and perhaps a tiny
voucher program.
The forces of the status quo are deeply
entrenched. Teacher unions, school board associations, schools of
education, state departments of education, and the halls of
Congress all resist fundamental change. The American public, though
uneasy about the current state of the country’s schools, is
not yet aroused to the point where it is willing to sweep aside
institutionalized barriers to reform.
Even when school reformers seem to gain a
beachhead, the complexities of the American governmental system,
with its endless veto points, slow reform’s
expansion. Too often what is won in one legislative chamber dies in
another, or is vetoed by the governor, or is found unconstitutional by
politicized judges. And any reforms that survive the political gantlet
can still end up choking on administrative dust.
With school systems stagnant, high-school
students graduate without learning any more today than they did two
generations ago. According to the “nation’s report
card,” the National Assessment of Educational Progress
(NAEP), high-school reading and math scores have hardly budged in
35 years. In science, student scores are actually falling, this
despite the incredible rate of scientific discovery in our
lifetime.
Yet in a world of rapid technological change,
schools that cannot teach science may be no more in equilibrium
than an upturned house balanced on its peak. Systems that appear to
be impervious to external shock can nonetheless be quickly
transmogrified. The Soviet Union, even more bureaucratized than
American public schools, collapsed in a week.
Within the United States, a phoenix has more
than once risen from the ashes. Out of the Chicago fire and the San
Francisco earthquake came new urban designs and architectural forms
that brought forth the great cities of the late 19th and early 20th
centuries. Out of the riots of the 1960s appeared an awakening that
built the foundations for a multiracial society. Today, an oil
spike, coupled with rising oceans and powerful storms, is creating
a bipartisan, pro-conservation consensus on energy policy. In each
case, advances came at the expense of vested interests that had
long exercised with near monopoly power.
Will New Orleans finally get a viable school
system? Is it a harbinger for what could happen nationwide?
Reformers should take heart—but be wary nonetheless. Those
beholden to powerful interests will try to eclipse the sun and
forestall the dawn. They know what’s at stake—and they
read catastrophe theory, too.
— Paul E. Peterson
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