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FEATURES: A Question of Capacity
By Samuel Casey Carter
How many children can vouchers really help?
How many children can vouchers really help?
The current demand for inner-city private scholarships is just the first sounding
of a national cry for school choice. Across the country there are three times as many
low-income children waiting in line to attend the private school of their choice as there
are scholarships available to place those children in school. In New York City alone over
22,000 children want a shot at one of the 1,200 grants now offered by the School Choice
Scholarships Foundation. While the demand is staggering, at least three times as many
private school seats are available as there are children waiting in line to fill them.
Limits in capacity are not an obstacle to school choice at its current level. In fact,
theres evidence that increased capacity is on the way.
For now the private voucher movement has room to grow.
This is forbidding news for many opponents of school choice. No other initiative so
highlights the failure of public education as the independent effort to provide private
schooling for low-income children in the inner city. What remains to be seen is how many
children vouchers can ultimately help. There is some hidden capacity available at the
moment. When that runs outwill we have fixed the system in time?
How bad is it?
This year the total public and private school enrollment rose to a
record 52.7 million students and is expected to increase every year through 2006 to a
projected 54.4 million children. This spike in population, known as the baby boom echo,
has prompted the Secretary of Education each year for the last three years to publish a
special report on the national need for new school facilities, building renovations, and
additional teachers.
While much of the growth in our nations schools is suburban in
nature, Secretary Rileys latest report estimates that our high-poverty urban and
rural communities face some of the greatest pressures. The New York City school system,
with a total enrollment of more than one million students, increased by 121,803 students
between 1985 and 1995. In the same period, Dade County School District, which educates the
immigrant populations of Miami, Florida, took in an additional 97,690 students,
representing a 41 percent increase in total enrollment. With numbers like these in store
for the next few years, people have been asking: where are all of these children going to
go?
In suburban areas the answer to this last question is
simplefurther out. The Clark County School District in Las Vegas is now an area
larger than the state of New Jersey. With $3.5 billion in construction bonds recently
approved, the district plans to build 88 schools over the next decade, or roughly one
every six weeks.
Fulton County School District, which includes Atlanta, is projecting an
enrollment increase of 3,500 students a year for the next several years, an increase that
is 32 percent higher than expected capacity. This last figure is calculated after
the district has built 18 new schools in the last decade and includes its plans to
build 17 more over the next five years. The public school system in Fulton County still
requires 327 trailers as classrooms. No matter how much real estate you have available,
classroom capacity sets a natural limit on the number of children you can serve.
Our cities are also in trouble. Poor, decrepit, and riddled with
violence, many inner-city schools have become warehouses of our countrys neediest
children. Despite the fact that these schools have little academic merit, are physically
dangerous, or both, thousands of childrenwho have no choice but to attend their
local public schoolhave filled them to the rafters.
Indeed overcrowding in large, central-city school districts is one of
the gravest concerns of public educators. In a recent study of 22 urban areas with
overcrowded public schools, two thirds of them have overcrowding in at least 25 percent of
their institutions. In some districts, like Dade County and Milwaukee, more than 85
percent of their schools are overcrowded. Although responses to overcrowding vary from
place to place, students in overcrowded schools invariably attend classes in substandard
space, enjoy fewer course offerings, and experience little academic supervision.
It is into this environment that school choice advocates first promoted
privately-funded vouchers for low-income children in the inner city. While wealthier
families can send their children to private schools or move to better districts, the poor
have no choice but to endure whatever schools are left behind. Advocates of these programs
are unequivocal: inner-city children have already been abandonedonly if we get them
into better schools will their chances of survival improve.
The availability of private-school seating is thus often cited as an
obvious constraint on the potential impact of privately-funded vouchers: few extra seats
are available, so the real help vouchers promise is minuscule. Upon closer inspection,
however, the existing capacity of private and parochial schools in the inner city is
sufficient to relieve some overcrowding and free thousands of children from the
despair of their failed local school.
Where can they go?
Across 37 cities and three states, this April the Childrens
Scholarship Fund (CSF) will issue grants to 35,000 low-income children who wish to attend
private schools starting in the Fall of 1999. The program has an estimated worth of $150
million and promises to continue for at least four years.
The cities selected for this program were chosen on the basis of need,
their ability to match the donated funds, and the available seating capacity of private
schools in the surrounding areas. This last factor is critical. Many cities were not
chosen, because the population is too spread out, or, as weve seen in Las Vegas,
spreading out too fast. But in all 40 cities and states now in the program, there are
seats available to match the number of scholarships offered. In fact, there are many more
than that.
The most recent numbers come from the U.S. Department of Education.
According to a report entitled Barriers, Benefits, and Costs of Using Private Schools
to Alleviate Overcrowding in Public Schools, there are over 3,100 private schools
serving the 22 urban communities with the most overcrowded public school systems. With a
full third of these private schools now operating below 70 percent of their full capacity,
the report estimates that there are between 150,000 and 185,000 private spaces available
in these urban districts alone. All 22 of these communities but one are participating in
the CSF program. By the most conservative estimates, more than 220,000 spaces are now open
in the 37 cities selected for the 35,000 scholarships.
Evidently, there is room for voucher programs to grow.
Ronald Valenti, Superintendent of Catholic Schools in the Archdiocese
of Baltimore, says he could add 1,200-1,500 students to his inner city schools without
taxing the current system. "We welcome the opportunity of a voucher program in
Baltimore," says Valenti. "Any program that enhances the power of parents to
make a choice is going to strengthen education across the board." CSF is bringing 500
scholarships to Baltimore in 1999.
Like Baltimore, Philadelphia has also been identified as having one of
the 22 most overcrowded urban public school systems in the country. In such an environment
who has room for more scholarship children? According to Msgr. Philip J. Cribben,
Secretary for Catholic Education in Philadelphia, he has. In Philadelphia, 80 percent of
the private schools are Catholic. In 1970 the archdiocese enrolled over 100,000 K-8
students. Today, the 96 parish elementary schools in the city enroll just 40,000 children.
While some schools have closed, Msgr. Cribben estimates that 20,000 students could be
added without changing the existing infrastructure. CSF is bringing 1,250 scholarships to
Philly in 1999.
There is some hidden private
school capacity at the moment. When that runs outwill we have fixed the system in
time?
As the twin evils of overcrowding and failed
instruction drive more students to private schools, however, this new found capacity is
sure to dry up quickly.
One of the older programs in the business, the Washington Scholarship
Fund (WSF), placed 1,300 students in private schools this year. In October 1997 the Fund
executed a capacity survey locating 4,000 private seats in the Washington metro
area2,000 of which were in the center city. This year 96 percent of WSF scholarships
went to those inner city schools. Is a capacity problem then already looming for the older
or more successful programs? "Theoretically, were going to hit a wall at some
point," says Patrick Purtill, executive director of the Fund, "but our goal is
to give every low-income child in the District of Columbia who wants to go to a private
school the opportunity to do so."
It is this desire of private voucher programs to provide greater
opportunities for all poor children that makes capacity an issue to be reckoned with. Ted
Forstmann, one of the CSF co-founders, was quoted in the Los Angeles Times saying
his program is "bounded not so much by our generosity or our money, but by the
appropriate capacity of private-school classrooms." Forstmann knows the numbers. Four
times the size of his present program probably isnt enough for him. He wants a
system that encourages growth.
Jerome Porath, Los Angeles Superintendent of Catholic Schools, explains
this point: "Our problem with vouchers, public or private, is that unless and until
they are large enough to include space costs, they will never be sufficient to let us meet
the demand."
Small privately-funded vouchers dont increase
capacityand they wont until they command more buying power. The size of a
scholarship program is always a function of funding. The more funds are raised, the more
children have a choice. While it is good news that seats are available for many more
scholarships, scholarships alone wont educate the two million children soon to enter
the system or the ten million poor now in its very worst schools.
A $1,200 scholarship can give a child a choice, but it cant build
a new classroom. Catholic schools are the most affordable private schools in the inner
city, in part, because they are the most heavily subsidized. The national average Catholic
tuition of $1,499 covers only 62 percent of the total cost of that education. The rest is
paid for by the Church, either at the parish or diocesan level. At these rates, no new
schools will be built anytime soon. So what sized voucher could increase capacity?
Porath has run the numbers. To build a typical parish elementary school
for 300 students costs between $8 and $10 million. A bond issue at 6 percent on $9 million
amortized over 30 years, divided by the number of students, gives you the cost to acquire
the space. In order to cover the $654,000 mortgage, a voucher would need a $2,180 price
hike. Not bad news really: publicly-funded vouchers between $3,500 and $4,000 just might
encourage such spending.
Whats the solution?
America needs a competitive education industry where no one limits the
supply. Privately-funded voucher programs have already proven the demand side of the
equation: if you give people a choice, theyll take it. Now we need a system that
delivers an equally simple message to public and private schools alikeeducate our
children, or go out of business. While vouchers are a good start in this direction, we
need a system where the public funding of education can follow the child to her school of
choice. Each year Americans make a massive investment in education. Through choice we can
channel that spending to schools that work. Where added capacity is needed, choice will
best make that known.
Since Cleveland started its publicly-funded voucher program two new
schools have opened. The voucher in Cleveland averages $2,250. In Milwaukee, enrollment
fluctuations indicate a dynamic market at work: overall enrollment in the citys 32
private high schools actually declined one percent last year, while individual
schools saw 16 and even 33 percent increases. Voucher student transfers account for most
of this movement. The voucher in Milwaukee averages $4,900. It should not be long before
some schools in this city are encouraged to expand while others are put out of work.
In the wake of suburban flight, massive resources have been left
behind. Not only Catholic and other Christian schools, but community centers, meeting
halls, theaters, churches, chapels, and municipal buildings of every sort. No one is
calculating how these resources might be converted into useable classroom space. And,
under normal circumstances, no one in an abandoned neighborhood is encouraged to do so.
For the first time, however, the entrepreneurial spirit that fuels the private voucher
movement is bringing creative solutions to bear on the problems of the urban poor.
A $1,200 scholarship can give a
child a choice, but it cant build a classroom. In order to build new schools,
vouchers need a price hike.
Pat Rooney, the pioneer in privately-funded vouchers, is now developing
a model that will enable inner city churches to open new schools at rock bottom prices.
Already five of these "safe haven" schools have opened in Indianapolis and there
are seven more around the country. Following the Rooney model, a man named Bernie Miller
has already opened a Safe Haven School in Chattanooga in an abandoned church he leases
from the Methodists. Next year in Chattanooga, through the generosity of the MacLellan
Foundation, three new schools will open in community centers outside of urban housing
projects.
The CEO America Horizon project in San Antonio should encourage similar
innovation and adaptation. Over the next ten years, up to 14,000 low-income children in
San Antonios Edgewood school district may use vouchers worth up to $4,000 to attend
the school of their choice. Already two new schools have been created by the program and
some existing schools have opened up new classrooms. As in Milwaukee and Cleveland, more
development is happening in a shorter time frame here, because the voucher enjoys real
buying power and the open market includes both public and private schools. According to
Robert Aguirre, director of the Horizon project, "any recognized school under Texas
law" qualifies for the program. "We trust the marketplace will find its own
level."
Brother Stanley Culotta, the principal of Holy Cross Academy, is
concerned that the west side of San Antonio has no Catholic girls school. Hes
looking at possibly building one for 600 girls. In 1999 his boys school will be at
maximum capacity. Already hes acquired additional land for $200,000 and expects to
spend $10 million building on it. Now that his school has gained a reputation for
excellence in the area, he is looking to the community to help him with this expansion.
The Horizon project in San Antonio is the only district-wide private
voucher program in the country. It is a harbinger of things to come. On average we spend
$6,500 a year per pupil on public education. If tomorrow we were free to spend that money
on private as well as public schools, today we could solve our capacity problems.
The "Neighborhood Effect"
of School Choice
Most people who leave the central cities for the
suburbs cite three main reasons for their move: crime, the quality of life, and the
quality of the public schools. Cities have been getting the upper hand on crime in recent
years, while redevelopment efforts have made many central city neighborhoods more
attractive places to live and work. But it will be necessary to restore all three aspects
of city life before central cities can hope to reverse the exodus of middle class
families.
"Good schools are the lifeblood of our
cities," says education researcher Denis Doyle, "save the schools and we save
our cities." Young families with children are the demographic group that is fleeing
the central cities in the highest numbers. "The people leaving the city are those the
city needs most to retain its vitality, namely, working- and middle-class families with
children," says Doyle. "Cities that lose families with children are in
trouble." Most cities are trying to fix their schools with more of the same
ingredients that have already failedmore money and greater centralized control. It
is time, Doyle argues, to try school choice as an urban renewal strategy instead.
The evidence in favor of such a strategy is growing.
A Calvert Institute survey of people who had moved out of Baltimore, for example, found
that among families with school-age children, the poor quality of the schools was a
primary reason to leave for more than half of them. 82 percent expressed some
dissatisfaction with the Baltimore public school system. Perhaps most significant is the
finding that of those who cited poor schools as a reason for leaving Baltimore, 51 percent
might have stayed in the central city if full school choice were available.
Urban scholars David P. Varady and Jeffrey A.
Raffel, authors of Selling Cities: Attracting Homebuyers Through Schools and Housing
Programs, offer corroborating evidence. Varady and Raffel note that Cincinnati has
been more successful than other Ohio cities in stemming the exodus of middle class
families because it embraced magnet schools instead of forced-busing to achieve
desegregation. But even more significant, Varady and Raffel think, has been the role of
Catholic parochial schools. "The Catholic schools are important for the city because
they serve as neighborhood anchors," they write. "The [Catholic]
schools serve to promote a high quality of life, particularly for parents who are
neighborhood-oriented. St. Catherine School and Nativity School are examples of quality
schools that are helping to maintain racially integrated neighborhoods."
Some of the early experiences of pilot school choice
programs in central city neighborhoods are encouraging. On Clevelands lower income
east side, a voucher-supported Hope Academy that opened three years ago has contributed
significantly to the revitalization of the surrounding neighborhood. At the time the
school opened, an abandoned building located across the street attracted indigents,
drunks, and prostitutes, and a nearby bar operated 20 hours a day. But the Hope Academy,
said John Morris, who provides management services to the school, "became an anchor
for the local community, leading to a community effort among people who didnt even
have children in the school. It pulled the neighborhood together to eradicate the bad
stuff that had been going on."
First, the neighborhood convinced the bar owner to
reduce his hours, which led to an immediate decline in public drunkenness and
prostitution. The police, who hadnt been much help at first ("They wanted to
see if wed stick around," said Morris), began patrolling more frequently and
making more arrests. In the three years since the Hope Academy opened, there have been no
auto thefts and only one burglary. There are no longer any bars on the schools
windows. "The revival of the neighborhood is a byproduct we hadnt counted
upon," said Morris.
A similar story comes from Pacoima, California,
where Yvonne Chan, founder of the Vaughn Learning Center (a charter school where the
mostly minority student body is required to wear uniforms), repeatedly asked the police to
shut down a crack house located adjacent to the school. Frustrated by inaction, Chan
ultimately bought the crack house for $8,000with savings achieved by contracting out
certain school servicesand held a "bulldozing party." Neighbors cheered as
the crack house was demolished and a new learning center was built on the site. Because
Californias charter school law allows contracting out and exempts charter schools
from the Davis-Bacon prevailing wage requirements, Chan was able to give the building
contract to a neighborhood contractor and so further support the local areas growth.
Sociologists have long studied the deleterious
"neighborhood effects" of bars, liquor stores, card rooms, and corner drug
dealers. The prospect of dozens of small schools that would emerge spontaneously with
widespread school choice suggests that the "neighborhood effects" of school
choice might go a long way toward revitalizing our central cities.
Steven Hayward |
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