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Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Winter 2017 Issue 52

Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on South Korea’s Deployment of THAAD

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

The Chinese leadership and the overwhelming majority of expert Chinese observers and commentators are strongly opposed to the U.S.-ROK decision to deploy the THAAD anti-missile system in South Korea.

China-Taiwan-United States
Map of Taiwan
China-Taiwan-United States

The Bull in the China Shop

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

As Tsai Ing-wen continued to struggle with implementation of her ambitious reform programs—losing public support in the process—Beijing maintained pressure to accept the “1992 Consensus” or some other expression of “one China.”

Military Affairs
Military Affairs

“Scraping Poison Off the Bone”: An Examination of the Campaign to “Eliminate the Baneful Influence of Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou”

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

In July 2016, Chinese state media began using a new formulation about “eliminating the baneful [pernicious] influence of Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou” from the military. 

Economic Policy
Economic Policy

Xi Jinping’s Economic Policy in the Run-up to the 19th Party Congress: The Gift from Donald Trump

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

In the run-up to the 19th Party Congress in the fall of 2017, Xi Jinping has a strong interest in sustaining three narratives: the Chinese economy is growing stably, economic reform is moving forward, and a rising China is playing a more important role on the global scene.

Political Reform and Governance
Political Reform and Governance

PRC Religious Policy: Serving the Gods of the CCP

by Jessica Batkevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Beijing’s update of national-level religious regulations is part and parcel of a larger governance effort.

Party Affairs
Party Affairs

What Would Deng Do?

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Xi Jinping’s ideological proclivities have been variously described as drawing from Mao Zedong, Confucius, and Deng Xiaoping.

E.g., 4 / 28 / 2017
E.g., 4 / 28 / 2017
Friday, January 6, 2012

Winter 2012: Issue 36

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Friday, January 6, 2012
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Friday, January 6, 2012
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon, Leigh Ann Ragland Friday, January 6, 2012
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Friday, January 6, 2012
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Friday, January 6, 2012
article

Special Topic: Preparing for the 18th Party Congress

by Alice L. Miller Friday, January 6, 2012
article
by Cheng Li Friday, January 6, 2012
article
Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Summer 2011: Issue 35

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine, M. Taylor Fravel Wednesday, September 21, 2011
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Wednesday, September 21, 2011
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Wednesday, September 21, 2011
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Wednesday, September 21, 2011
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Wednesday, September 21, 2011
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Wednesday, September 21, 2011
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Wednesday, September 21, 2011
article
Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Winter 2011: Issue 34

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Tuesday, February 22, 2011
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Tuesday, February 22, 2011
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Tuesday, February 22, 2011
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Tuesday, February 22, 2011
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Tuesday, February 22, 2011
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Tuesday, February 22, 2011
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Tuesday, February 22, 2011
article
Monday, June 28, 2010

Summer 2010: Issue 33

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Monday, June 28, 2010
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Monday, June 28, 2010
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Monday, June 28, 2010
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Monday, June 28, 2010
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Monday, June 28, 2010
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Monday, June 28, 2010
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Monday, June 28, 2010
article

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Mao Zedong Oration in Yan’an, circa 1937
Military Affairs

Hotel Gutian: We Haven’t Had That Spirit Here Since 1929

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, March 19, 2015

In November 2014, Central Military Commission Chairman Xi Jinping used the occasion of the 85th anniversary of the 1929 Gutian Conference to convene a critical meeting on political work in the People’s Liberation Army.

China-Taiwan-United States

Cross-Strait Relations: The Times They Are A-Changin’

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, March 19, 2015

If Beijing was surprised by the extent of public support in Taiwan for the “Sunflower Movement” last spring, along with everyone else they were stunned by the extent of the KMT debacle in the November 29, 2014 “9-in-1” local elections.

Beijing, China
Foreign Policy

Xi Jinping’s Address to the Central Conference on Work Relating to Foreign Affairs: Assessing and Advancing Major Power Diplomacy with Chinese Characteristics

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, March 19, 2015

Xi Jinping’s speech before the Central Conference on Work Relating to Foreign Affairs—held from November 28-29, 2014 in Beijing—marks the most comprehensive expression yet of the current Chinese leadership’s more activist and security-oriented approach to PRC diplomacy.

The Provinces

Xi Jinping’s Inner Circle—Part 3: Political Protégés from the Provinces

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Throughout the reform area, top Chinese leaders have usually risen to their positions after gaining substantial experience as provincial-level leaders. 

Great Wall of China
Party Affairs

What They Did on Their Summer Vacation

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, October 21, 2014

As some members of the Xi Jinping leadership retreated to the seaside summer resort at Beidaihe, several events and trends converged in anticipation of a Central Committee plenum later this fall.  

Economic Policy

It’s All in the Execution: Struggling with the Reform Agenda

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, October 21, 2014

China’s authoritative leadership small groups have met and struggled to define priorities within China’s broad reform agenda.  

Beijing, China
Military Affairs

Lawyers, Guns and Money: The Coming Show Trial of General Xu Caihou

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, October 21, 2014

On 30 June 2014, the Chinese Communist Party expelled former Politburo member and Central Military Commission vice-chair Xu Caihou for corruption following a three-month investigation. 

China-Taiwan-United States

Cross-Strait Relations: Portrayals of Consistency: Calm on the Surface, Paddling Like Hell Underneath

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, October 21, 2014

While in reality adjusting to an evolving situation both on Taiwan and in cross-Strait relations over the past few months, all parties have sought to portray their approaches as consistent and undisturbed by “some situations” that could have thrown things off course.

Foreign Policy

Xi Jinping’s Trip to Latin America

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Xi Jinping’s 10-day trip to Latin America in July 2014 constitutes an important milestone in the development of China-Latin America relations, marking the first major visit to this increasingly important region for a top Chinese leader since the extensive trip taken by Hu Jintao in 2004.  

The Provinces

Xi Jinping’s Inner Circle (Part 2: Friends from Xi’s Formative Years)

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Monday, July 28, 2014

The dominance of Jiang Zemin’s political allies in the current Politburo Standing Committee has enabled Xi Jinping, who is a protégé of Jiang, to pursue an ambitious reform agenda during his first term. The effectiveness of Xi’s policies and the political legacy of his leadership, however, will depend significantly on the political positioning of Xi’s own protégés, both now and during his second term.  This second article in a series examines Xi’s longtime friends—the political confidants Xi met during his formative years and with whom he has remained close over the past several decades.

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The China Leadership Monitor seeks to inform the American foreign policy community about current trends in China's leadership politics and in its foreign and domestic policies. The Monitor proceeds on the premise that as China's importance in international affairs grows, American policy-makers and the broader policy-interested public increasingly need analysis of politics among China's leadership that is accurate, comprehensive, systematic, current, and relevant to major areas of interest to the United States.

China Leadership Monitor analysis rests heavily on traditional China-watching methods of interpreting information in China's state-controlled media. Use of these methods was once universal among specialists in contemporary Chinese affairs. Although the use of these methods has declined as opportunities to study China using other approaches have opened up in recent decades, their value in following politics among China's top leadership has not. Monitor analysis also brings to bear some of the new avenues of information and insight that have opened up since the normalization of U.S.-China relations and China's policy "opening to the outside world" in the late 1970s.

The China Leadership Monitor website is updated with new analyses quarterly.

Subscribe here to receive a free copy in your email inbox every quarter.

The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University. Its general editor is Hoover Institution research fellow Alice Miller.