China Leadership Monitor

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Thursday, May 25, 2017

Spring 2017 Issue 53

Foreign Policy
US-China Relations
Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the Trump Administration’s Asia Policy

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 25, 2017

Chinese commentary on the Trump administration’s foreign policy has avoided making hostile responses to what Beijing may regard as notable U.S. provocations. 

China-Taiwan-United States
China-Taiwan-United States

Cross-Strait Relations: Marking Time

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 25, 2017

There have been no dramatic developments in cross-Strait relations of late. Instead, Beijing continues its steady pressure on the Taiwan authorities while courting private interests. 

Military Affairs
Military Affairs

“Safeguarding the Core and Following Commands”: Party-Army Relations Before the 19th Party Congress

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 25, 2017

In the run-up to the 19th Party Congress, scheduled for the fall of 2017, an important phrase appeared in Chinese military propaganda, exhorting the rank and file to “safeguard the core and follow commands.”

Economic Policy
Economic Policy

The Regulatory Storm: A Surprising Turn in Financial Policy

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 25, 2017

A surprisingly strong and concerted regulatory effort is shaking up the Chinese financial sector. 

Political Reform and Governance
Political Reform and Governance

The National People’s Congress in 2017: Security, Ideology, and Experimentation

by Jessica Batkevia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 25, 2017

A review of the work performed over the past few years by the National People’s Congress and its Standing Committee—the body that “turns the party’s propositions into the will of the state”—can provide a clear synopsis of the Chinese Communist Party’s governance priorities. 

Party Affairs
Party Affairs

How to Read Xi Jinping’s 19th Party Congress Political Report

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 25, 2017

Following longstanding procedures, General Secretary Xi Jinping will deliver a long political report at the Chinese Communist Party’s 19th National Congress next fall. 

E.g., 6 / 22 / 2017
E.g., 6 / 22 / 2017
Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Fall 2015: Issue 48

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Summer 2015: Issue 47

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

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Economic Policy

Xi Jinping’s Economic Policy in the Run-up to the 19th Party Congress: The Gift from Donald Trump

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

In the run-up to the 19th Party Congress in the fall of 2017, Xi Jinping has a strong interest in sustaining three narratives: the Chinese economy is growing stably, economic reform is moving forward, and a rising China is playing a more important role on the global scene.

Military Affairs

“Scraping Poison Off the Bone”: An Examination of the Campaign to “Eliminate the Baneful Influence of Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou”

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

In July 2016, Chinese state media began using a new formulation about “eliminating the baneful [pernicious] influence of Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou” from the military. 

Party Affairs

The Road To The 19th Party Congress

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Politburo’s scheduling of a Central Committee plenum for October signals the start of formal preparations to convene the Chinese Communist Party’s 19th Congress in the fall of next year. 

Wuhan, China
Economic Policy

Supply-Side Structural Reform at Mid-year: Compliance, Initiative, and Unintended Consequences

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Implementation of supply-side reforms has now passed to provincial governments.

Military Affairs

Xi Jinping Has a Cool New Nickname: “Commander-in-Chief”

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

On 20 April 2016, Xi Jinping formally inspected the Central Military Commission’s joint battle command center, broadcast on national television.

China-Taiwan-United States

The First 100 Days: Crossing the River While Feeling the Stones

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

As Tsai Ing-wen strives to jumpstart her priority domestic programs, she is finding that governance is hard.

Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the South China Sea Arbitration Case between the People’s Republic of China and the Philippines

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Philippines v. China arbitration case and the furor over its verdict constitute a significant development that could influence the prospects for future rivalry or cooperation in the Western Pacific. 

Military Affairs

PLA Divestiture 2.0: We Mean It This Time

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

In November 2015, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) announced that the military’s remaining sanctioned participation in the PRC economy, known as “paid services,” would be phased out over the course of three years.

Map of Taiwan
China-Taiwan-United States

Tsai Ing-wen Takes Office: A New Era in Cross-Strait Relations

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

In her May 20 inaugural address Tsai Ing-wen laid out in stark terms the daunting economic and social challenges that Taiwan faces in the months and years ahead, as well as her determination to meet those challenges. 

Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the Presumptive U.S. Presidential Candidates Hillary R. Clinton and Donald J. Trump

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

This year’s presidential election, like past ones, features China and U.S.-China relations as a talking point for candidates from both parties. 

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The China Leadership Monitor seeks to inform the American foreign policy community about current trends in China's leadership politics and in its foreign and domestic policies. The Monitor proceeds on the premise that as China's importance in international affairs grows, American policy-makers and the broader policy-interested public increasingly need analysis of politics among China's leadership that is accurate, comprehensive, systematic, current, and relevant to major areas of interest to the United States.

China Leadership Monitor analysis rests heavily on traditional China-watching methods of interpreting information in China's state-controlled media. Use of these methods was once universal among specialists in contemporary Chinese affairs. Although the use of these methods has declined as opportunities to study China using other approaches have opened up in recent decades, their value in following politics among China's top leadership has not. Monitor analysis also brings to bear some of the new avenues of information and insight that have opened up since the normalization of U.S.-China relations and China's policy "opening to the outside world" in the late 1970s.

The China Leadership Monitor website is updated with new analyses quarterly.

Subscribe here to receive a free copy in your email inbox every quarter.

The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University. Its general editor is Hoover Institution research fellow Alice Miller.