Paul R. Gregory

Visiting Fellow
Biography: 

Paul Gregory is a visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution. He holds an endowed professorship in the Department of Economics at the University of Houston, Texas, is a research professor at the German Institute for Economic Research in Berlin, and is emeritus chair of the International Advisory Board of the Kiev School of Economics. Gregory has held visiting teaching appointments at Moscow State University, Viadrina University, and the Free University of Berlin. He blogs on national and international economic topics at http://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/ and http://paulgregorysblog.blogspot.com/.

The holder of a PhD in economics from Harvard University, he is the author or coauthor of twelve books and more than one hundred articles on economic history, the Soviet economy, transition economies, comparative economics, and economic demography. Gregory’s economics papers have been published in American Economic Review, Econometrica, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Review of Economics and Statistics, Journal of Political Economy, Journal of Economic History, and the Journal of Comparative Economics.  His most recent books are Women of the Gulag: Portraits of Five Remarkable Lives (Hoover Institution Press, 2013), Politics, Murder, and Love in Stalin's Kremlin: The Story of Nikolai Bukharin and Anna Larina (Hoover Institution Press, 2010), Lenin’s Brain and Other Tales from the Secret Soviet Archives (Hoover Institution Press, 2008), Terror by Quota (Yale, 2009), and The Political Economy of Stalinism (Cambridge, 2004), which won the Hewett Prize. He edited The Lost Transcripts of the Politburo (Yale, 2008), Behind the Façade of Stalin's Command Economy (Hoover, 2001), and The Economics of Forced Labor: The Soviet Gulag (Hoover, 2003). The work of his Hoover Soviet Archives Research Project team is summarized in "Allocation under Dictatorship: Research in Stalin's Archive" (coauthored with Hoover fellow Mark Harrison), published in the Journal of Economic Literature.

Gregory has also published The Global Economy and Its Economic Systems (Cengage, 2013) and is working with director Marianna Yarovskaya on a film documentary entitled Women of the Gulag.

Gregory also served on the editorial board of the seven-volume Gulag documentary series entitled The History of the Stalin Gulag, published jointly by the Hoover Institution and the Russian Archival Service. He also serves or has served on the editorial boards of Comparative Economic Studies, Slavic Review, Journal of Comparative Economics, Problems of Post-Communism, and Explorations in Economic History.

His research papers are available at the Hoover Institution Archives.

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Analysis and Commentary

What Was The 'Top Secret' Information Passed On At Trump Tower?

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Monday, July 24, 2017

In a letter dated July 15, 2016, Chairman Charles Grassley of the Senate Judiciary Committee (cc. Senator Diane Feinstein) urged the Justice Department’s Chief of the FARA Registration Unit to commence an investigation into the lobbying activities of entities and individuals engaged in the campaign to repeal the Magnitsky Act. 

Analysis and Commentary

Russia Didn't Interfere In U.S. Election To Help Trump, But To Destabilize America

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Friday, July 14, 2017

A still unidentified Democratic Party donor paid for the factually challenged dossier that almost sunk the Donald Trump campaign. The dossier was created (and perhaps written) with the support and assistance of unregistered foreign agents of the Russian government, according to the Senate Judiciary Committee. The offer by an obscure music publicist to Donald Trump Jr. to share compromising information on the Clinton campaign was, as will be shown below, most likely a Russian operation. I conclude that Russia’s interference in the 2016 election was not to help Trump but to throw the American political system into chaos and threaten its foundations.

Analysis and Commentary

What Really Happened At The Trump-Putin Meeting In Hamburg, Germany

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Friday, July 7, 2017

Two world leaders, U.S. President Vladimir Putin and Russian President Vladimir Putin, met for the first time today in Hamburg to discuss for more than two hours the most thorny and controversial issues facing our troubled world. At its conclusion, CNN and other media outlets were interested in only one “huge headline” from the meeting: Did Trump raised with Putin the issue of Russian interference in the US 2016 election? 

Analysis and Commentary

The Real Colluder With Russia Isn't Trump -- It's Germany

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Tuesday, July 4, 2017

Donald Trump, Angela Merkel, and Vladimir Putin have much to talk about at next week's G-20 conference. Among their topics will be pipeline politics. Germany postures itself as the conscience of Europe. Besieged by floods of refugees, Germany takes them in and scolds those who do not. Germany claims to guard European unity against the insidious forces of the nation-state.

Analysis and Commentary

How Much Is Saudi Aramco Worth? It Depends On The Country's Institutions

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Saudi Arabia plans a public offering of 5% of its national oil company, Aramco, sometime in 2018. As the world’s largest energy producer and with the largest proved reserves, Saudi Arabia believes that the capital market will value Aramco at some $2 trillion, making it the world’s most valuable publicly traded company. At this price, the government’s 5% would bring in $100 billion, which is supposed to be devoted to diversifying the Saudi Arabian economy away from energy.

Analysis and Commentary

Is Russiagate Really Hillarygate?

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Monday, June 19, 2017

According to an insider account, the Clinton team, put together the Russia Gate narrative within 24 hours of her defeat. The Clinton account explained that Russian hacking and election meddling caused her unexpected loss. Her opponent, Donald Trump, was a puppet of Putin. Trump, they said, “encourages espionage against our people.” 

Analysis and Commentary

The Russian Dossier Appears To Be The Work Of An Unregistered Russian Agent. Where Does This Lead Us?

by Paul R. Gregoryvia What Paul Gregory Is Thinking About (Blog)
Monday, June 12, 2017

Senator Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) sent a letter to the Justice Department on March 31, 2017 demanding for his Committee on the Judiciary all relevant documents on the company Fusion GBS. Fusion GPS is the company that funded the Christopher Steele opposition-research “Golden Shower” dossier against then-candidate Donald Trump. 

Analysis and Commentary

Three Overlooked Statements By Comey That Blow Apart The Russian Collusion Narrative

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Sunday, June 11, 2017

Three of James Comey’s responses before the Senate Intelligence Committee destroy the foundations of the narrative that Donald Trump and/or his campaign conspired with Russia to steal the 2016 presidential election from Hillary Clinton.

Analysis and Commentary

Comey Elevates The Fake Orbis Dossier By Asserting He Can Only Discuss It In Closed Session

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Thursday, June 8, 2017

In his ongoing public testimony, former FBI Director, James Comey dodged many of the questions to which the American public most wants answers with the excuse: “I can’t talk about that in open session.” Among the things the American people wanted to hear from Comey himself was his take on the sensational Orbis “Golden Shower” Dossier’s charges against Donald Trump. They learned nothing.

Featured

What Comes After Kim Jong Un?

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Wednesday, June 7, 2017

Daneil DePetris writes in The National Interest against the forced removal of Kim Jong Un from power because “North Korea is such a black-hole in terms of human intelligence, the U.S. intelligence community wouldn’t be able to confidently assess that the man or woman (Kim’s sister, for instance) who replaces Kim wouldn’t be just as vicious or unpredictable.” Historical parallels from the USSR and China, I argue, suggest that Kim would be followed by a milder form of collective rule.

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