Kicking the Can: Concealing Budget Shortfalls by Underfunding Pensions

Published: October 12, 2017

Pension funds are using unrealistic assumptions about their future pension returns, concealing shortfalls that will eventually have to be paid for with benefit cuts or higher taxes. Politicians are promising generous pensions without adequately funding them, requiring risky investments. When investment returns don’t materialize, taxpayers have to cover the shortfall.

Be sure to read “Hidden Debt, Hidden Deficits: 2017 Edition,”  in which Joshua D. Rauh details the issues surrounding the pension system and the role of governments in increasing liabilities and deficits by means of their pension system. 

Discussion Questions

  1. What rate of return should state politicians and pension fund officials assume that their funds will yield?
  2. Why might an actuary assume unrealistic high returns on investments?
  3. What would cause states to ignore the possibility of lower investment returns in the future?

Cast

Joshua D. Rauh

Joshua D. Rauh

Related

Articles

Tokenization Of Real-World Assets: A Market Taking Shape

Managing the profound change demands harnessing advantages, mitigating risks, and creating careful legislation.

October 21, 2026

Videos

Why Lower Inflation Isn't Enough For Affordability

The Fed, inflation, and the economic case for long-term price stability.

October 20, 2026

Articles

United CEO’s Wealth Tax Would Hit His Own Shareholders

Scott Kirby wants a national wealth tax and inheritance taxes near 100%. Among those who would pay are the investors he ultimately works for.

October 20, 2026