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Analysis and Commentary

Where Else Can They Go?

by Richard A. Epsteinvia Hoover Daily Report
Wednesday, May 26, 2004

The reason candidates migrate to the center is captured in the expression, where else can they go?

The Provinces

Hu's New Deal and the New Provincial Chiefs

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Friday, April 30, 2004

Any major shift in the strategic development of a country cannot be achieved without the presence of a large, unified group of governing elites who support the plan. Hu Jintao's New Deal is no exception. An analysis of the 29 top provincial leaders appointed since Hu became president of the People's Republic of China (PRC) in March 2003 shows that he has selected many like-minded provincial leaders to carry out his New Deal policies. Most of these new provincial leaders are relatively young; they typically advanced their careers from the grass roots and local administration; most have postgraduate degrees (mainly in economics, the social sciences, and the humanities); and many worked in rural areas early in their careers and later gained experience by managing large cities. Many had close ties with Hu during the early years of their careers as Chinese Communist Youth League (CCYL) officials. Equally significantly, the experience and outlook of many of these provincial chiefs mirror those of their role models Hu and Wen, in terms of their substantial work experience in China's inland region as well as the image of themselves they choose to present to the general public.

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Troubled Images

via Hoover Digest
Friday, April 30, 2004

The Northern Ireland conflict as seen from the participants’ strikingly different perspectives. By Cissie Dore Hill.

Party Affairs

Where Have All the Elders Gone?

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Friday, April 30, 2004

The sweeping turnover of top party and state leaders completed in 2003 brought about the retirement of more than a dozen influential men who had dominated China's politics in the 1990s. Together they join a group of leaders, commonly referred to as the "elders," who presumably retain significant political influence in the decision making of their successors. Since retiring, however, the elders have presented a very low public profile, so divining the extent and nature of their influence is a highly speculative enterprise.

Why Gun-Barrel Democracy Doesn’t Work

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, George W. Downsvia Hoover Digest
Friday, April 30, 2004

Over the past half century, the United States has repeatedly sent its military forces abroad in the name of democracy. Yet very few of the countries we have invaded have become democratic. By Hoover fellow Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and George W. Downs.

Preserving the Reagan Legacy

by James C. Miller IIIvia Hoover Digest
Friday, April 30, 2004

In an era of cynicism, Ronald Reagan can still teach us much. By Hoover fellow James C. Miller III.

Economic Policy

Financial Reconstruction: Methodical Policymaking Moves into the Spotlight

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Friday, April 30, 2004

The Wen Jiabao administration has found its feet and instituted ambitious initiatives in the financial arena. Since December 2003, major new policies toward the financial sector have been rolled out. Recapitalization, reorganization, and stock market listing of two of the main state-owned banks have begun. A program for new policies toward the stock market has been released. The launching of major programs follows the reorganization of the administrative apparatus and the promulgation of a series of laws and programmatic documents. Thus, the resumption of activist policymaking represents the culmination of a steady and methodical process of preparation. The degree of preparation is impressive, but it also reflects the magnitude of the challenges currently being faced and the difficulty of shepherding new policies through the Chinese political system.

When Words Go Bad

by Victor Davis Hansonvia Hoover Digest
Friday, April 30, 2004

The empty vocabulary of anti-Americanism. By Hoover fellow Victor Davis Hanson.

Analysis and Commentary

Nothing New about Outsourcing

by Alvin Rabushkavia Hoover Daily Report
Wednesday, April 28, 2004

Outsourcing—the subject of intense controversy this election year—is blamed for the loss of jobs in the United States, but outsourcing should be nothing new to Americans. The founding and development of America is the result of English outsourcing in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries.

Analysis and Commentary

The Blacks and the GOP

by Robert Zelnickvia Hoover Daily Report
Thursday, April 8, 2004

Each time I see the African American community preparing to vote overwhelmingly for the Democratic presidential candidate, I recall the warm Washington spring forty years ago when a craggy-faced septuagenarian named Everett McKinley Dirksen convinced his Republican senate colleagues to back cloture on the Civil Rights Act of 1964, which broke the southern Democratic filibuster and ensured passage of legislation triggering the "Second Reconstruction."

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Military History Working Group


The Working Group on the Role of Military History in Contemporary Conflict examines how knowledge of past military operations can influence contemporary public policy decisions concerning current conflicts.