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FEATURES: A Moral Core for U.S. Foreign Policy
By Derek Chollet and Tod Lindberg
Is idealism dead?
Is idealism dead? Should the promotion of American values of liberalism, democracy, human rights,
and rule of law be a core element of U.S. foreign policy? Where to strike the
balance between principles and interests is one of the most enduring debates
about America
’s role in the world. But since September 11, this question has become intensely contested and deeply controversial. It has
emerged as one of the central divides between the political right and left
— in large part because of the history of the past seven years, the Bush
administration
’s rhetoric, its strong association with the “freedom agenda,” and its actions justified at least in part by democracy promotion (namely the
war in Iraq). Yet it is also becoming a sharper division
within each end of the political spectrum.
Of course, the choice between realism and idealism is a false one: U.S. foreign
policy must be firmly rooted in both national interests and values. But now,
after two successive presidents of opposite political parties (Bill Clinton and
George W. Bush) have argued that spreading American values is itself a vital
interest, there is growing skepticism in many quarters about whether trying to
do so is worth significant costs, or even a true interest of the United States
at all. Facts matter, and after several difficult years of pursuing a foreign
policy framed as a fight for American values, more are wondering whether the
sacrifice is worth it. In the view of many policymakers, politicians, analysts,
and average citizens, the time has come to have a more realistic foreign policy
— scaling back the United States’ global ambitions, respecting the limits to America’s capabilities and will, recognizing and embracing the constraints of the
international system, and maintaining a healthy skepticism about the broad
applicability of American values.
But if the values agenda has been discredited among many on both the left and
the right and a greater realism is the preferred alternative, what would such a
strategy look like? Moving beyond the slogans, would a truly values-free
foreign policy really secure U.S. interests, strengthen U.S. power, and draw
the sustained support of the American people? We think not. American values are
an indispensable component of the U.S. role in the world
— they are a key part of what unites the United States to allies in Europe and
elsewhere and distinguishes the United States from countries like China.
Instead of dividing conservatives and liberals, American values in foreign
policy can in fact translate into a moral core that both sides can rally
around. In the current political environment, as we approach the first post
-9/11, post-Bush election, building such a policy bridge will be difficult. But given
the stakes, it is imperative.
Skepticism on the left
The emphasis placed on promoting liberal values internationally has drawn
increasing hostility among traditional liberals and within the Democratic
Party. Many of those who once embraced the proud liberal tradition of Woodrow
Wilson, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and John F. Kennedy find themselves questioning
their assumptions. And for those liberals who still embrace the importance of
values, their numbers are fewer. According to a June
2006poll commissioned by the German Marshall Fund of the United States, only 35 percent of Democrats said that the United States should “help establish democracy in other countries” — whereas 64 percent of Republicans responded favorably.1
This skepticism is driven by several factors. First, and most fundamental, is
the fact that this approach is so closely identified with President Bush and
his administration
’s policies. In the wake of 9/11, Bush tapped into many common (and bipartisan) themes about the enduring
importance of American values, but his vision is infused with a religiosity
that leaves many liberals nervous. Yet even when he got his rhetoric right
— for example, many liberals admired statements like his November 2003 speech at the National Endowment for Democracy — the means he chose to implement policies, such as the war in Iraq, have proven
very costly. The result now is that for many on the left, efforts to pursue
policies largely rooted in values, especially democracy promotion, have become
discredited and are increasingly unpopular politically.
For many on the left, if Bush is for it, they must be against it — even if it means turning away from their beliefs.
For some liberals, the political difficulty of supporting a values-based foreign
policy stems from a second factor: the structural incentives of the current
political environment. Because an unpopular president has so closely identified
his policies with the promotion of values, liberals are driven to oppose him.
In fact, the president
’s leadership style has offered very little in return, even to those liberals who
might agree with him. So for many on the left, if Bush is for it, they must be
against it
— even if this means embracing the cognitive dissonance of turning away from
long-held beliefs and traditions. For many liberals, it has become politically
incorrect to admit it when Bush has actually gotten something right. With
Democrats in control of the U.S. Congress, these incentives of opposition are
now also institutional. This creates a dynamic similar to that of the aftermath
of the
1994congressional elections, when the new Republican majority turned increasingly
inward in opposition to the internationalism of the Clinton administration.
Whereas the Bush team came into office in
2001 with an “abc” policy — anything but Clinton — the Democratic Congress today, and a possible Democratic president in 2009, will be tempted to do exactly the same: anything but Bush.
But liberal skepticism is more than structural or institutional — it is also internal to the debates among different camps within liberal
politics. The history of the past seven years
— and the consequences of a policy perceived as driven more by values than
interests
— has been sobering for a number of left-leaning members of the foreign policy
establishment. Many supported the
2003 invasion of Iraq for the same reasons that they supported confronting Saddam
Hussein during the Clinton years. And many applauded President Bush when he
talked about the importance of democracy promotion. Yet now that the costs of
such policies are apparent
— whether in terms of political capital, U.S. global prestige, or blood and
treasure
— many in the foreign policy elite have become more cautious, scaling back
ambitions and endorsing more realistic goals. For many mainstream foreign
policy liberals, the downfall of Britain
’s Tony Blair — who championed values-based concepts like “humanitarian intervention” during the late
1990s, — is a stark warning about the costs of embracing such policies too tightly.
The intellectual and political disconnect between the liberal establishment and
the liberal grassroots activists is growing, especially over U.S. foreign
policy and the purpose and use of American power. The convulsions within the
political left that began in the late
1990s — illustrated by the rise of the antiglobalization movement and division over the
Clinton administration
’s military interventions in Bosnia, Kosovo, and its 1998 air strikes against Iraq — have only become more severe and divisive. To be sure, this reflects anger with
President Bush. But it is more than that. When it comes to national security
issues, the left has become splintered in a way not seen since the
1970s, when Vietnam split the Democratic party and ruined the post-World Warii liberal establishment. A similar dynamic is at work today as a new generation of
liberal activists (fueled by the power of the blogosphere) rages not just
against Bush, but against a Democratic foreign policy establishment they
perceive as aiding and abetting the Bush agenda
— central to which is the promotion of American values. If this divide deepens,
it will become very difficult for Democratic leaders to embrace explicitly
values-centered policies even if they want to.
Wariness on the right
The growing discomfort with the promotion of American values in foreign policy is felt not only by
those on the left. Increasingly, conservatives are having second thoughts about
the extent to which U.S. foreign policy should be driven by ideology and the
promotion of values ahead of interests. Since the Bush administration still
dominates conservative politics, the right remains more strongly identified
with the values agenda, and the wariness among conservatives is more muted than
among liberals. But the recent rise of
“realists” — as illustrated by the personnel changes at the Defense Department and the U.S.
Mission to the United Nations, greater pragmatism at the State Department, and
the return to prominence of figures like former Secretary of State James Baker
and Brent Scowcroft
— has been heralded as a rebalancing away from what many argue were the
ideological excesses of the president
’s first four years in office. Like liberals, conservatives are contemplating
their future beyond the Bush presidency — and this debate will only intensify as the focus turns from the current administration to the one that will take office in January 2009.
In several respects, the factors driving conservatives’ frustrations with the values agenda mirror the frustrations on the left. The
first issue is a practical one: The American people
’s deepening disillusionment with the Bush administration’s policies is raising the political costs of supporting the Bush agenda. Bush’s unpopularity makes supporting his policies risky. Put another way, the
president
’s success at branding his administration’s actions as part of a values-based policy is directly related to the political
efficacy of supporting it. When it was seen as working, the bandwagon was
enthusiastic and big, but the more it is perceived as a failure, many of the
president
’s political allies are more than happy to let him ride alone.
Like liberals, conservatives also face a structural challenge that will only
increase as the
2008election draws closer. Any Republican presidential nominee will seek to
differentiate himself from his predecessor. And since more conservatives are
reading the Bush years as a caution against an ambitious, values-based foreign
policy, stressing realism might be the way to distinguish oneself. In this
sense, one can foresee a replay of the early
1990s, when the lesson drawn from George H.W. Bush’s electoral defeat in 1992 — that his presidency was too focused on foreign affairs at the expense of
domestic issues
— caused many conservatives to move away not only from a values-based policy but
from internationalism itself.
The Iraq war has thrown much of the conservative foreign policy establishment into a crisis of confidence.
Moreover, the events of the past several years, especially the war in Iraq, have
thrown much of the conservative foreign policy establishment into a crisis of
confidence. Like many establishment liberals, conservatives in and out of
government are questioning not only the capabilities required to implement
values-promoting policies (and whether the United States can ever develop such
capabilities), but the underlying assumptions of the policy itself. Such
self-doubt is especially acute because many of the officials so closely
identified with these policies were once heralded for their national security
experience and acumen. Expectations were high, so the results of their time in
office
— a major crisis for America’s role in the world — have been sobering.
The neoconservatives, those most closely identified with a foreign policy based
on promoting American values and bold interventionism
— have come in for the most criticism, and not just from the left. The internal
split reemerging within conservatism over ideals is the fourth driver of
wariness. During the
1990s, neoconservatives saw themselves as insurgents, agitating against both the
creeping isolationism within the Republican party and what they considered the
feckless policies of the Clinton team (even if most neoconservatives agreed on
actions like intervention in the Balkans). But for several years after
9/11, their agenda wielded great influence over the direction of the Bush
administration
’s policy, especially its focus on spreading American values. Six years later,
neoconservatives again find themselves largely on the outside looking in as
many mainstream Republicans seek a return to the kinds of policies
then-Governor Bush articulated during the
2000 presidential campaign: a foreign policy based on humility, skepticism about the
United States
’ interests in “nation-building,” and the limited applicability of American values to regions like the Middle
East.
So for political and intellectual reasons, the role of values in foreign policy
is now in retreat domestically
— liberals are increasingly skeptical, and conservatives have deep doubts. One
must also note the suspicion (or worse) with which many in other countries view
a values-based U.S. foreign policy. In the first place, many around the world
are disinclined to take Americans at their word on the principles they claim to
be promoting. They hear rhetoric of principle as nothing more than a cover for
the raw assertion of American power. Some world leaders hear the rhetoric of
democracy promotion and take it seriously and for that very reason regard it as
dangerous, a threat to their own claims of legitimacy. One could probably break
this category down further, into those hostile to any threat to their personal
prerogatives on the one hand and, on the other, those generally sympathetic to
liberalization but worried that too-hasty movement in that direction might tear
their societies apart.
Finally, the promotion of American values opens the United States to charges of
hypocrisy: Does American conduct actually live up to the values America
espouses? Many have found the United States
’ actions wanting in areas ranging from Guantanamo and Abu Ghraib to the U.S.
relationship with Pakistan and the House of Saud and would urge that the United
States tone down its complaints about others until it removes the log in its
own eye. By these lights, the promotion of American values should begin at home
(a view that also has purchase both on the left side of American public opinion
and, to a degree, on the libertarian right).
The “Acirema” world
But if a foreign policy that promotes American values is the problem, what is the
solution? In considering this question, it might be helpful to ask: What would
U.S. foreign policy actually look like if it were somehow stripped of its
“values” component? It’s worth trying to conjure such a vision, not only as an intellectual exercise,
but also because there is no quicker way to see exactly why such a policy would
be a nonstarter for the United States.
As a point of departure, we might look to the assumptions about the character of
the international system embraced by scholars in the
“neorealist” school of international relations, on the grounds that neorealists regard such
considerations as morality as largely epiphenomenal in explaining the behavior
of states. Since one key neorealist assumption is that the internal
characteristics of states don
’t matter (or matter much), we find a more or less explicit attempt to write
moral considerations out of the rules of statecraft. What they posit, then, is
an anarchical international system
— no authority higher than the state. Each state wishes to be entirely free to
make its own judgments about the conduct of its internal affairs. These
judgments, insofar as they implicate events outside the state
’s territory and thus beyond its uncontested authority, yield a set of national
interests in relation to other states. Because any state
’s supreme vital interest is self-preservation, each state’s first priority is to ensure its security. The only means of achieving security
is self-help. Unfortunately, the actions states take in pursuit of their own
security and national interests tend to bring them into conflict with other
states. Some structural configurations of the international system are more
conducive to peace and stability than others, but no structure is impervious to
internal stresses that may cause it to collapse or change convulsively as
states act in pursuit of security under shifting perceptions of national
interest.
Why should Acirema care about peaceful relations among states and the illegitimacy of war or conquest?
How might this abstract description of state action in the international system
translate into policy choices for a state in the position in which the United
States finds itself today? For purposes of our investigation, we will call this
state
“Acirema,” which is “America” spelled backwards. We do this for two reasons. First, by speculating in
accordance with this
“values-free” scenario, we do not want to be taken to be proposing what follows as a genuine
alternative to U.S. policy; on the contrary, the speculation shows how far
removed from the realm of possibility and desirability such a neorealist
scenario would be. Second,
“Acirema” strikes us as capturing just how radical an inversion of American priorities
and traditions the pursuit of such a values-free policy would be.
In the first place, Acirema is the dominant military power in the world, and it
would certainly make sense to try to maintain that dominance. This is not a
judgment alien to existing U.S. policy: The Bush administration’s 2002 National Security Strategy (nss) pledged not to allow a “peer competitor” to its military power to emerge. The Bush nss, however, justified this policy as a way to encourage peaceful relations among
states. State-on-state conflict
— for example, the attempt to conquer territory by force — would be discouraged by overwhelming U.S. power. But it is by no means clear,
from a values-free perspective, why Acirema should be attached to a principle
of peaceful relations among states and the illegitimacy of aggressive war or
conquest. True, Acirema does not want to be attacked and would seek to maintain
sufficient power to deter and if necessary defeat any potential aggressor. But
why Acirema would care if Iran attacked Iraq, or China attacked Russia, or
France attacked Germany is entirely a question of whether Acirema
’s aims would best be served by peace or war between any given two states.
Acirema would pursue an overall strategy of maintaining its dominance. Again,
this is not foreign to current U.S. grand strategy. But the United States has
welcomed and encouraged modernization, economic growth, and globalization not
only in order to enrich Americans, but also according to a theory that greater
trade flows and economic interdependence make for a more peaceful international
environment and are good in themselves. Neither of the latter two
justifications would matter to Acirema.
There is danger in an Acireman policy that encourages other states to become
rich: With riches comes the capacity to develop military power that in turn
might challenge Acirema, or covertly to fund challenges and challengers.
Acireman policymakers would want to examine the trade-off between the economic
benefits of an open trading system and the potential danger in allowing others
to enrich themselves, thus potentially increasing their power. An Asian
economic flu might be a bad thing, but it might also be a good thing. China
’s modernization might yield cheap goods, but if the price is a more formidable
military challenge to Acirema, the price might be too high. The best way to
deal with China’s self-professed desire for a “peaceful rise” might be to disregard the rhetoric of peaceability and act to prevent the rise.
Acirema might want to identify potential vulnerabilities in the Chinese economy
and try to exploit them to undermine Chinese economic growth. The collapse of
central authority in China would be destabilizing
— but primarily for the Chinese, who might then be too preoccupied with their
internal turmoil to pose a threat.
The stability of other states is of concern only insofar as it impinges on the stability of the Acireman position.
More generally, the stability Acirema would seek would be the stability of its
own position. The stability of other states and relations among other states is
of concern only insofar as it impinges on the stability of the Acireman
position. Indeed, a subsidiary strategy of preserving dominance might be to
maintain a
fragileinternational stability, one in which all other states felt themselves to be
constantly
at risk from instability without actually sliding into it with a potentially adverse
effect on Acirema.
Under this scenario, one would have to reject engagement in the Middle East,
except with regard to securing Acireman energy needs. To the extent that
support for Israel arouses hostility from Israel
’s neighbors, Acirema should cease such support unless Israel is capable of
providing a benefit to Acirema sufficient to offset the damage
— a tall order. Meanwhile, however, it is not solely Acireman support for Israel
that antagonizes certain elements in the Middle East, and to the extent that
funding for these elements comes from governments that have grown wealthy from
oil revenues, it may be best to go directly to the source and deprive the
funders of the revenue. Acirema might seize and hold sufficient oilfields to
see to its needs and then destroy the capacity of others to exploit the
resources on their territory.
In the event that the negative repercussions of such a move might be deemed too
costly, then Acireman disengagement from the region might work
— provided it is accompanied by an unambiguous warning from Acirema to states in
the region about the unacceptability of funding terrorists, their ideological
supporters, and their sympathizers. Acirema would have to make clear that
regime elimination awaits any states that fail to accept that their continued
oil revenue depends on their refraining from harboring, funding, or supporting
anti-Acireman terrorism. The credibility of such a policy would likely require
a demonstration. A policy of regime elimination would differ from
“regime change” in its rejection of Colin Powell’s “Pottery Barn” principle: You break it, you own it. On the contrary, any state foolish enough
to provoke Acirema to forcibly remove its regime, with all the risk and expense
that would entail for Aciremans, would be on its own to sort out what comes
next. Acirema wouldn
’t care, though it would certainly hope that whatever regime emerged had learned
a lesson from the experience of the toppling of its predecessor.
Acirema will enter into alliances only with partners whose assets improve Acireman security.
The policy of Acirema toward Israel is a specific case of what would be a more
general revision in alliance policy. The essential question for Acirema with
regard to any ally is whether Acireman security is improved, on net, as a
result of the alliance. The notion of an alliance as an all-purpose mechanism
for securing the cooperation of others in mutual pursuit of security objectives
would need to be reassessed. What, specifically, is the value of
“cooperation”? Needless to say, Acirema will harbor no prejudice in favor of cooperation or
multilateralism, instead asking whether cooperative or multilateral means would
bring a benefit that Acirema cannot obtain on its own. Acirema need not be
especially concerned with the opinions of states that lack the capacity to make
a difference. There will be no free-riding on the provision of security,
because Acirema will not enter into alliance relationships except with partners
whose tangible assets improve Acireman security.
Needless to say, any assistance Acirema would choose to provide to other states
would be tightly tied to the tangible benefit received, either economically or
in terms of security. The notion of
“humanitarian” aid or “humanitarian” intervention of any kind is self-evidently meaningless to a foreign policy free
of moral consideration. Acirema might have a concern with averting refugee
flows toward its shores, but only if the cost of action abroad to prevent the
flows exceeds the cost of turning away those attempting to enter.
Local disputes in faraway places would not necessarily bother Acirema. There is
nothing historically unusual about violent contests for power within states,
and Acirema would not worry overmuch about the outbreak of such conflicts. They
have disadvantages in terms of disrupting commerce, but they have advantages as
well in that those engaged in fierce local conflict are unlikely to have the
surplus capacity to threaten Acireman national interests. Even intense local
conflict, with civilian deaths running to hundreds of thousands, would have to
be assessed through the prism of whether it poses any sort of threat to Acirema
that might warrant intervention.
It is difficult to see what gain Acirema might get from raising the issue of “human rights” with other states. Doing so would come at the cost of pressing other, more
useful demands upon weaker states and would needlessly complicate relations
with stronger states. There might be advantages to be gained from fomenting
internal dissension and rebellion within stronger states in accordance with a
general strategy of fragile stability, and this provocation might be couched in
terms of
“human rights” in the event that doing so would be efficacious. But the use of “human rights” would be entirely instrumental, and Acirema would have to refrain from
establishing any sentimental bonds with those it was encouraging, since the
likelihood is that the state in which they are rebelling will move to crush
them if the crisis becomes serious, and of course Acirema would have no reason
to assist them at that point.
Preemptive action might be necessary to establish that possession of a few nuclear weapons is not enough to deter Acirema.
The strongest states will be those with nuclear weapons, and the impulse of
states to acquire them would undoubtedly be very strong. Needless to say,
Acirema would have to be very wary of states already possessing substantial
nuclear arsenals. Freedom of action against Russia, China, Great Britain,
France, and Israel would accordingly be constrained. As for those newly seeking
to acquire the technology of atomic weapons, Acirema might choose to acquiesce,
provided it was confident that its own arsenal was deterring any aggression
against Acirema. This might be true of some but not all states. On the other
hand, possession of a nuclear deterrent by another state might embolden that
state to act against the national interests of Acirema. It might be necessary
to take preemptive action to establish that mere possession of a few nuclear
weapons is not sufficient to deter or coerce Acirema. Acirema might have to
launch a nuclear attack first. Of course, there would be some risk of nuclear
counterattack if the other state had the means to deliver its nuclear weapons.
On the other hand, Acirema could withstand such a small strike, whereas its
antagonist would be obliterated.
Yes, we have wandered into the bizarro territory of Dr. Strangelove, and the scenario described above is both monstrous to contemplate and
impossible to envision actually coming to pass. But why is that? In the first
place, can anyone
— liberal or conservative — plausibly imagine the United States electing a president on such a callous “Acirema First” platform? Patrick Buchanan tried a slightly attenuated version of the Acirema
project and was unable to win the Republican nomination, let alone seriously
contest the general election. During the
2000election, the platform of Ralph Nader’s Green Party shared many aspects of the Acireman program but garnered little
support (yet just enough to help determine the outcome). The closest a
Democratic presidential nominee has ever come to the Acirema agenda is probably
George McGovern
’s disastrous 1972 campaign, in which his slogan “Come home, America” was taken as a call for broad-based disengagement and dramatic reduction of
defense spending, not just an immediate end to the Vietnam War.
Disband nato, abandon Israel, destabilize China, welcome wars when useful, disregard
genocide, and wage preemptive nuclear war? While such views are consistently
found in certain small segments of the political spectrum, there is,
thankfully, no plausible passageway from America to Acirema.
Disband NATO, abandon Israel, destabilize China, disregard genocide, and wage preemptive nuclear war?
Some have claimed — and the 2002 National Security Strategy and other statements of President Bush flirt with — the notion that U.S. values and interests are quite closely aligned or can be
so. Such an argument effectively dodges the question of which should take
precedence. And indeed, it may be that
“failed states” are something the United States should take action to prevent because of the
potential for danger where no one is adequately in charge. We disagree on the
relative magnitude of the danger there.
2 We agree, however, that U.S. action to prevent the failure of states is morally
good. The point is that without the moral frame of reference, one could imagine
having a debate about whether the collapse of a state into civil war,
warlordism, and genocide is good or bad for the United States
— and that such a debate would remain imaginary, because it can never occur in
the real world.
Moreover, it is a conceit that this “values-free” machtpolitik or realpolitik is truly free of moral considerations. Even the proposition “look out for No.1” has a moral aspect. Why should you look out for No. 1? Because you place a value on No. 1 and think it is morally good to seek the benefit of No. 1. Indeed, there may have been a time in human history — perhaps in Hobbes’s state of nature, the “war of all against all” — when moral considerations, though hardly absent, involved calculations no more
complicated than this.
But the United States was founded not as a “values-free” rational calculator of what’s good for No. 1, but as a nation embodying certain values or principles that justified
rebellion against its lawful sovereign. While, to this day, the United States
has been accused (often with justification) of failing to live up to the values
of the Declaration of Independence, the United States has never been able to or
seriously attempted to expunge those values from all consideration in the
conduct of domestic or foreign policy. This seems unlikely to change. And
rightly or wrongly, Americans demand consideration for those principles not
simply because they are
“ours” — and no one has the right to interfere in our affairs by telling us anything
different
— but because of our belief that they are true.
Toward a new consensus on principles
While the place of American values in foreign policy endures, questions remain about how such
policies should be implemented and how the inevitable trade-offs should be
managed, especially in the current political environment. The Bush legacy casts
a long shadow. During the past several years, intellectuals and policy analysts
have offered numerous grand strategies as a corrective to Bush, rebalancing
foreign policy between realism and idealism. Some stress one perspective more
than the other, and they usually combine some version of both words in their
titles: Francis Fukuyama offers
“Realistic Wilsonianism,” Robert Wright proposes “Progressive Realism,” John Hulsman and Anatol Lieven describe “Ethical Realism,” Charles Krauthammer espouses “Democratic Realism,” James Baker explains “Pragmatic Idealism,” and John Ikenberry and Charles Kupchan outline “Liberal Realism” (we could go on).
Instead of adding yet another grand strategy slogan into the mix, we believe
that it is more important to describe a set of principles and priorities that
should guide U.S. foreign relations in the challenging years ahead. Below we
outline six principles, each rooted in American ideals and serving American
interests. This is not an exhaustive list, yet it shows that it is possible to
construct a common agenda between liberals and conservatives that is firmly
built upon a commitment to uphold
— and promote — values.
Standing against the conquest of territory by force. The United States must continue to uphold one of the most basic norms of
international relations: preventing and, when necessary, reversing the conquest
of territory across an international border by military force. While support
for this principle may seem self-evident
— after all, it is at the heart of the un Charter and the underlying rationale of the world’s most important security organization, nato — it is in fact a value that the United States must choose to defend. As made
clear by the alternative Acirema world described earlier, a great power like
the United States could decide that upholding this norm is too costly or
outside the bounds of its core national interests. We believe that since
preventing territorial conquest by force remains a keystone of the
international system and a driver of its enduring stability, this must remain a
core value of U.S. foreign policy.
Such a commitment entails certain responsibilities around the world and,
fundamentally, demands an interventionist foreign policy
— preferably as an active partner through international institutions, but if
necessary alone. The means that are required will depend on the specific
situation and the other U.S. interests at stake, such as alliance or other
security or political relationships and the potential for wider violence. Yet
the full range of tools
— from diplomacy to sanctions and political isolation to military force — must always be available.
Sometimes this might require active diplomacy to prevent one state from
threatening another with force, such as the United States
’ repeated efforts in recent years to reduce tensions between India and Pakistan.
Other instances will require U.S. leadership to try to negotiate an end to
conflicts after they have broken out. For example, this is what the Clinton
administration did when it hammered out the Dayton Peace Accords in
1995, reversing Slobodan Miloševic’s aggression against the newly independent Bosnia. And on some (and hopefully
rare) occasions, the United States will have to use military force to reverse
aggression, as George H.W. Bush did in
1991 when he created and led a un-sanctioned international coalition to kick Iraq out of Kuwait. Today, looking
into the future and the probability of a smaller American presence in Iraq, the
commitment to territorial integrity will be critical insurance against
potential incursions by neighbors such as Iran.
The United States should not allow any leader to hide behind one value in order to violate another.
Of course, another way of describing this is that by valuing the protection of
territorial integrity from threats of force, we are valuing the defense of
sovereignty. That
’s correct to an extent, but we do recognize that under certain circumstances
this value can be trumped by other values, such as the responsibility to defend
the rights and lives of people living within another state
’s territory. We discuss this in greater detail below, but suffice it to say that
the United States should not allow any leader to hide behind one value (the
right not to be invaded) in order to violate another (his people
’s right not to be brutalized).
Defending liberal regimes. The United States should be prepared and willing to help any and all
democratic governments that come under challenge internationally or from
internal antidemocratic elements seeking to overturn liberal political and
social order and the rule of law. This is a basic principle of
democratic solidarity, according to which the most secure, established, and stable liberal
democracies, the United States above all, should acknowledge a responsibility
to come to the assistance of democratic governments that are threatened, that
have yet to become fully consolidated and mature, or are subject to forces of
internal instability.
Liberal democracy, in the view of most of those who govern themselves according
to its principles, is not merely a matter of sovereign choice
— just one among many options. Rather, citizens of democracies tend to regard
their form of government as the
right or best choice, at least for them; they would not consider trading their form of
government for autocratic or totalitarian or theocratic government and would
rightly consider any force in favor of such a change in governance as a serious
threat, one to be challenged and defeated
— not by whatever means necessary, such as abandonment of liberal principles for the
sake of security, but by any means legitimate within the horizon of liberal principles.
If citizens of democracies view their system as the right or best choice for
themselves, those citizens and that state ought to be willing to acknowledge
the rightness of the choice of liberal democracy among the citizens of other
states. They have a stake not only in their own domestic political
arrangements, but in their view of the rightness of liberal democracy, which
does not end at their borders. A threat to liberal democracy elsewhere is
accordingly a challenge and one to which any democratic states with the means
to do so should be willing to meet head on.
Democratic states with the means to do so should meet a threat to liberal democracy elsewhere head on.
The United States has a number of alliances with democratic states, including
several with allies that were not democratic when the alliance relationship
began but became so, perhaps partly as a result of the security provided by the
United States. These alliance commitments remain fully in force, but they are
only a beginning. The United States must recognize that it will not sit idly by
as nondemocratic states try to undermine or even overturn democracies or
fragile liberalizing states. On the contrary, the United States should step up,
together with other democratic states, to provide all the support or assistance
possible.
The correct response when a powerful nondemocratic state tries to coerce a
weaker democratic state
— such as Russia has tried with Ukraine and especially Georgia — is not to temporize out of deference to the power of the strong but to speak up
unequivocally in defense of democracy under threat. To stand aloof or to
appease the stronger power would be to embolden antidemocratic forces, and not
just locally. Some argued that extending the
nato alliance to the Baltic States was foolish because of the military difficulty of
defending Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania against attack and because extending
the Atlantic Alliance onto the territory of the former Soviet Union would
unnecessarily antagonize Russia. We strongly disagreed at the time and believe
we were correct. In our view, the newly won freedom of the Baltic nations and
the establishment of liberal democratic governments there
already created obligations for the United States and nato countries. nato accession did not create but ratified and codified that obligation toward these
peoples. The process was exemplary in warding off any urge to interfere with
and disrupt democratic development and consolidation there
— and elsewhere in Central and Eastern Europe, in our view.
A principle of democratic solidarity is not only good in itself; it makes
external threats to democratic governments less likely by demonstrating that
making such threats will have adverse
global consequences for anyone inclined to pursue such a course. It would be a mistake
to view the principle of democratic solidarity as a military doctrine; its main
components are political, diplomatic, and social.
There are some instances in which democratic solidarity comes with conditions.
For example, U.S. willingness to defend Taiwan against Chinese attack depends
on Taipei
’s not taking the provocative step of a declaration of independence — to which China would respond militarily, according to Beijing’s declaratory policy. This is a reasonable codicil given local circumstances.
There may be others (though Taiwan is arguably the most neuralgic of such at
present). An absolute
military doctrine of democratic solidarity would create moral hazard, since a state might
conclude it could act as provocatively as it wished in response to local
circumstances and still receive the backing of the United States and other
democratic states. That is not the deal. Such a state, by taking action other
democratic states would regard as unreasonable, would itself be breaking from
democratic solidarity. But with such nuances always in mind, a principle of
democratic solidarity should guide U.S. policy, and the United States should
encourage other democratic states to embrace it.
The U.S. should, as far as possible, provide whatever help aspiring democrats and liberalizers seek.
Promoting liberal governance. If a principle of democratic solidarity makes sense at the level of
state-to-state relations, it also makes sense for the United States in relation
to people working toward liberalization and democracy in their own societies.
This is not likely to be especially controversial as a matter of principle
among democratic allies. Opinion surveys in Europe, for example, show large
majorities in favor of promotion of democracy by peaceful means.
3 And it seems likely that a substantial part of the lingering opposition is a
product of concern that democracy will not be liberal, but rather will bring to
power illiberal elements. Our discussion should be understood to refer to the
promotion of liberal democracy, in which the two components are a liberal
social order based on principles of freedom and minority rights as well as
popularly elected governments followed by peaceful transfer of power.
Nevertheless, it cannot be denied that a principle of democratic solidarity — even if broadly accepted by and among, and in application to, democratic states
facing external threats or internal challenge, and even if accepted as the
rightness of supporting development of liberal democracy in principle
— will surely be controversial when considered in application to supporters of
democracy in nondemocratic states.
We think that the United States should, as far as possible, provide whatever
help aspiring democrats and liberalizers seek. The United States should also
encourage similar support among fellow democratic states
— an extension of democratic solidarity. But considerations of prudence, national
interests (such as access to energy resources), and
force majeure will inevitably weigh into such decisions.
What we propose is the imperative of balancing prudential considerations and principle. It is not enough to take note of Saudi oil fields and declare, therefore, that
Saudi Arabia is off limits for criticism and promotion of reform of its
extraordinarily repressive regime. Similarly, China is big, powerful, rising
— and undemocratic (indeed, increasingly openly antidemocratic). We must deal
with the fact that China is a vast and increasingly powerful country; it would
be madness to try to deny it. But we must also deal with the fact that China is
undemocratic.
The objective, in each country in which liberal democracy has yet to take hold or take hold fully, is to identify next steps.
The United States can and must pursue dual-track policies in such cases, as
Francis Fukuyama and Michael McFaul argue.
4 One track will address exigency, the other the moral case.
On the moral track, rather than a one-size-fits-all model of democracy
promotion, we propose a method, a way of thinking about and acting on the
problem that does not pretend to a greater degree of generality than is
appropriate. The objective, in each country in which liberal democracy has yet
to take hold or take hold fully, is to identify
next steps. What is the next plausible step for the expansion of the liberal and
democratic space? Conversely, what is the next plausible step for the
constriction of the space in which authoritarians or antidemocratic elements
operate? The United States should then work vigorously to promote the next
step, applying pressure for reform against the authoritarian element
(typically, the government) and assistance to the democratic element to help
achieve measurable progress. Once the next-step objective has been achieved,
the United States must immediately move on to the
next next step. Pressure and assistance must not let up following interim successes;
on the contrary, it should increase.
We agree that the key failure of the Bush administration’s democracy promotion policy in Egypt, for example, was overeagerness to claim
credit for progress in response to small positive steps. Yes, it was
consequential that the Mubarak government decided to allow other parties to
compete in a presidential election. But it was hardly the birth of liberal
democracy on the Nile Delta. Mubarak deserved congratulations for taking the
step he took
— followed without pause by the demand that he take the next step of moving
toward a free and fair election.
With this next-step policy of constant pressure to expand the liberal space
while contracting the authoritarian space, the United States will be in a
position to say it is keeping faith with the forces of democracy and
liberalization in every country, even in the face of inevitable practical
constraints.
Enforcing the “responsibility to protect.” Liberal democracy, in which people choose their leaders in free and fair
elections and in which political and human rights are secure, including for
minorities, stands at the pinnacle of human political achievement. For some
states, such as the United States, the most urgent political task lies in
helping others achieve this great end while being ever mindful of and seeking
to address the imperfections of its own governance. For others, the
consolidation of transition to democratic governance is the key political task,
and it can often be one of life and death, as the assassination of reformist
Serbian Prime Minister Zoran Djindjic or the dioxin poisoning of Orange
Revolution leader Viktor Yushchenko in Ukraine both demonstrate. For still
others, the political challenge is to pry open any space at all for the
opposition in an authoritarian country.
But for the worst off of all, such as the Tutsi minority in Rwanda or the Kurds
of Saddam Hussein
’s Iraq, the essential political challenge is survival — against the wishes of the government or the mob in whose midst they have the
misfortune to live. Surely, it cannot be right to embrace a principle of
democratic solidarity and democracy promotion for those relatively high on the
social ladder while offering nothing to those in greatest peril of losing the
most basic human right: the right to live.
At the United Nations’ 2005 World Summit in New York, the world’s leaders embraced for the first time the doctrine of the “responsibility to protect.” It holds, briefly, that with sovereign rights come sovereign responsibility,
and the primary responsibility of a government is to protect the people who
live within its territory. In the event that a government is unable or
unwilling to provide protection for its people from would-be perpetrators of
genocide or mass killing and ethnic cleansing
— or worse, is complicit in such crimes against humanity — the international community must take upon itself the responsibility to
protect. No government that fails to protect its people may legitimately assert
a right to noninterference in its internal affairs.
The responsibility to protect is a transformational concept in international
relations. Previously, the victims of the worst sort of war crimes and human
rights abuses on a mass scale had no recourse, trapped as they were behind a
curtain of sovereign right. The adoption of the responsibility to protect
grants them an appeal to the international community.
This is often construed solely through the prism of military intervention, and
in some cases, the only way to stop determined genocidaires may be by force.
But it is wrong to think that military means are the first or main recourse.
The international community needs to take active measures in terms of
monitoring and applying diplomatic and other forms of pressure (such as
sanctions, diplomatic isolation, and negotiations) to avert mass killings and
ethnic cleansing whenever possible.
Of course, there is much dispute over how the “international community” may act. We agree that the United Nations Security Council is the best venue,
not because we think that the United Nations is the only path to legality and
legitimacy, but because so many other states take this view, and their wishes
deserve respect. However, in the event the Security Council fails to take
timely and effective action as a human rights catastrophe unfolds, the United
States must not stand on the sidelines. In the case of Kosovo, when the
Security Council was blocked,
nato stepped up to take decisive action, thereby preventing a genocide. Some still
question the legality of that action. We take the concern seriously coming from
those who were willing to act; we do not take it seriously coming from those
who were prepared to let hundreds of thousands fall prey to ethnic cleansing
and genocide. When necessary, the United States must lead or be willing to join
others to mobilize an effective response to mass killing and widespread
repression.
The U.S. must lead or be willing to join others to mobilize an effective response to mass killing and widespread repression.
Addressing global hardship. As the world’s most powerful country, the United States has the capability to help address
the challenges stemming from poverty, hunger, disease, and lack of opportunity
for billions of people in the developing world. We believe that leadership in
these areas is not just something the United States can do
— it is what the United States must do.
While these issues were once only considered “humanitarian” or “soft” — implying that they are always elective or secondary — there are instrumental reasons why the United States should focus on them. If
one accepts the argument (and we do) that threats emanating from weak or failed
states can endanger U.S. national security, then it is in America
’s interest to help these states stabilize. Some describe this as part of “draining the swamp” of desperation and hardship that radical jihadists and other extremists thrive
in by reducing extreme poverty and replacing the extreme fundamentalism taught
in some madrassas with basic education. As evidence of the growing consensus on
the relationship between these issues and national security, the Bush
administration justifies many of its efforts along these lines
— and when it is criticized, it is usually for not doing enough.
But U.S. leadership in these areas is about more than protecting security.
America
’s actions in the world are a powerful demonstration of what it wants to
accomplish with its power and the values it wishes to uphold. In this sense,
the United States should embrace humanitarianism and not consider it optional
or of minor importance. To do so is both the smart and the morally right thing
to do for our security.
This is also an area where there is significant common ground between the
political right and left. Liberals have long argued that addressing issues like
poverty and disease need to be a core part of U.S. foreign policy. Many
conservatives have as well, especially among the evangelical community (as
exemplified by the work of Franklin Graham and Rick Warren). Spurred in part by
evangelical advocates, the Bush administration has made positive strides in
this direction, increasing assistance to Africa by
67 percent and boosting spending for programs to fight hiv/aids. Meanwhile, three of the major Democratic candidates for president have talked
about the importance of fighting global poverty and making a major push to
improve education throughout the developing world.
Looking ahead, both conservatives and liberals should embrace an agenda centered
on stronger American leadership in these areas
— in fact, one valid criticism of recent U.S. policy is that it too often cedes
the initiative to others. For example, greater resources should be put behind
combating poverty and disease, and there should be a broad recognition that
free trade is critical to helping the developing world advance economically.
And we should consider fundamental reforms in the way the U.S. government is
organized to implement such policies, including ideas like establishing a
Department of Global Development (along the lines of that in the United
Kingdom) and replacing the Foreign Assistance Act.
Strengthening alliances and institutions. Any discussion of implementing the principles outlined above begs a
fundamental question about means: How should the United States work with other
countries? Throughout American history, the subject of whether the United
States should tie itself to the fate of others abroad
— or work with others to solve problems — has been hotly contested. This has been especially true since the end of the
Cold War and the apogee of U.S. primacy, when we really didn
’t need others to solve a lot of problems. While this tugging between unilateralism and
multilateralism is often seen as concerned solely with efficacy and
instrumentality
— sometimes it is better for us to share the burden, sometimes not — we believe that it is in fact a debate about what kind of global power America
should be and what kind of international system we should support. It is not
about instruments; it is about principles.
As Ivo Daalder and Robert Kagan argue, it is important for U.S. policies to be
seen as legitimate both in the eyes of the American people and in the eyes of
the the world.
5 That is a value that other countries — certainly Acirema — might not necessarily care about. America does and should. But the question is
how best to uphold this value and what institutions (whether existing or new)
or multilateral arrangements are the best means to do so. As discussed earlier,
when it comes to implementing values-based policies like defending liberal
regimes or enforcing the responsibility to protect, working through alliances
and international institutions should be as important to the United States (at
least as something to aspire to) as it is to others.
The challenge has been that for many conservatives and liberals, the unilateral
vs. multilateral discourse has framed these ideas as an either/or choice. The
right has focused too much on the constraints of multilateralism and
maintaining U.S. freedom of action. We agree that the United States always
reserves the right to act alone if the circumstances require, but this should
not be the preferred option. In this sense, the Bush administration
’s substance and style — exemplified by its “with us or against us” statements or rhetoric about preemption — have prompted international skepticism about whether the United States
genuinely wants institutions like the United Nations to function or even exist
at all.
The United States should have high expectations of its alliances, and it should have high expectations of its allies.
Yet too many liberals slide into the opposite problem: upholding multilateralism
for its own sake. This has only intensified during the Bush years, when support
for the United States around the world has reached alarming lows. If the United
States is unpopular, some believe that it must be solely our fault and make no
judgment about the behavior of our allies. The remedy among many on the left
seems to us to be overly simplistic: defer at all times to the collective
decisions of institutions. This confuses the reality that international
organizations are stages, not actors. They are simply groupings of other
sovereign states, and while organizations can help facilitate decisions for
states, they cannot make choices for them. They can neither prevent internal
disagreements nor force free riders and buck passers to act.
Recently we’ve seen signs of greater nuance in the unilateral/multilateral debate between
left and right. For example, in his second term President Bush began working
through institutions like the
un Security Council to deal with problems like Iran and Darfur, and with an ad hoc
coalition to negotiate with North Korea. Even his rhetoric is softening: when
asked recently what he has learned from his European partners, he said,
“I have come to realize that other countries do rely upon the United Nations, and
I respect that a lot. So there
’s an area, for example, where I have been taught a lesson by my allies and
friends.
” 6 And among liberals, there is greater recognition that the multilateral route
often can frustrate rather than facilitate action. For example, the longer the
Security Council
’s divisions prevent strong action to end the genocide in Darfur, the louder the
calls become for a
nato response or even unilateral U.S. military intervention.
This bolsters our belief that a new consensus can be formed in support of
seeking the broadest possible coalition to pursue U.S. foreign policy goals.
This means working through alliances and institutions, but also ensuring that
these organizations work. The United States should have high expectations of
its alliances, and in turn it should have high expectations of its allies. It
should be an active and energetic partner, recognizing that getting something
done through a coalition often requires the same kind of daily politicking,
strong-arming, logrolling, and handholding used every day in working with the
U.S. Congress. And while the United States should seek to make existing
institutions like the United Nations and
nato stronger and more effective, it should also work to build other organizations
like the Alliance of Democracies.
The moral core
The conclusion we come to is that while an idealistic foreign policy has become harder to defend
politically, it is possible to construct a forward-looking, values-based agenda
that both liberals and conservatives can support. In fact, such an approach
should garner more than just passive support
— the policies presented above can actually serve as part of the foundation for
U.S. foreign policy in the years ahead. Neither sentimental nor coldly aloof,
these values comprise the core of the rules-based, liberal international order
that the United States should aspire to achieve. This is about more than what
we want; it is about who we are.
Yet because the political incentives against an approach to foreign policy that
promotes American values remain so powerful, as we described at the outset,
such a policy will not emerge on its own. Even with greater clarity about what
values we want to uphold and promote, difficult questions will remain about how
to do so. There will always be debates about acceptable costs and the
trade-offs involved. So success will require sustained attention and steadfast
leadership. With both, the American people will rise to the challenge.
Derek Chollet is a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, and Tod Lindberg is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and editor of Policy Review. This essay is drawn from a Stanley Foundation project and also appears in the new book, Bridging the Foreign Policy Divide (Routledge 2007), which they co-edited with David Shorr.
1 Transatlantic Trends 2006, German Marshall Fund of the United States (2006), 16.
2 Lindberg tends to the view that failed states pose a problem mainly for those directly affected, who have
their hands full trying to survive the local crisis. Chollet is more concerned about spillover effects and
broader destabilization.
3 Transatlantic Trends 2006, German Marshall Fund of the United States.
4 Francis Fukuyama and Michael McFaul, “Should Democracy Be Promoted or Demoted?” in Derek
Chollet, Tod Lindberg, and David Shorr, eds., Bridging the Foreign Policy Divide (Routledge 2007), Chap. 9.
5 Ivo Daalder and Robert Kagan, “America and the Use of Force: Sources of Legitimacy,” in Chollet et al., Bridging the Foreign Policy Divide, Chap. 1.
6 See Bush press conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel (January 4, 2007).
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