Michael S. Bernstam

Research Fellow
Biography: 

Michael S. Bernstam, a research fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, is an economic demographer who studies the centrality of income redistribution for the taxonomy and evolution of economic systems, long-run economic growth, demographic transition, social revolutions, conflict, and other social changes.

The focus of his work in the past ten years has been on the causes of economic growth and contraction in former central plan economies, with special emphasis on Russia, China, and the former East Germany, and how to reconcile them with earlier global experience. To this end, he is at work on the book From Predation to Prosperity: How to Move from Socialism to Markets (with Alvin Rabushka). Several chapters of this book, as well as numerous articles and commentaries on the subject, are posted at www.russiaeconomy.org, a web site created jointly by Bernstam and Rabushka.

Bernstam's previous books include Fixing Russia's Banks: A Proposal for Growth, with Alvin Rabushka (Hoover Institution Press, 1998); Inter-Enterprise Debt and the Russian Coal Sector, with Thomas E. MaCurdy (Partners in Economic Reform for the USAID, 1996); and Reform without Shock, with Vladimir Leksin (Supreme Economic Council of Russia, 1992).

Bernstam's other major publications include Resources, Environment, and Population: Present Knowledge, Future Options, with Kingsley Davis (Oxford University Press, 1991); The Wealth of Nations and the Environment (Institute of Economic Affairs, 1991); Malthus and the Evolution of the Welfare State, with Peter L. Swan (University of New South Wales, 1989); and Below-Replacement Fertility in Industrial Societies: Causes and Consequences, with Kingsley Davis and Rita Ricardo-Campbell (Cambridge University Press, 1986). He has also authored numerous articles, papers, and book chapters.

Bernstam served as visiting professor of economics at Monash University, Victoria, Australia, in 1989 and as an adjunct professor in Stanford University's Overseas Studies Program in 1997–99.

During 1991–95, Bernstam served as economic adviser to the Russian Parliament, the Central Bank of Russia, and the Russian government on several policy projects. He is a regular commentator on the Russian economy and finance for Radio Liberty, Voice of America, and the BBC.

His research papers are available at the Hoover Institution Archives.

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Recent Commentary

From Predation to Prosperity

From Predation to Prosperity, Chapter 1

by Michael S. Bernstam, Alvin Rabushka
Monday, October 20, 2008

From Predation to Prosperity, Chapter 1, "Free and Not So Free to Charge: Income Redistribution and Russia's GDP Contraction, 1992-98, and Recovery, 1999-2007," consolidated, revised, and updated (Book chapter)

From Predation to Prosperity

From Predation to Prosperity: How to Move from Socialism to Markets

by Michael S. Bernstam, Alvin Rabushkavia Books by Hoover Fellows
Monday, October 20, 2008

This book starts with the experience of Russia since the end of central planning. It covers the great contraction of 1992-98 and the subsequent recovery in 1999-2006. It offers and empirically supports a uniform explanation of both the contraction and the recovery.

The Third Russian Financial Crash Coming

with Michael S. Bernstamvia Uncommon Knowledge
Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

Falling Oil, Sinking Rouble

with Michael S. Bernstamvia Uncommon Knowledge
Thursday, September 11, 2008

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

The End of Russia's Oil Boom?

with Michael S. Bernstamvia Uncommon Knowledge
Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

What Russia Needs to Move from Recovery to Growth

with Michael S. Bernstamvia Uncommon Knowledge
Thursday, May 8, 2008

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

The End of Russia's Oil Boom

with Michael S. Bernstamvia Uncommon Knowledge
Friday, April 18, 2008

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

Pages

From Predation to Prosperity: How to Move from Socialism to Markets

From Predation to Prosperity

This book starts with the experience of Russia since the end of central planning. It covers the great contraction of 1992-98 and the subsequent recovery in 1999-2006. It offers and empirically supports a uniform explanation of both the contraction and the recovery.

The Russian Economy