Does Government Debt Matter Anymore?

Published December 7, 2021

Proponents of government spending argue that the government can borrow as much as it wants, so long as the interest rate is less than the rate of economic growth. However, government deficits are far too high for this to be the case. Continuing to run large deficits will either lead to higher inflation or sharp cuts to entitlement programs. Solving the US fiscal problem will require strong pro-growth policies, a slowdown in government spending, and reforms to our chaotic tax system and entitlement programs.

Discussion Questions:

  1. How does America’s current fiscal situation differ from previous periods of high debt?
  2. What changes can America make to its tax system and entitlement programs to solve its fiscal problem?

Additional Resources:

  • Read “r < g,” by John Cochrane. Available here (PDF).
  • Watch the Hoover Institution Policy Seminar with John Cochrane. Available here.
  • See if you can solve the US debt crisis with the “America Off Balance” Budget Calculator. Available here.

Cast

John H. Cochrane

John H. Cochrane

Related

Working Papers

A Network Approach to Geopolitics

Economics Working Paper 26127

October 16, 2026

Videos

The Counter Revolution: Victor Davis Hanson On The Fall And Rise Of Trump

How did Donald Trump go from political defeat and the aftermath of January 6 to a second term in the White House?

 

October 19, 2026

Videos

Monetary Policy And The Shadow Open Market Committee Since The 1970s

Mickey Levy on his early career working with Alice Rivlin at the Congressional Budget Office and with Arthur Burns at AEI, as well as being part of the Shadow Open Markets Committee from its early days in the 1970s.

October 16, 2026