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Analysis and Commentary

An SIR Model With Behavior

by John H. Cochranevia The Grumpy Economist
Monday, May 4, 2020

Following my last post, the SIR model has been completely and totally wrong. Answers follow from assumptions. It assumes a constant reproduction rate, and the virus peters out when sick people run in to recovered and immune people. That's not what's happening -- people responded by lowering the contact rate, long before we ran in to herd immunity.

Featured

Dumb Reopening Might Just Work

by John H. Cochranevia The Grumpy Economist
Monday, May 4, 2020

A smart reopening, with well worked out protocols at work, and a robust competent test and trace public health response to stamp out the embers, seems unlikely. Technology to save us -- vaccine, cure, cheap daily test, scaled up and implemented -- seems unlikely in the next few months. We seem fated to a dumb reopening. Conventional wisdom says we will then get a massive second wave in the fall, followed by a larger shutdown.

Interviews

COVID-19 Coverage: John Yoo On The Constitutional Questions Raised By Coronavirus (Banter)

interview with John Yoovia AEI Podcast Channel
Monday, May 4, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow John Yoo discusses whether President Trump can unilaterally “reopen” the country; how much power the states’ governors have to regulate businesses, parks, and other facilities; whether we can make China pay for the economic damage the CCP has wrought; and when and how these interminable lockdowns will end.

Interviews

Dr. Scott Atlas Says Science And Logic Must Guide The Reopening Of America

interview with Scott W. Atlasvia Fox News
Monday, May 4, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Scott Atlas discusses a better way to handle COVID-19 rather than policies based on fear and catastrophic projections.

Analysis and Commentary

U.S. Firms Foresee Intensifying Coronavirus Impact

by David Altig, Jose Maria Barrero, Nick Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, Nick Parkervia Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Monday, May 4, 2020

In late March—even before many states had issued shelter-in-place, stay-at-home, or shutdown orders—we noted that firms were bracing for a huge negative impact on sales revenues from developments surrounding the coronavirus. 

Analysis and Commentary

It’s An Injustice

by Niall Ferguson quoting Kevin Hassettvia Boston Globe
Monday, May 4, 2020

Growing up in Glasgow, my friends and I liked to quote Calimero sarcastically at anyone who complained about their lot. ‘It’s an injustice, it is!’

Analysis and Commentary

The Education Exchange: “Some School Districts Are Talking About Not Reopening Until Next January”

by Paul E. Petersonvia The Education Exchange
Monday, May 4, 2020

The director of the Center on Reinventing Public Education, Robin Lake, joins Paul E. Peterson to discuss a new report published by CRPE which details school district response plans to Covid-19.

Featured

Price Gouging Could Actually Fix Our Face Mask Shortage

by Russ Robertsvia Marker (Medium)
Sunday, May 3, 2020

If we don’t let prices for essential goods rise, we can’t incentivize making more of them.

Featured

How To Reopen Society Using Medical Science And Logic

by Scott W. Atlasvia The Hill
Sunday, May 3, 2020

As of the first week of May, more than 66,000 Americans have died from the COVID-19 pandemic. Given that three to four weeks typically elapse before death, thousands more who are already infected will also succumb to the virus. That said, the direct toll from the infection has markedly declined throughout the United States, including the epicenter of New York. 

Interviews

Kevin Hassett: White House Economic Adviser Says Additional Coronavirus Stimulus Package Might Not Be Necessary

interview with Kevin Hassettvia CNN
Saturday, May 2, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Kevin Hassett says that another round of coronavirus relief legislation might not be necessary.

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Health Care Policy Working Group


The Working Group on Health Care Policy devises public policies that enable more Americans to get better value for their health care dollar and foster appropriate innovations that will extend and improve life.