Policy Briefs
Here we feature the recent works of Hoover History Lab authors that feature specific policy recommendations.
 

See also Books, Articles, and Commentary from the Hoover History Lab.


Indonesia

The Future of Indonesia’s Democracy: Governance Through Security and Lessons from an Authoritarian Past

By Norman Joshua
March 19, 2026

This policy brief examines the expanding role of Indonesia’s armed forces in civilian governance under Prabowo Subianto within the context of the country’s broader historical trajectory and the 2025 revision of Indonesian law, which expands the military’s civilian reach and extends its mandate into cyber defense, border management, and public administration. These changes underscore how bureaucratic incapacity and geopolitical uncertainty sustain the military’s influence under democratic rule. 

 

Ukraine

Reprioritizing the Black Sea after the War in Ukraine

By Ziyi Wang
February 25, 2026 

The Black Sea must be strategically reprioritized after the war in Ukraine. Although the Montreux Convention has effectively limited escalation in that maritime theater, a potential ceasefire will expose the region’s enduring risks of volatility. Russian ambitions in the Black Sea will not fade after the war. Given the delicate diplomacy between Ankara and Moscow and the Black Sea’s central role in global trade and food security, safeguarding the region will require Western prioritization.

 

A tank on a Syrian border

Israel’s Military Conscription Conundrum: A Historical Context for Today’s Crisis

By Jonathan Roll
October 30, 2025

Israel’s most recent war has brought the schism between the country’s majority groups and its ultra-Orthodox minority back to the surface, this time focused on the issue of military conscription.

 

 

 

Filipino Flag

Reforming Philippine Language Governance: How Language Parity Can Revive Filipino Nationhood

By Mikey Tupaz
October 2, 2025

This brief calls for reforming Philippine language governance to address linguistic inequality, brain drain, and cultural decline. It proposes a constitutional amendment enshrining language parity by recognizing all major Philippine languages as co-national, and legislative reforms—to strengthen the Komisyon sa Wikang Filipino and restore the Mother-Tongue Based Multilingual Education mandate—that aim to unify the nation, preserve cultural heritage, and sustain global competitiveness.

 

Elderly

The Senior Bulge: Anticipating and Addressing the Aging Boom

By Katharine Sorensen, Jonathan Cosgrove, Divya Ganesan, Daniel Longo
September 17, 2025

The world is experiencing a profound demographic shift: a "senior bulge" where those aged 65+ outnumber younger cohorts for the first time in history. This trend, driven by longer life expectancy and lower fertility, poses economic, political, and social challenges to all societies. 

 

 

Construction machinery in the rays of the rising sun, early morning at the construction site stock photo

A Multilateral Commercial Stockpile for Critical Minerals

By Eyck Freymann, Joshua Stinson, William Norris, Daniel Egel
August 10, 2025

China distorts global markets for critical minerals through subsidies, export controls, and price manipulation, threatening U.S. and allied industry. Drawing lessons from stockpiles in history, we propose establishing a U.S.-led multilateral critical minerals stockpile (MCS), implemented by regulated private operators.

 

 

Nigeria

Twenty Million Left Behind: How Nigeria’s Broken Education Policies Threaten a Nation, a Continent, and the World

By Gift Iyioku
July 8, 2025

This policy brief examines why decades of education reform in Nigeria have failed to produce transformative results, despite significant investment and planning. Drawing on lessons from African peer nations including Tunisia, Seychelles, Kenya, and Liberia, it proposes a blended strategy that combines stronger state capacity with strategic engagement of nonstate actors. Practical recommendations, from sustainable financing to public-private collaboration, offer a pathway to expanding quality access and improving learning outcomes.

 

beirutlebanon_461976569_300px

Lebanon Reborn? How Saudi Reengagement Can Restore Lebanese Sovereignty and Purge Hezbollah

By Katharine Sorensen
June 3, 2025

Lebanon possesses the rare opportunity to marginalize Hezbollah, restoring state sovereignty amid the group’s military and political decline following its conflict with Israel.

 

 

 

Immigration image

Afro-Caribbean Human Capital in the United States: Immigrant Success in Early Twentieth-Century Philadelphia

By Johann Smith
January 16, 2025 

What can we learn from the socioeconomic rise and exemplary lives of Afro-Caribbean immigrants to Philadelphia in the early twentieth century, a period marked by considerable racial prejudice and systemic barriers that held back other groups? The historical success of Afro-Caribbean immigrants—characterized by their education, ambition, work ethic, intact families, faith, and community solidarity—offers actionable lessons for public policy.

 

Sanctions

A Fresh Look at the Russian Assets: A Proposal for International Resolution of Sanctioned Accounts

By Philip Zelikow
January 7, 2025

As leaders debate how to stop Russia’s war in Ukraine, they should at last clean up and escrow the management of the $300 billion in Russian assets that have been frozen for nearly three years. Since their seizure, the political and financial circumstances have completely changed. 

 

 

Defense Against the AI Dark Arts: Threat Assessment and Coalition Defense

Defense Against the AI Dark Arts: Threat Assessment and Coalition Defense

By Philip Zelikow, Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar, Eric Schmidt, Jason Matheny
December 4, 2024

The United States must now start working very hard with allies to secure democratic advantage in the domain of frontier AI. We suggest how to manage the convergence of three great vectors: private sector–led innovation, emerging threats, and international efforts.

 

 

immigration

Lessons for American Immigration Policy from the Past 

By Cody Nager
Thursday, October 24, 2024

Many observers argue that current US immigration policy is broken. Can it be fixed? By examining past American immigration debates, we can identify three fundamental principles that make policy more effective: simplicity, selectivity, and locality. Applying these principles to current debates would lead to a better and more responsive immigration policy, benefiting both current and future Americans.
 

 

China and Brazil's Flags

Pitfalls of State-Led Development: Brazil’s Past Offers a Warning for China

By Dian Zhong
Friday, October 11, 2024

China’s state-driven economic model is at a critical crossroads, and debates over its sustainability are often emotionally charged and ideologically driven. Zhong offers a fresh perspective by using Brazil’s past to illuminate China’s future. 

 

 

China and Africa on Globes

BRI Colonialism in Africa: China’s Exploits Can Help the West Reengage the Continent

By Kate Tully
Friday, October 11, 2024

The West faces a critical juncture as China, through its Belt and Road Initiative, expands into Africa to secure resource dominance. With African sovereignty and global order threatened, how can the West reengage Africa? 

 

 

Nuclear weapons

Arms Uncontrolled: China’s Strategic Nuclear Weapons Expansion and Its Implications for the United States

By Lindsay Wu
Friday, October 11, 2024

Parity-based US strategic doctrines are being challenged: China is rapidly expanding its nuclear arsenal to rival those of the US and Russia; the combined forces of Beijing and Moscow could easily outnumber those of the Western allies.

 

 

On Day One by Hugo Bromley and Eyck Freymann

On Day One

By Hugo BromleyEyck Freymann
Monday, June 24, 2024  

The United States lacks an economic contingency plan for conflict with China. Hard decoupling through sanctions is not viable. Instead, the United States should prepare a “Day One” plan based on economic leadership and recovery. By harnessing incentives and market forces, Washington and core US allies can trigger avalanche decoupling in trade while working with the interests of third states and preserving dollar hegemony and the rules-based trading system.

 

intelligence

The Evolution of Intelligence Reform, 2002–2004

By Philip Zelikow
September 2012

Large organizational change in the United States occurs in evolutions, not revolutions.

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