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The Provinces

China’s Top Future Leaders to Watch: Biographical Sketches of Possible Members of the Post-2012 Politburo (Part 3)

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Monday, October 1, 2012

The composition of the new Politburo, including generational attributes and individual idiosyncratic characteristics, group dynamics, and the factional balance of power, will have profound implications for China’s economic priorities, social stability, political trajectory, and foreign relations. This third entry in a four-part series provides concise profiles of possible members of the next Politburo, focusing on the following three aspects: personal and professional background, family and patron-client ties, and political prospects and policy preferences.

The Provinces

China’s Top Future Leaders to Watch: Biographical Sketches of Possible Members of the post-2012 Politburo (Part 2)

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Monday, August 6, 2012

The composition of the new Politburo, including generational attributes and individual idiosyncratic characteristics, group dynamics, and the factional balance of power, will have profound implications for China’s economic priorities, social stability, political trajectory, and foreign relations. To a great extent, these leaders’ political position and policy preferences are often shaped or constrained by their personal experience, leadership expertise, factional affiliation, and bureaucratic portfolio. This series will provide concise and primarily fact-based biographies for 25 to 30 possible members of the next Politburo, focusing on the following three aspects: personal and professional background, family and patron-client ties, and political prospects and policy preferences. The aim is to present a complete set of biographical sketches of all members of this supreme leadership body by the time the 18th Party Congress has wrapped up in the fall of 2012.

Foreign Policy

Chinese Leadership and Elite Responses to the U.S. Pacific Pivot

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Monday, August 6, 2012

Over the past several years, the most significant overall U.S. foreign policy action of relevance to China has been the announcement and initial follow-through of the so-called Pacific pivot or “Rebalancing” of U.S. attention and resources to the Asia-Pacific. Many observers and officials in the United States, China, Asia, and elsewhere view this policy move as an important response not only to the growing overall significance of the region to American interests, but in particular to the challenges and opportunities presented by an increasingly powerful China. The Pacific Pivot has thus drawn considerable attention and levels of controversy in many quarters, and nowhere more so than in Beijing. This article takes a close look at Beijing’s reactions to Washington’s increased stress on Asia, including its assessments of the perceived implications of this policy shift for the region and for China in particular.

From Predation to Prosperity

From Predation to Prosperity, Chapter 1

by Michael S. Bernstam, Alvin Rabushka
Monday, October 20, 2008

From Predation to Prosperity, Chapter 1, "Free and Not So Free to Charge: Income Redistribution and Russia's GDP Contraction, 1992-98, and Recovery, 1999-2007," consolidated, revised, and updated (Book chapter)

The Flat Tax at Work in Russia: Year Seven, 2007

by Alvin Rabushka
Thursday, August 28, 2008

The Federal Treasury of the Russian Federation has compiled the data for total taxes and revenues for the consolidated federal and regional budgets for 2006. The data show that the 13% flat tax on personal income continues to achieve very positive results.

The Flat Tax at Work in Russia: Year Six, 2006

by Alvin Rabushka
Thursday, December 13, 2007

The Federal Treasury of the Russian Federation has compiled the data for total taxes and revenues for the consolidated federal and regional budgets for 2006. The data show that the 13% flat tax on personal income continues to achieve very positive results.

Resolving Shia, Sunni, and Kurdish Claims Over Oil Revenue in Iraq

by Alvin Rabushka
Friday, September 21, 2007

The United States, with support from the United Kingdom, invaded Iraq on March 19, 2003. The forces of Saddam Hussein were routed in a brilliant military campaign that lasted three short weeks. Toppling Saddam’s statue in central Baghdad, followed by President Bush’s talking about the “end of major combat operations when he landed on the aircraft carrier USS Lincoln on May 1, 2003, laid the foundation for a new Iraq, hopefully democratic, pro-Western, and an ally against al-Qaeda and other radical Islamic forces in the Middle East.

Analysis and Commentary

The Flat Tax at Work in Russia: Year Five, 2005

by Alvin Rabushkavia russianeconomy.org
Thursday, May 11, 2006

The 13% flat tax has become a stable feature of Russia’s tax system. With the rise in real incomes percolating through the economy, receipts continue to grow at a healthy clip.

Analysis and Commentary

China vs. Russia: International Bankers Run a Natural Experiment

by Alvin Rabushka, Michael S. Bernstamvia russianeconomy.org
Thursday, April 13, 2006

Who would imagine international bankers running a natural experiment for us, free of charge? And yet, they did, in the mid-2000s in China and Russia.

An Accidental Illiberal Recovery: Russia, 1999–2005

by Michael S. Bernstam, Alvin Rabushkavia Analysis
Tuesday, January 10, 2006

This is a story of an accidental series of policy decisions with enormous consequences.

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