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New Leadership, New China? Where is China headed after the 16th Communist Party Congress?

January 24, 2003 to January 25, 2003

Stauffer Auditorium Hoover Institution Stanford University

THE HOOVER INSTITUTION
& THE INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL POLICY RESEARCH PRESENT


CONFERENCE AGENDA

Friday, January 24

8:15 A.M. Registration and Continental Breakfast
8:45 A.M. Opening Remarks
LARRY DIAMOND, Hoover Institution
CHIH-CHENG LO, INPR & Soochow University
9:00 A.M. Panel I
LOWELL DITTMER, UC Berkeley
The Sixteenth Communist Party Congress as a Chinese Political Development Process
 
SUISHENG ZHAO, Denver University
The New Generation of Leadership
 
   CHAIR: RAMON MYERS, Hoover Institution
   DISCUSSANTS: DAVID M. LAMPTON, John Hopkins University, SAIS
                        LYMAN MILLER, Hoover Institution
11:00 A.M. Break
11:30 A.M. Panel II
YUN-HAN CHU, Academia Sinica (presenting a paper by YU-SHAN WU)
The Politics of Economic and Social Reform
 
   CHAIR: CHIH-CHENG LO, INPR & Soochow University
   DISCUSSANT: RAMON MYERS, Hoover Institution
12:30 P.M. Lunch in the Staff Lounge
1:30 P.M. Panel III
DAVID SHAMBAUGH, George Washington University
The Military and Party-Military Relations
 
GERRIT GONG, Brigham Young University
China's International Strategy
 
   CHAIR: HUNG-MAO TIEN, INPR
   DISCUSSANTS: CHONG-PIN LIN, National Sun Yat-sen University, Taiwan
                        HARRY HARDING, George Washington University
3:30 P.M. Break
4:00 P.M. Panel IV
JOHN LEWIS & XUE LITAI, Asia/Pacific Research Center, Stanford University
Can the Chinese Communist Party Transform Itself?
 
   CHAIR: LARRY DIAMOND, Hoover Institution
   DISCUSSANT: KEVIN O'BRIEN, UC Berkeley
5:00 P.M. Conference Adjourns
 
 

Saturday, January 25

8:15 A.M. Registration and Continental Breakfast
9:00 A.M. Panel V
DOROTHY SOLINGER, UC Irvine
State and Society in Urban China
 
JEAN OI, Stanford University
State and Society in Rural China
 
   CHAIR: JULIA STRAUSS, University of London
   DISCUSSANTS: ANDREW WALDER, Stanford University
                        THOMAS BERNSTEIN, Columbia University
11:00 A.M. Break
11:30 A.M. Panel VI
RICK BAUM, UCLA
Political Change after the Sixteenth Party Congress
 
   CHAIR: LARRY DIAMOND, Hoover Institution
   DISCUSSANTS: MINXIN PEI, Carnegie Institute for International Peace
12:30 P.M. Lunch in the Staff Lounge
1:30 P.M. Panel VII
YUN-HAN CHU, Academia Sinica
Policy toward Taiwan and the Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations
 
KENNETH LIEBERTHAL, University of Michigan
Prospects for US-China Relations
 
   CHAIR: CHIH-CHENG LO, INPR
   DISCUSSANTS: RAMON MYERS, Hoover Institution
                        SUSAN SHIRK, UC San Diego
3:30 P.M. Break
4:00 P.M. Panel VIII: Concluding Remarks
HARRY HARDING, CHONG-PIN LIN, MINXIN PEI, & SUSAN SHIRK
Prospects for China's Future: Domestic and International Challenges for the New Leadership
 
   CHAIR: HUNG-MAO TIEN, INPR
5:30 P.M. Conference Concludes