Paul R. Gregory

Research Fellow

Paul Gregory is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution. He holds an endowed professorship in the Department of Economics at the University of Houston, Texas, is a research professor at the German Institute for Economic Research in Berlin, and is emeritus chair of the International Advisory Board of the Kiev School of Economics. Gregory has held visiting teaching appointments at Moscow State University, Viadrina University, and the Free University of Berlin. He blogs on national and international economic topics at and

The holder of a PhD in economics from Harvard University, he is the author or coauthor of twelve books and more than one hundred articles on economic history, the Soviet economy, transition economies, comparative economics, and economic demography. Gregory’s economics papers have been published in American Economic Review, Econometrica, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Review of Economics and Statistics, Journal of Political Economy, Journal of Economic History, and the Journal of Comparative Economics.  His most recent books are Women of the Gulag: Portraits of Five Remarkable Lives (Hoover Institution Press, 2013), Politics, Murder, and Love in Stalin's Kremlin: The Story of Nikolai Bukharin and Anna Larina (Hoover Institution Press, 2010), Lenin’s Brain and Other Tales from the Secret Soviet Archives (Hoover Institution Press, 2008), Terror by Quota (Yale, 2009), and The Political Economy of Stalinism (Cambridge, 2004), which won the Hewett Prize. He edited The Lost Transcripts of the Politburo (Yale, 2008), Behind the Façade of Stalin's Command Economy (Hoover, 2001), and The Economics of Forced Labor: The Soviet Gulag (Hoover, 2003). The work of his Hoover Soviet Archives Research Project team is summarized in "Allocation under Dictatorship: Research in Stalin's Archive" (coauthored with Hoover fellow Mark Harrison), published in the Journal of Economic Literature.

Gregory has also published The Global Economy and Its Economic Systems (Cengage, 2013) and is working with director Marianna Yarovskaya on a film documentary entitled Women of the Gulag.

Gregory also served on the editorial board of the seven-volume Gulag documentary series entitled The History of the Stalin Gulag, published jointly by the Hoover Institution and the Russian Archival Service. He also serves or has served on the editorial boards of Comparative Economic Studies, Slavic Review, Journal of Comparative Economics, Problems of Post-Communism, and Explorations in Economic History.

His research papers are available at the Hoover Institution Archives.

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Recent Commentary

Analysis and Commentary

The New York Times Exposes Death Panels

by Paul R. Gregoryvia What Paul Gregory Is Thinking About (Blog)
Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Sarah Palin was widely ridiculed for her use of “death panels” to describe the inevitable rationing of medical care under Obama Care.

Analysis and Commentary

Trump Foolishly Doubles Down On Putin: “Many Say Putin Didn’t Do It”

by Paul R. Gregoryvia What Paul Gregory Is Thinking About (Blog)
Monday, February 1, 2016

Donald Trump doubled down on Vladimir Putin in an interview with Fox Business News as he reacted to a British court public inquiry into the 2014 poisoning death of Russian defector and British citizen, Alexander Litvinenko. The British inquiry found that two Russian agents (Lugovoi and Kovtun) were guilty of murder beyond a reasonable doubt, that they were, beyond a reasonable doubt, acting on the behalf of others.

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British Court: Putin Is A Likely Accessory To Litvinenko's Murder

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Wednesday, January 27, 2016

A British court has concluded, using civil standards of proof, that Vladimir Putin approved the murder of a Russian whistleblower, Alexander Litvinenko, in London. The Litvinenko case comes as close as possible to proving Putin’s guilt.

Analysis and Commentary

Irrational Fear Of Deflation? There Is No Correlation Between Inflation/Deflation And Growth

by Paul R. Gregoryvia What Paul Gregory Is Thinking About (Blog)
Sunday, January 24, 2016

Central bankers and the financial press worry about deflation. They aim for a moderate amount of inflation and then worry when their “inflation targets” are not met. Deflationophobes link deflation and recession. They point to stagnant Japan as an example of the ravages of deflation. 


Seven Warnings To Donald Trump About Vladimir Putin

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Friday, January 8, 2016

Vladimir Putin’s praise of Donald Trump as “a very outstanding man, unquestionably talented” has been reciprocated by Trump’s calling Putin “a man so highly respected within his own country and beyond” that they “would get along very well.”

Analysis and Commentary

A Donald Trump Moment Is Developing In Vladimir Putin's Russia

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Last weekend, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin expressed mutual admiration for each other. But their similarities go deeper.

Analysis and Commentary

Russia Worries About Shock Economic Scenarios

by Paul R. Gregoryvia National Review
Monday, December 21, 2015

If the price of oil doesn’t rise, the nation could see considerable unrest.

Analysis and Commentary

Truckers Halt Moscow Traffic As Putin Shifts The Blame

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Tuesday, December 8, 2015

Long-haul truckers from the North Caucasus to Western Siberia began a protest against a new GPS-based federal road tax on November 11. Independent truckers formed slow-moving convoys that caused kilometer-long traffic jams throughout the affected regions.

Analysis and Commentary

Why Putin Makes A Bad Ally

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Project Syndicate
Thursday, December 3, 2015

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s intervention in the Syrian conflict has been welcomed by some as a moment for the Kremlin to “come in from the cold.” Russia’s conflict with the Islamic State, the argument goes, has aligned the country’s interests with those of the West. Even Turkey’s downing of a Russian warplane does not seem not to have deflated this optimism.

Analysis and Commentary

Has Putin Met His Match In Russia's Truck Drivers?

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Monday, November 30, 2015

Russia’s long-haul truck drivers have disrupted the country’s federal highways for more than two weeks to protest a new road tax (platon in Russian) collected (with a 20% commission) by the Putin-associated Rotenberg oligarchs.