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Thursday, May 17, 2018

Spring 2018 Issue 56

Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the U.S. National Security and National Defense Strategies

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, May 16, 2018

The Trump administration’s recent U.S. National Security and National Defense Strategies have drawn strong criticisms from the Chinese and have increased tensions in the U.S.-China relationship.

Military Affairs
Military Affairs

And Then There Were Seven: The New, Slimmed-Down Central Military Commission

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, May 16, 2018

In October 2017 at the first plenary session of the 19th Central Committee, Chinese state media announced the lineup of the new Central Military Commission (CMC). 

Economic Policy
Economic Policy

Xi’s System, Xi’s Men: After the March 2018 National People’s Congress

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 17, 2018

The National People’s Congress meeting in March launched a significant administrative reorganization and approved the appointment of a new generation of economic technocrats.

Political Reform and Governance
Political Reform and Governance

Central and Regional Leadership for Xinjiang Policy in Xi’s Second Term

by Jessica Batkevia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, May 16, 2018

After the 19th Party Congress last fall and the recent “two meetings” in March, the party-state has now completed its quinquennial leadership turnover and announced a major restructuring of a number of party and state entities.

Party Affairs
Party Affairs

Only Socialism Can Save China; Only Xi Jinping Can Save Socialism

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, May 16, 2018

The abolition of constitutional term limits on the post of PRC president has attracted more attention than usually attends Chinese leadership politics, and sparked a flood of speculation about the purposes of Xi Jinping in engineering it.

E.g., 8 / 18 / 2018
E.g., 8 / 18 / 2018
Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Fall 2015: Issue 48

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Summer 2015: Issue 47

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Tuesday, July 14, 2015
article
Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Fall 2014: Issue 45

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Tuesday, October 21, 2014
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Tuesday, October 21, 2014
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Tuesday, October 21, 2014
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Tuesday, October 21, 2014
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Tuesday, October 21, 2014
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Tuesday, October 21, 2014
article

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Military Affairs

“Safeguarding the Core and Following Commands”: Party-Army Relations Before the 19th Party Congress

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 25, 2017

In the run-up to the 19th Party Congress, scheduled for the fall of 2017, an important phrase appeared in Chinese military propaganda, exhorting the rank and file to “safeguard the core and follow commands.”

China-Taiwan-United States

Cross-Strait Relations: Marking Time

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 25, 2017

There have been no dramatic developments in cross-Strait relations of late. Instead, Beijing continues its steady pressure on the Taiwan authorities while courting private interests. 

US-China Relations
Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the Trump Administration’s Asia Policy

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 25, 2017

Chinese commentary on the Trump administration’s foreign policy has avoided making hostile responses to what Beijing may regard as notable U.S. provocations. 

Map of Taiwan
China-Taiwan-United States

The Bull in the China Shop

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

As Tsai Ing-wen continued to struggle with implementation of her ambitious reform programs—losing public support in the process—Beijing maintained pressure to accept the “1992 Consensus” or some other expression of “one China.”

Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on South Korea’s Deployment of THAAD

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

The Chinese leadership and the overwhelming majority of expert Chinese observers and commentators are strongly opposed to the U.S.-ROK decision to deploy the THAAD anti-missile system in South Korea.

Party Affairs

What Would Deng Do?

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Xi Jinping’s ideological proclivities have been variously described as drawing from Mao Zedong, Confucius, and Deng Xiaoping.

Political Reform and Governance

PRC Religious Policy: Serving the Gods of the CCP

by Jessica Batkevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Beijing’s update of national-level religious regulations is part and parcel of a larger governance effort.

Economic Policy

Xi Jinping’s Economic Policy in the Run-up to the 19th Party Congress: The Gift from Donald Trump

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

In the run-up to the 19th Party Congress in the fall of 2017, Xi Jinping has a strong interest in sustaining three narratives: the Chinese economy is growing stably, economic reform is moving forward, and a rising China is playing a more important role on the global scene.

Military Affairs

“Scraping Poison Off the Bone”: An Examination of the Campaign to “Eliminate the Baneful Influence of Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou”

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, February 14, 2017

In July 2016, Chinese state media began using a new formulation about “eliminating the baneful [pernicious] influence of Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou” from the military. 

Party Affairs

The Road To The 19th Party Congress

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Politburo’s scheduling of a Central Committee plenum for October signals the start of formal preparations to convene the Chinese Communist Party’s 19th Congress in the fall of next year. 

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The China Leadership Monitor seeks to inform the American foreign policy community about current trends in China's leadership politics and in its foreign and domestic policies. The Monitor proceeds on the premise that as China's importance in international affairs grows, American policy-makers and the broader policy-interested public increasingly need analysis of politics among China's leadership that is accurate, comprehensive, systematic, current, and relevant to major areas of interest to the United States.

China Leadership Monitor analysis rests heavily on traditional China-watching methods of interpreting information in China's state-controlled media. Use of these methods was once universal among specialists in contemporary Chinese affairs. Although the use of these methods has declined as opportunities to study China using other approaches have opened up in recent decades, their value in following politics among China's top leadership has not. Monitor analysis also brings to bear some of the new avenues of information and insight that have opened up since the normalization of U.S.-China relations and China's policy "opening to the outside world" in the late 1970s.

The China Leadership Monitor website is updated with new analyses quarterly.

Subscribe here to receive a free copy in your email inbox every quarter.

The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University. Its general editor is Hoover Institution research fellow Alice Miller.