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James Ceaser is the Harry F. Byrd Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, director of the Program for Constitutionalism and Democracy, and was a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution. He is the author of several books on American politics and American political thought, including...
Four Factors Will Shape Future U.S. Policy In Middle East
The future Middle East matters to the United States. Peace, stability and prosperity in the region impacts our vital interests. The four factors outlined here could dramatically affect the U.S. capacity to safeguard our interests in the near to mid-term.
Into Africa
A new military command takes a broad, sophisticated view of the U.S. role in a neglected continent. Its job won’t be easy. By James J. Hentz.
Hoover Announces National Security Affairs Fellows for 2005-6
Preventive Force Conference
The 2002 National Security Strategy (NSS) called for a shift in objectives and methods in dealing with threats to national security from an emphasis on law enforcement to prevention based in part on the use of force. The NSS proposed that, in addition to continued reliance on diplomacy, economic sanctions, and other methods short of the use of force, the U.S. should resort to force in order to prevent grave dangers where necessary, in some cases even when the threat they pose is not imminent, and despite the absence of Security Council approval. These positions raise important and unsettled issues, which the sponsoring organizations propose to consider at a meeting on Preventive Force, to be held from May 25th to May 27th, 2005, at the headquarters of the Hewlett Foundation in Menlo Park. It is being planned and organized by the Hoover Institution, in cooperation with the Hewlett Foundation and the Stanford Institute for International Studies. The meeting on Preventive Force will bring together a small group of practitioners, scholars, and officials experienced in the relevant fields of international security affairs to discuss the following issues among others: the need to consider using preventive force; the nature of preventive (as opposed to preemptive) force; the dangers of relying on preventive force as part of a national security strategy; the standards by which resort to preventive force should be governed, if its use is ever appropriate; and the principles and measures that might if adopted reduce the need to resort to preventive force. In addition to panels and speakers on these subjects, the meeting will include a televised session for the PBS program "Uncommon Knowledge," at which some of the participants will offer perspectives on the utility and wisdom of relying on preventive force as an avowed element of U.S. national security, and on the role of the Security Council in controlling such decisions. We will be joined by scholars from the Brookings Institution and members of the Princeton Project on National Security, sponsored by Princeton's Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs. We appreciate their help in preparing a program for the initial meetings. We will also have the participation of Stanford's Center for International Security and Cooperation.
Hoover Institution Bipartisan Working Group Releases National Security Strategy For The Future
The Hoover Institution today released Pragmatic Engagement Amidst Global Uncertainty: Three Major Challenges, a national security strategy written by the Hoover Institution’s Working Group on Foreign Policy and Grand Strategy.
Putin’s Authoritarian Soul
The first test for George W. Bush’s liberty doctrine. By James M. Goldgeier and Michael McFaul.
Whither The JCPOA With Iran
Within the next several weeks the United States and its partners could well agree with Iran for the ‘return’ of the U.S. and Iran to the provisions of the 2015 “Joint Comprehensive Program of Action” or JCPOA regulating Iran’s nuclear programs.
Hoover Archives Summer Workshop 2014
Hoover's Workshop on Totalitarian Regimes studies the history and development of totalitarian regimes in order to understand why they came into being, how they work, and the sources of their durability. By bringing scholars together who study the different regimes, the workshop promotes the comparative study of modes of personal dictatorship, of institutions of coercion and repression, and of the economic and social consequences of totalitarian rule. The workshop's principal resources are the unique and fast- growing holdings of the Hoover Archives on totalitarian regimes in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East.
Beyond the Water's Edge
Military and foreign policy issues for the '96 campaign
Using Power and Diplomacy To Deal With Rogue States
The end of the cold war a decade ago has ushered in a greatly transformed international landscape. Instead of a pacific era of peace and political harmony, the world, and particularly the United States, has been confronted with a menacing challenge of rogue regimes whose propensity for violence is matched by their intentions to disrupt regional stability, contribute to outlaw behavior worldwide, or to possess weapons of mass destruction. Ruthless rogues also endanger American interests and citizens by their active or passive sponsorship of terrorism. If left unchecked, rogue states like Iraq, North Korea, Iran, Libya, and others will threaten innocent populations, undermine international norms, and spawn other pariah regimes, as the global order becomes tolerant of this political malignancy.
As a major beneficiary of a global order of free markets, free trade, growing prosperity and spreading democracy, the United States, the world's sole superpower, must take the lead in confronting rogue governments, even though our allies may balk from time to time. Specifically, American power should be used to enhance the credibility of our diplomacy. Law and diplomacy alone are unlikely to affect rogue dictators. They must be reinforced with power. Four broad policy options, which in most cases should be combined rather than implemented individually, can be applied:
- Sanctions and isolation to achieve containment of and inflict economic damage on a rogue state
- International courts and domestic prosecution to bring rogue criminals to justice
- Shows of strength and armed interventions to coerce or eliminate rogue regimes
- Support for opposition movements or covert operations to oust rogue figures
Unless the United States addresses the challenge of rogue states with a combination of force and diplomacy, the new millennium will witness a widening of global anarchy, deteriorating progress toward economic development, and declining political reform. Dire consequences await the United States if it fails to react forcefully to international roguery.
The comments of my colleagues Charlie Hill, James Noyes, Henry Rowen, and Abraham Sofaer were helpful and are gratefully acknowledged along with those from Addison Davis, David Gillette, Bradley Murphy, Douglas Neumann, Piers Turner, and Robin Wright.
Conference on Nuclear Nonproliferation at Hoover Institution
The key security challenges facing the United States and other nations as a program of nuclear warhead reductions unfolds were discussed at a conference titled “A World without Nuclear Weapons: End State Issues” on September 29.
Nuclear Deterrence videos
“Global Hotspots: Briefings from Insiders”
On Thursday, May 3, 2012, David Brady, deputy director and Davies Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, hosted a conference titled “Global Hotspots: Briefings from Insiders” featuring special guests from different countries. To begin, Oliver “Buck” Revell from the FBI gave remarks titled “The Most Significant Threats to the American People.” His Excellency M. K. Narayanan, past head of India Security, discussed “India’s Worries, Capabilities, Military and Intelligence Cooperation with the United States.” Joseph Felter, a research fellow at the Hoover Institution and former national security affairs fellow (2008–9), gave a talk during the luncheon.
"Ding, Dong, The Witch is Dead!"—Foreign Policy and Military Intelligence Assessments after the Retirement of General Xiong Guangkai
For more than a decade, General Xiong Guangkai used his position as the head of military intelligence to influence Chinese leadership assessments of foreign and security policy, especially Sino-U.S. relations. News reports suggest that General Xiong has finally retired, after staying in his position well past the mandatory retirement age, a longevity that most foreign observers attributed to his self-described and perhaps real indispensability. His replacement, General Zhang Qinsheng, is not a military intelligence officer by training, but has instead occupied a series of critical staff and command positions. This article analyzes General Zhang's known biographical data and presents his limited public comments for clues about his outlook and attitudes.
Civil-Military Relations and the EP-3 Crisis: A Content Analysis
The conduct of the Chinese government during the recent EP-3 crisis raised important questions about the state of civil-military relations in China. Observers at the time were divided as to whether the comments of senior military leaders and editorials in military newspapers were different in content than their civilian counterparts. They were also divided over whether these differences reflected only variations in propaganda or actual institutional divergence. In addition, most analysts seemed convinced that the military monopolized critical information flows to the leadership, especially data about the causes of the collision and the lack of mayday calls by the EP-3, thus tying the hands of Foreign Ministry negotiators and perhaps even unnecessarily drawing out the crisis. Using interviews, some secondary sources, and detailed content analysis of civilian and military media during the crisis, this essay explores these themes.
Articles On: Modern Chinese History, New Zealand, and Foreign Policy
This section collects opinion pieces from across the world commenting on the harms caused by the activities of the Chinese Communist Party and provides insight into the various solutions that experts and leaders suggest we pursue to protect our interests.
The Ugly Premise of 'Settlement' Opponents
At the Aspen Institute's Ideas Festival this past July, Salam Fayyad, acting prime minister of the Palestinian Authority, spoke enthusiastically about the rule of law in a future Palestine...
How Green Is My Folly
European lawmakers want to protect their favorite regulations—effective or not, now and forever. By James Huffman.
Hoover Institution’s Commentary on Nuclear Nonproliferation
For informed, reasoned discussion regarding nuclear threats facing the world and opportunities to address these threats, the Hoover Institution has compiled the work of its scholars on the subject into one comprehensive, easy-to-access section.
Sidney Drell receives Heinz Award for efforts to limit nuclear threat while assuring defense
Sidney Drell is one of five recipients of the Heinz Family Foundation's $250,000 Heinz Awards for his efforts to limit 'the threat of nuclear annihilation while assuring our nation's adequate defense.

