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BOOKS: Too Much Vox Populi?
By John O. McGinnis
John O. McGinnis on Democracy Derailed: Initiative Campaigns and the Power of Money by David S. Broder
David S. Broder.
Democracy Derailed: Initiative Campaigns and the Power of Money.
Harcourt. 256 pages. $26.00
David S. Broder is justifiably viewed as the dean of Washington political journalists. He is a
reporter who consistently looks behind the headlines and identifies important trends in
American politics that go beyond narrow partisan divisions. Almost uniquely among
journalists, he canvasses the political science literature to put new phenomena in the
perspective of history and social science. After assembling a mass of data, he then
delivers elegant and balanced judgments that are always deliberate and thoughtful, even if
not invariably on target.
All these skills are impressively on display in his new book, Democracy
Derailed: Initiative Campaigns and the Power of Money. Broder shines his searching
spotlight on the growing importance of state initiatives referenda in which the
voters directly decide issues of fundamental political importance from affirmative action
to term limits, from the appropriate use of labor union dues to the appropriate treatment
of animals. These are exercises in direct democracy, bypassing the legislative process.
Broder provides a detailed and colorful picture of several of these campaigns, showing
that they involve not only civic-minded citizens but organized interest groups. The
campaigns have also created cottage industries, generating a market for lawyers who are
expert in drafting the text of initiatives and for companies that go from door to door
getting voters to sign the initiative petitions.
Above all, Broder highlights the role money plays. The direct democracy
of old New England towns required only a hall for communication among citizens, but the
vastness of California necessitates far more resources for the exchange of views. Campaign
contributions therefore inevitably influence the course of referenda, as they influence
the rest of our politics. Both organized groups and wealthy individuals bankroll
initiatives in the hope of vindicating either group interests or their own personal
ideology.
Usefully, Broder situates this new issue in American political history.
He observes that at the turn of the century Progressives were the first to celebrate
initiatives, touting more populist procedures as a way of avoiding legislatures ensnared
by the monied interests. This pedigree, in Broders view, underscores the irony that
modern initiatives are mostly run by political professionals. He also uses these populist
roots to suggest that enthusiasm for initiatives represents the antithesis of the
Founders view that democracy must be representative rather than direct and be
subject to checks and balances if it is to reach informed judgments and avoid trampling
the rights of minorities.
At the end of the book, Broder goes to school and canvasses academic
opinion on the current initiative process. While he is scrupulous in recording scholarship
both favorable and unfavorable to initiatives, his own judgment is distinctly negative. He
argues that the Framers were wise to prefer legislative rule to unmediated popular
judgment, because, on balance, deliberative democracy leads to more informed, expert, and
dispassionate decision making than direct democracy. He also contends that the initiative
process has been subverted by moneyed interests and wealthy individuals. Thus, as the
subtitle of the book suggests, Broders discontent with referenda substantially rests
on his general dissatisfaction with the role money plays in politics.
Democracy derailed is well reported and well written. Its framework of
analysis, however, is flawed. First, Broders praise of the original Federalist
system of representative democracy for protecting against tyranny of the majority fails to
recognize that modern representative government now faces more substantial dangers of rule
by special interests. As Mancur Olson has shown, concentrated interest groups have
substantially greater power than the diffuse citizenry in the legislative process. At the
time of the Founding, special interest leverage mattered somewhat less because
governments, both state and federal, engaged in far less spending and regulation than they
do today. There was simply less government action from which special interests could
extract resources and opportunities for themselves at the expense of the public. Moreover,
the Framers created a constitutionally limited commercial republic along with deliberative
democracy. In particular, the primacy of property rights made it difficult for special
interests to engage in redistribution through spending and regulation. Therefore, under
our original system, with its relatively low potential for interest group capture,
legislative sovereignty may well have had a comparative advantage over popular sovereignty
because it reduced the dangers of popular tyranny.
Even at the time of the Founding, however, the Antifederalists warned
of important dangers other than majority tyranny. They predicted that as government became
more distant from the people, interest groups and elites (in their era they were mostly
the same) would enlarge the scope of government to their advantage at the expense of the
general public. Their fears have been richly vindicated through the course of the history
of the United States, as the constitutional structures that restrained government, like
property rights and more general societal norms against regulation and
redistribution have receded. With the rise of the special interest state,
legislative sovereignty may no longer enjoy the same comparative advantage over popular
sovereignty because the principal danger of republican government has shifted from
majority tyranny to special interest rent-seeking. Thus, even if one agreed with the
Federalist system in the era of the Framers, support for initiatives may now be warranted
to compensate for other large changes in the scope of government.
To be sure, Broder also is concerned that special interests will
exercise disproportionate influence even over initiatives. But another problem with his
analysis is that he does not ask whether the special interest influence over the
initiative process is greater or less than the special interest influence over the
legislature. If it is less, then initiatives can play a useful role in curbing special
interests. Indeed, the initiative mechanism would then itself reduce special interest
influence over legislatures, because special interests would have fewer incentives to
lobby the legislature when their gains could be wiped out by the general citizenry in a
referendum.
Both political theory and Broders own reporting in fact suggest
that special interests have less leverage over initiatives than in the legislature. One of
the principal advantages that special interests enjoy over the diffuse citizenry is their
greater knowledge of the legislative process and the details of legislative proposals,
because special interests have greater incentives to monitor the legislature and citizens
are ignorant of most of what goes on there. In contrast, initiatives disseminate the
proposals at issue to every voter in the state, thus reducing the information gap between
special interests and citizens. Broder himself suggests that most voters come to
understand the essence of most important initiatives, at least if they are relatively
simple. Moreover, complex initiatives are generally defeated by their very complexity,
thus providing a natural brake on the substitution of popular judgment for detailed
matters best left to legislatures.
Broders reporting also shows that initiatives do help the
majority work their will against special interests. Take the case of racial and ethnic
preferences. As Nelson Lund of George Mason Law School has observed, legislative or
administrative action establishing such preferences can be viewed as a case of
rent-seeking by special interests. Like subsidies to sugar producers, preferences create a
few clear winners (the preferred students or employees) but relatively diffuse losses,
since it is hard for those who are not preferred to ascertain whether they actually lost
an opportunity because of a preference. Legislators are inclined to favor bills with clear
winners and unclear losers, because they gain intense support from the former without
greatly annoying the latter. Legislators and special interests can also increase their
joint benefits by making the content of special legislation more opaque to the average
voter. For instance, by its very vagueness, the term "affirmative action"
obscures the effects of a system of preferences.
As Broder shows, the initiatives in California and Washington against
racial, ethnic, and gender preferences gave the average voter the information and power to
overturn the government establishments support of preferences. Begin with the text
of the initiatives themselves. They were written to prohibit "preferences" and
thus gave voters a clear sense of the actual mechanisms of these programs. Because they
clearly outlined what was at stake, they also generated information about the extent of
the preferences at leading state universities and in government contracting. As a result
of this unmasking, voters by substantial majorities in both California and Washington
approved a prohibition on preferences.
These initiatives were successful despite a huge advantage of opponents
in terms of official support and campaign spending. The figures in Washington state are
particularly striking. Opponents outspent proponents by more than 3-1 and had the support
of the governor, all major newspapers in the states, and its major businesses, including
Microsoft and Boeing. Proponents of a color-blind government would never have won against
this power hierarchy in the absence of the initiative mechanism. Thus, Broder himself
provides substantial evidence that the initiative process can roll back special interest
legislation and provide a mechanism for popular control of elites.
The success of initiatives to ban preferences despite the large
monetary imbalance between proponents and opponents raises a third analytic flaw in
Broders discussion his unjustifiable fear of the role of money in politics.
Even if one were to share his anxiety, Broder has not shown that money influences the
initiative process more than the legislative process. Much of his anecdotal evidence
suggests that money has less influence on referenda, as the votes on preferences suggest.
This accords with what political theory would predict. Because voters are so much more
numerous than legislators and have a broader range of concerns (reelection, for instance,
not being so important a focus), it is harder for campaign resources to change their minds
on issues of fundamental importance.
Broder not only fails to make the case that money is more corrupting of
initiatives than of legislatures, he also fails to make the case that money is a worse
influence than the influences that would replace money were campaign contributions to
initiatives curtailed. Like many advocates of campaign finance reform, Broder believes
that money gives some groups disproportionate power in politics. But restricting money in
politics would further increase the already disproportionate power of those who influence
politics for a living journalists, social scientists, and political pundits of all
kinds. Increasing this differential influence would entrench a group of political
gatekeepers with huge power to set the agenda for American politics.
Moreover, the class that makes its living by manipulating symbols
represents a narrower interest than those with money. Relatively few individuals have what
we might call the "scribal capital" to engage in such direct political
influence. Moreover, those with such capital are politically rather homogeneous.
Journalists, academics, and the arts and entertainment community stand on the left of the
American political spectrum. For instance, legal academics vote 6-1 Democratic, and
national journalists are even more lopsidedly liberal. In contrast, money is more broadly
dispersed among citizens engaged in a huge variety of enterprises. Not surprisingly, the
wealthy are also far less politically homogeneous than the scribes. Therefore money is a
relatively more encompassing interest in American politics than its most likely
replacement.
Once again, Broders reporting itself suggests that our democracy
benefits from the wealth of individuals. Wealthy people have sponsored initiatives on a
very diverse range of matters, from the environment to bilingual education issues
on which they had no direct interest and which would not otherwise have received such
intense political attention. In any event, initiatives have the advantage of allowing the
wealthy to put their innovative ideas for governance before the public without endangering
the republic by inflicting their often quirky personalities on elective office.
A final problem with Broders analytic scheme is that it fails to
recognize the salience of the fact that only states and localities and not the federal
government have an initiative process. States and localities compete for effective
structures of government. If states with initiative processes consistently produce worse
laws than states without those processes, the free movement of people and capital
guaranteed by the federal government should allow citizens and businesses to exit those
jurisdictions. While such movement happens only at the margins, the loss of revenue should
exert some discipline on truly outlandish initiatives.
On the evidence of Broders own rich reporting, however, the
federal governments tendency to squelch political innovation is far more of a danger
than runaway referenda. Already the opponents of term limits have succeeded in striking
down a state term limits referendum for members of Congress despite the Tenth
Amendments protection for state autonomy. The Antifederalists would not have been
surprised that special interests, particularly elites, would impel the federal government
to restrain popular sovereignty because special interests have particular leverage on a
distant and unitary state. The virtue of the initiative process, so long as it survives,
is precisely that it provides a way to counteract this baleful influence by allowing the
diffuse citizenry in diverse jurisdictions to raise its own voice in discrete moments of
self-governance.
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