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    James W. Ceaser

    James W. Ceaser

    James Ceaser is the Harry F. Byrd Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, director of the Program for Constitutionalism and Democracy, and was a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution. He is the author of several books on American politics and American political thought, including...

    E.g., 2021-12-05
    E.g., 2021-12-05

    The New Central Military Commission

    Research | Articles | by James Mulvenon
    Monday, January 14, 2013

    The advent of the 18th Party Congress in early November 2012 marked a large-scale turnover of senior military personnel in the People’s Liberation Army, including eight out of the ten uniformed members of the leading Central Military Commission. Moreover, the Party’s new general-secretary Xi Jinping also replaced Hu Jintao as CMC chairman, defying expectations that the latter would stay on for an additional two years. This article examines the reasons for Xi’s “early” promotion and profiles the new members, exploring their backgrounds and possible clues to their preferences and outlooks.

    Groupthink? PLA Leading Small Groups and the Prospect for Real Reform and Change in the Chinese Military

    Research | Articles | by James Mulvenon
    Monday, July 28, 2014

    As a result of the 18th Party Congress and its subsequent plenums, especially the Third Plenum in the fall of 2013, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army has embarked on a broad set of institutional reforms, tackling training, political work, command and control, and corruption among others. These reform efforts fall under the purview of newly established “leading groups,” led by senior officials in the relevant offices. This article examines the personnel and institutional makeup of these new groups, outlines their declared and undeclared missions, and assesses the probability of their success.

    Lawyers, Guns and Money: The Coming Show Trial of General Xu Caihou

    Research | Articles | by James Mulvenon
    Tuesday, October 21, 2014

    On 30 June 2014, the Chinese Communist Party expelled former Politburo member and Central Military Commission vice-chair Xu Caihou for corruption following a three-month investigation. 

    China’s “Goldwater-Nichols”? The Long-Awaited PLA Reorganization Has Finally Arrived

    Research | Articles | by James Mulvenon
    Tuesday, March 1, 2016

    On 31 December 2015, CCP supremo Xi Jinping announced the most sweeping reorganization of the People’s Liberation Army since the 1950s.

    PLA Divestiture 2.0: We Mean It This Time

    Research | Articles | by James Mulvenon
    Tuesday, July 19, 2016

    In November 2015, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) announced that the military’s remaining sanctioned participation in the PRC economy, known as “paid services,” would be phased out over the course of three years.

    Kori Schake: National Security Challenges for the New Administration

    Research | Podcasts
    Monday, January 23, 2017

    Hoover Institution fellow Kori Schake discusses national security challenges for the new administration.

    “Scraping Poison Off the Bone”: An Examination of the Campaign to “Eliminate the Baneful Influence of Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou”

    Research | Articles | by James Mulvenon
    Tuesday, February 14, 2017

    In July 2016, Chinese state media began using a new formulation about “eliminating the baneful [pernicious] influence of Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou” from the military. 

    Oh Fang, Where Art Thou? Xi Jinping and the PLA’s 90th Anniversary

    Research | Articles | by James Mulvenon
    Monday, September 11, 2017

    As the Chinese Communist Party heads into the 19th Party Congress in October, Xi Jinping’s speech commemorating the 90th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Liberation Army was notable both for what he said and what he did not say.

    The Cult of Xi and the Rise of the CMC Chairman Responsibility System

    Research | Articles | by James Mulvenon
    Tuesday, January 23, 2018

    Analyst coverage of the recent 19th Party Congress has emphasized the “cult of Xi” and the lack of a designated successor among the new civilian leadership team, as well as the ideological and normative content of the Central Committee work report delivered by party chief Xi Jinping. 

    And Then There Were Seven: The New, Slimmed-Down Central Military Commission

    Research | Articles | by James Mulvenon
    Wednesday, May 16, 2018

    In October 2017 at the first plenary session of the 19th Central Committee, Chinese state media announced the lineup of the new Central Military Commission (CMC). 

    Policy Seminar with Gary Roughead, Mike McCord, and Roger Zakheim

    Event
    Wednesday, February 27, 2019
    Wednesday, February 27, 2019

    Three commissioners of the National Defense Strategy Commission discussed the Commission’s assessment of the current National Defense Strategy.

    Security And Defense Cooperation In The Indo-Pacific | 2020 Conference On Taiwan In The Indo-Pacific Region | Panel 1

    Research | Podcasts
    Monday, October 19, 2020

    Security and Defense Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific.

    Finally, the Leader the Air Force Deserves Has Arrived (Registration Required)

    Research | Articles | by Kori Schake
    Wednesday, February 5, 2014
    Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel's selections for top defense jobs have so consistently been mediocrities, such third-string players intellectually and managerially, that defense experts are now speculating that the White House wants a weak Department of Defense. The shining exception to this rule has been Secretary of the Air Force Deborah Lee James, and her handling of the crisis in the nuclear missile force is a welcome reminder of how important a well-run defense organization is to our country.

    Can We Save The Nonproliferation Regime?

    Event
    Tuesday, July 14, 2015

    We cordially invite you to a series of discussions on nuclear nonproliferation.

    China’s Rise And Prospects For Security And Stability In The Indo-Pacific Region | 2020 Conference on Taiwan in the Indo-Pacific Region | Panel 6

    Research | Podcasts
    Thursday, October 29, 2020

    China’s Rise And Prospects For Security And Stability In The Indo-Pacific Region | 2020 Conference on Taiwan in the Indo-Pacific Region | Panel 6.

    Into Africa

    Research | Articles | by James J. Hentz
    Tuesday, October 14, 2008

    A new military command takes a broad, sophisticated view of the U.S. role in a neglected continent. Its job won’t be easy. By James J. Hentz.

    Hoover Announces National Security Affairs Fellows for 2005-6

    News
    Wednesday, September 14, 2005
    Wednesday, September 14, 2005 STANFORD Hoover Institution director John Raisian has announced those who will participate in the National Security Affairs Fellows Program in the 2005–6 academic year. The program offers representatives of the U.S. military ...

    Preventive Force Conference

    Event
    Wednesday, May 25, 2005

    The 2002 National Security Strategy (NSS) called for a shift in objectives and methods in dealing with threats to national security from an emphasis on law enforcement to prevention based in part on the use of force. The NSS proposed that, in addition to continued reliance on diplomacy, economic sanctions, and other methods short of the use of force, the U.S. should resort to force in order to prevent grave dangers where necessary, in some cases even when the threat they pose is not imminent, and despite the absence of Security Council approval. These positions raise important and unsettled issues, which the sponsoring organizations propose to consider at a meeting on Preventive Force, to be held from May 25th to May 27th, 2005, at the headquarters of the Hewlett Foundation in Menlo Park. It is being planned and organized by the Hoover Institution, in cooperation with the Hewlett Foundation and the Stanford Institute for International Studies. The meeting on Preventive Force will bring together a small group of practitioners, scholars, and officials experienced in the relevant fields of international security affairs to discuss the following issues among others: the need to consider using preventive force; the nature of preventive (as opposed to preemptive) force; the dangers of relying on preventive force as part of a national security strategy; the standards by which resort to preventive force should be governed, if its use is ever appropriate; and the principles and measures that might if adopted reduce the need to resort to preventive force. In addition to panels and speakers on these subjects, the meeting will include a televised session for the PBS program "Uncommon Knowledge," at which some of the participants will offer perspectives on the utility and wisdom of relying on preventive force as an avowed element of U.S. national security, and on the role of the Security Council in controlling such decisions. We will be joined by scholars from the Brookings Institution and members of the Princeton Project on National Security, sponsored by Princeton's Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs. We appreciate their help in preparing a program for the initial meetings. We will also have the participation of Stanford's Center for International Security and Cooperation.

    Hoover Institution Bipartisan Working Group Releases National Security Strategy For The Future

    News | News/Press
    Wednesday, February 3, 2016

    The Hoover Institution today released Pragmatic Engagement Amidst Global Uncertainty: Three Major Challenges, a national security strategy written by the Hoover Institution’s Working Group on Foreign Policy and Grand Strategy. 

    Whither The JCPOA With Iran

    Research | Articles | by James Jeffrey
    Friday, June 11, 2021

    Within the next several weeks the United States and its partners could well agree with Iran for the ‘return’ of the U.S. and Iran to the provisions of the 2015 “Joint Comprehensive Program of Action” or JCPOA regulating Iran’s nuclear programs.

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