California’s War On Wealth—And America’s War On Terror

The rubber meets the road in California this fall when a proposed one-time 5% tax on the state’s billionaire class – wealth taxes being a longtime progressive hobby horse – faces a public vote in the form of Proposition 40. Joshua Rauh, the Hoover Institution’s George P. Shultz Senior Fellow in economics and author of a data analysis of Prop 40’s fiscal and economic impacts, explains why the measure would be a “disaster” if enacted and whether the policy battle marks the beginning of more public engagement on the part of the wealthiest Californians or instead will speed up their exodus from the Golden State. After that: the fellows reflect on the 25th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks on America – where they were that fateful day and 9/11’s legacy as it pertains to the war on terror, social divides and global alliances (if a similar attack happened today, would Vladimir Putin still be the first world leader to offer assistance to the American president?). Finally, in the “Lightning Round”: the pros and cons of an ascendant world senior population; the merits of “financial engineering” as governments spend and borrow more; disorder in the ranks as more of America’s military leaders part ways with the Pentagon; young conservatives’ “Nixonmaxxing” (and revising presidential history).

Click here to read a companion conversion guide for the episode. 

RELATED SOURCES

Cast

Joshua D. Rauh

Joshua D. Rauh

H.R. McMaster

H.R. McMaster

Sir Niall Ferguson

Sir Niall Ferguson

John H. Cochrane

John H. Cochrane

Bill Whalen

Bill Whalen

Related

Articles

California’s Potential Billionaire Tax Has Already Cost The State

Hoover Institution fellows Joshua Rauh and Benjamin Jaros estimate the tax would bring in closer to $30 billion. That’s less than one-third of what was promised. But the bigger problem has already arrived. While a wealth tax is collected once, an income tax is collected every year. Rauh and Jaros estimate California’s billionaires pay between $3.3 billion and $5.8 billion in state income tax annually, and every billionaire who relocates takes his share with him permanently.

November 4, 2026

Articles

Billionaire Tax Puts California’s Economic Future Before Midterm Voters

Hoover Institution fellows Joshua Rauh and Benjamin Jaros found that announced departures have reduced that tax base by about 30%, and estimated collections would fall in the $28 billion to $36 billion range after assuming 10% avoidance by those subject to the tax.

November 4, 2026

Articles

Two Economists Studied California's Billionaire Tax. They Reached Wildly Different Conclusions

Hoover Institution fellows Joshua Rauh and Benjamin Jaros found that the wealth tax could lead to an exodus of billionaires out of California, damaging the state's economy and blowing a hole in the income tax revenue the state already collects from billionaires.

October 22, 2026