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Explanations for What Happened in California’s Most Competitive Elections

by Carson Brunovia Eureka
Tuesday, December 9, 2014

On November 3rd, I provided some predictions for California’s top legislative and Congressional races.  With the dust settled, I can take a look back at those predictions to figure out what, indeed, happened. 

Interesting California Exit Poll Numbers

by Carson Brunovia Eureka
Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Exit Polls are useful, but just like any poll, one needs to be careful using them.  They are not exact, but instead provide a glimpse into trends of the electorate.  And while the 2014 election results in California were interesting and provide useful lessons, the electorate (and what they think) might be even more so.

California flag

Who Are the New Legislators Heading to Sacramento

by Carson Brunovia Eureka
Monday, November 24, 2014

On November 4th, 37 new Assembly and Senate legislators were elected (11 fewer than in 2012).  This represents 31% of the combined 120-member state legislature.  But who are these “newcomers”?

California Capitol

Initial Reflections from the 2014 California Mid-Terms

by Carson Brunovia Eureka
Thursday, November 6, 2014

There are still a number of uncounted ballots left to tally in California, but preliminary results allow for plenty of reflection.

US Political Parties

Mid-Term Elections in the Golden State: Predictions for November 4

by Carson Brunovia Eureka
Monday, November 3, 2014

Tomorrow is Election Day. The following examines this year’s top races across California making predictions of the outcomes using Political Data, Inc’s valuable vote-by-mail (VBM) data and information from the Secretary of State. 

The Latest Hoover Golden State Poll: Brown’s Well Ahead, But Questions Linger

via Eureka
Tuesday, October 28, 2014

A week from today, Californians go to the polls in the second of the year’s two statewide votes. The general election includes choices for governor and seven other state constitutional offices, 155 congressional and legislative seats, as well as six ballot initiatives (for California, that’s actually a moderate load).

The Golden State Election Podcast–with Carson Bruno, Tammy Frisby, and Bill Whalen

interview with Carson Bruno, Tammy Frisby, Bill Whalenvia Eureka
Tuesday, October 28, 2014

A look at what the polls are saying about the 2014 election in California.

What California’s Top-Two Primary Predicts for November (Senate)

by Carson Brunovia Eureka
Monday, October 20, 2014

California’s top-two election system is still new and that means analysis of it is seriously lacking in comprehensive data, but that doesn’t mean we can’t start digging into possible trends.

California Capitol

What California’s Top-Two Primary Predicts for November (Assembly)

by Carson Brunovia Eureka
Friday, October 17, 2014

California’s top-two election system is still new and that means analysis of it is seriously lacking in comprehensive data, but that doesn’t mean we can’t start digging into possible trends.

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The Policies the President Pro Tem Tenure of Kevin De León Could Yield

by Carson Brunovia Eureka
Thursday, October 16, 2014

Today, in a reported $50,000 self-styled inauguration, Los Angeles-area State Senator Kevin De León becomes the new State Senate President Pro Tempore.  He’ll be the first Latino Pro Tem in 130 years and as the Senate’s leader, will guide policy for the upper legislative chamber.

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Eureka was created to serve as an occasional discussion of the policy, political and economic issues confronting California. Like the Golden State motto from which this forum’s title was borrowed, the goal here is one of discovery – identifying underlying problems and offering reasonable and common-sense reforms for America’s great nation-state.

Ever since Archimedes supposedly first uttered the word, eureka has meant joy, satisfaction and a sense of accomplishment. Drawing on the combined wisdom of Hoover’s policy experts and leading California thinkers, we hope that you’ll find enlightenment in these pages. Hoover research fellow Bill Whalen, who has nearly two decades of experience in California politics and public policy, serves as this forum’s editor.