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From Sarajevo to September 11

by John Micklethwait, Adrian Wooldridgevia Policy Review
Saturday, February 1, 2003

The future of globalization

What Price Security?

by Timothy Garton Ashvia Hoover Digest
Thursday, January 30, 2003

Would you rather take the slim chance of being blown up by a terrorist or have all your e-mail read by the government? Hoover fellow Timothy Garton Ash on the costs of protecting ourselves.

What Will Hu Do?

by Alice L. Millervia Hoover Digest
Thursday, January 30, 2003

At a spry 60 years old, Hu Jintao is—by the standards of Chinese leaders—a very young man. Does his rise signal a break with the past? Not likely. Hoover fellow Alice Lyman Miller explains.

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From Mao to Hu

by Robert J. Barrovia Hoover Digest
Thursday, January 30, 2003

And now, the real great leap forward. By Hoover fellow Robert J. Barro.

The Provinces

A Landslide Victory for Provincial Leaders

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, January 30, 2003

Of all the personnel changes that occurred during the 16th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), the most remarkable one is probably the predominant representation of leaders from China's 31 provincial-level administrations. These top provincial leaders differ from each other in their factional affiliations and occupational backgrounds. As a distinct group of leaders with identical career paths, however, provincial leaders achieved a landslide victory at the 16th Party Congress. Compared with top officials from other bureaucratic institutions in the central administration and in the military, provincial leaders obtained the largest number of seats on both the Central Committee and the Politburo.

An untitled pen-and-ink drawing by Thomas Sgovio

Sorting Pieces of the Russian Past

by Arnold Beichmanvia Hoover Digest
Thursday, January 30, 2003

Russia grapples with the painful legacy of Stalin’s terror. By Hoover fellow Arnold Beichman.
SIDEBAR: Artist and Gulag Survivor Thomas Sgovio

Economic Policy

Economic Policy after the 16th Party Congress

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, January 30, 2003

The 16th Party Congress focused primarily on political principles and personnel issues. With respect to economic policy, the party congress understandably stressed continuity. Thus, fewer dramatic signs of future economic policy orientation have come in the aftermath of the congress than may be the case in other issue areas. In economic policy, the most important personnel choices tend to come at the level of ministers and vice ministers, one level below the top politicians chosen by the 16th Party Congress. These choices are being announced only gradually in the run-up to the 10th National People’s Congress (NPC) meeting in March 2003. Nonetheless, some important choices have already been made—particularly with respect to the financial system—and the implications of those choices are discussed in this essay. The most important signal is the promotion of the former chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), Zhou Xiaochuan, to head the Central Bank. The reassignment of economic managers is especially important because the key personnel involved represent the young, better-educated members of China’s “fourth generation,” those who began their educations after the Cultural Revolution. The senior members of the fourth generation, who have just ascended to the top of the formal political system, by contrast completed their educations before the Cultural Revolution. Some of the shortcomings of the political succession process may imply that the younger, post–Cultural Revolution leaders could begin to play an especially important role effective immediately.

When There’s No Good Guy

by Dinesh D’Souzavia Hoover Digest
Thursday, January 30, 2003

Saddam must go. By Hoover fellow Dinesh D’Souza.

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From the Prison to the Castle: The Legacy of Václav Havel

by Iva K. Naffzigervia Hoover Digest
Thursday, January 30, 2003

The man who inspired the Velvet Revolution. By Iva K. Naffziger.

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The War This Time

by Robert Zelnickvia Hoover Digest
Thursday, January 30, 2003

Should war with Iraq come, how will it differ from the last conflict in the Persian Gulf? By Hoover fellow Robert Zelnick.

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Military History Working Group


The Working Group on the Role of Military History in Contemporary Conflict examines how knowledge of past military operations can influence contemporary public policy decisions concerning current conflicts.