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Blank Section (Placeholder)EssaysAnalysis and Commentary

Layered Response: Turkey’s Adaptive Policy On Refugees And Migrants

by Richard Outzenvia The Caravan Notebook
Tuesday, October 19, 2021

Turkey has experienced a massive surge in refugee and migrant flows over the past decade. Hosting over four million refugees and roughly two million other migrants, Turkey has faced significant social, economic, and security challenges related to population movements. Ankara’s evolving policy response has direct implications for Europe and for US strategic interests, and it presents a valuable case study as Western leaders grapple with parallel challenges.

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Understanding Police Reliance On Private Data

by Farhang Heydarivia Aegis Paper Series
Thursday, October 7, 2021

Private entities play a substantial and growing role across the criminal system. It is both impractical and undesirable to eliminate all private influences. Instead, policy makers can distinguish beneficial private influences from harmful ones by focusing on those private entities with the closest relationship to law enforcement. These entities have fewer incentives to guard against law enforcement overreach and thus deserve heightened scrutiny.

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Private Data/Public Regulation

by Barry Friedmanvia Aegis Paper Series
Monday, October 4, 2021

This article argues that, as a matter of constitutional law, government agencies that engage in policing cannot collect digital data, particularly about individuals for whom there is no suspicion of wrongdoing, without a sufficient regulatory scheme in place. A sufficient regulatory scheme justifies collection, achieves a public end, and has adequate protections for individual rights. Unauthorized and unregulated bulk digital collection of surveillance data simply may not occur.

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The Origin Of The Crisis In The Lebanese Banking Sector

by Alain Bifanivia The Caravan Notebook
Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Lebanon offers a case study in financial collapse. Never had an economy fallen so brutally, nor had a banking crisis been left so unmanaged, with predatory and irresponsible elites denying evidence of deterioration as depositors’ money evaporated. The failure was abrupt but originated from an illness that started long ago. This paper follows the crisis through its various stages to its lowest depths and warns that it risks changing Lebanon forever.

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The Limits Of Israeli Sea Power And The Threat Of Escalation With Iran

by Samuel Helfontvia The Caravan Notebook
Tuesday, August 31, 2021

Israel is in undergoing a major naval buildup, but it is still unable to address ongoing Iranian threats to its commercial shipping. In the past, Israel’s lack of naval options to solve maritime disputes has led it to launch broader wars, and Jerusalem has threatened to escalate the current conflict. The Biden administration needs to ensure that Israeli-Iranian skirmishes at sea do not balloon into a broader war.

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Islam In Taiwan: The Unlikely Story Of An Important Global Partnership

by Kelly Anne Hammondvia The Caravan Notebook
Wednesday, August 25, 2021

There is an important community of Muslims in Taiwan that has long provided a leverage point for the island government in its international posturing in relation to the Chinese Communist Party. Examining Taiwan’s engagement with Muslims also brings together two seemingly unrelated aspects of US foreign policy: Washington's forceful criticism of Beijing’s mistreatment of the Muslim Uyghur population in Xinjiang, and its reiterated commitment to the defense of Taiwan. 

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False Choices In Afghanistan

by Timothy Kanevia Defining Ideas
Wednesday, August 18, 2021

The US mission there, as elsewhere around the world, was never simply “stay or go.” Biden failed to count both costs and benefits.

Analysis and Commentary

Intellectual Property Regimes And Wage Inequality

by Chirantan Chatterjeevia Journal of Development Economics
Monday, July 19, 2021

Does stronger intellectual property (IP) cause wage inequality? This question in a post Covid-19 & AI world where digitization and technology (along with patent waiver debates for vaccines) are all pervasive is of increasing global importance.

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Unsalvageable Phenomena: A Doubter’s Guide To Middle Eastern Oil And US Foreign Policy

by Tristan Abbeyvia The Caravan Notebook
Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Does Middle East security really revolve around oil? According to this policy practitioner, doubts are accumulating about the “petrocentric” theory of the region's geopolitics, with anomalies that cannot be easily explained away by the conventional fixation on oil production. This essay draws on parallels from historical astronomy to suggest the time is ripe for a strategic revolution in the minds of American policy makers.

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China-US Relations In The Eyes Of The Chinese Communist Party: An Insider’s Perspective | 中共眼中的中美关系一个局內人的观点

via Analysis
Tuesday, June 29, 2021

Since the opening of diplomatic relations with China in 1972, the American strategy of engagement, however well intentioned, has been deeply naïve. While accepting America’s efforts to facilitate their country’s modernization, China’s leaders have worked to restrict any liberal effects on their political system. Now that China is strong, the Chinese Communist Party no longer believes that it must accommodate American concerns about its human rights record, military modernization, and foreign policy.