China Leadership Monitor

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Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Fall 2016: Issue 51

Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the South China Sea Arbitration Case between the People’s Republic of China and the Philippines

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Philippines v. China arbitration case and the furor over its verdict constitute a significant development that could influence the prospects for future rivalry or cooperation in the Western Pacific. 

China-Taiwan-United States
China-Taiwan-United States

The First 100 Days: Crossing the River While Feeling the Stones

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

As Tsai Ing-wen strives to jumpstart her priority domestic programs, she is finding that governance is hard.

Military Affairs
Military Affairs

Xi Jinping Has a Cool New Nickname: “Commander-in-Chief”

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

On 20 April 2016, Xi Jinping formally inspected the Central Military Commission’s joint battle command center, broadcast on national television.

Economic Policy
Wuhan, China
Economic Policy

Supply-Side Structural Reform at Mid-year: Compliance, Initiative, and Unintended Consequences

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Implementation of supply-side reforms has now passed to provincial governments.

Party Affairs
Party Affairs

The Road To The 19th Party Congress

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Politburo’s scheduling of a Central Committee plenum for October signals the start of formal preparations to convene the Chinese Communist Party’s 19th Congress in the fall of next year. 

E.g., 12 / 3 / 2016
E.g., 12 / 3 / 2016
Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Fall 2015: Issue 48

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Party Affairs

The Road To The 19th Party Congress

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Politburo’s scheduling of a Central Committee plenum for October signals the start of formal preparations to convene the Chinese Communist Party’s 19th Congress in the fall of next year. 

Wuhan, China
Economic Policy

Supply-Side Structural Reform at Mid-year: Compliance, Initiative, and Unintended Consequences

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Implementation of supply-side reforms has now passed to provincial governments.

Military Affairs

Xi Jinping Has a Cool New Nickname: “Commander-in-Chief”

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

On 20 April 2016, Xi Jinping formally inspected the Central Military Commission’s joint battle command center, broadcast on national television.

China-Taiwan-United States

The First 100 Days: Crossing the River While Feeling the Stones

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

As Tsai Ing-wen strives to jumpstart her priority domestic programs, she is finding that governance is hard.

Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the South China Sea Arbitration Case between the People’s Republic of China and the Philippines

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Philippines v. China arbitration case and the furor over its verdict constitute a significant development that could influence the prospects for future rivalry or cooperation in the Western Pacific. 

Military Affairs

PLA Divestiture 2.0: We Mean It This Time

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

In November 2015, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) announced that the military’s remaining sanctioned participation in the PRC economy, known as “paid services,” would be phased out over the course of three years.

Map of Taiwan
China-Taiwan-United States

Tsai Ing-wen Takes Office: A New Era in Cross-Strait Relations

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

In her May 20 inaugural address Tsai Ing-wen laid out in stark terms the daunting economic and social challenges that Taiwan faces in the months and years ahead, as well as her determination to meet those challenges. 

Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the Presumptive U.S. Presidential Candidates Hillary R. Clinton and Donald J. Trump

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

This year’s presidential election, like past ones, features China and U.S.-China relations as a talking point for candidates from both parties. 

Party Affairs

“Core” Leaders, “Authoritative Persons,” And Reform Pushback

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

References in PRC media in recent months to China’s top leader, Xi Jinping, as “core” leader, and publication in May of a long dissertation on economic policy appearing in the Chinese Communist Party’s official newspaper under the byline “An Authoritative Person” have provoked controversy among observers of Chinese leadership politics.  

Economic Policy

Two Trains Running: Supply-Side Reform, SOE Reform and the Authoritative Personage

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

The publication of a new article by “Authoritative Personage” on May 9, 2016, threw into the open two unresolved issues of Chinese policy: Who is making economic reform policy?  What is the mix between reform and growth? 

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The China Leadership Monitor seeks to inform the American foreign policy community about current trends in China's leadership politics and in its foreign and domestic policies. The Monitor proceeds on the premise that as China's importance in international affairs grows, American policy-makers and the broader policy-interested public increasingly need analysis of politics among China's leadership that is accurate, comprehensive, systematic, current, and relevant to major areas of interest to the United States.

China Leadership Monitor analysis rests heavily on traditional China-watching methods of interpreting information in China's state-controlled media. Use of these methods was once universal among specialists in contemporary Chinese affairs. Although the use of these methods has declined as opportunities to study China using other approaches have opened up in recent decades, their value in following politics among China's top leadership has not. Monitor analysis also brings to bear some of the new avenues of information and insight that have opened up since the normalization of U.S.-China relations and China's policy "opening to the outside world" in the late 1970s.

The China Leadership Monitor website is updated with new analyses quarterly.

Subscribe here to receive a free copy in your email inbox every quarter.

The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University. Its general editor is Hoover Institution research fellow Alice Miller.