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Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Winter 2018 Issue 55

Contributing Commentator
Contributing Commentator

The 19th Party Congress: Ringing in Xi Jinping’s New Age

by Joseph Fewsmithvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, January 23, 2018

The 19th Party Congress and the First Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee that immediately followed the congress endorsed sweeping changes in China’s leadership, including the makeup of the Politburo and its standing committee.

Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy

Chinese Views of Foreign Policy in the 19th Party Congress

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Foreign policy priorities and initiatives addressed at the 19th Party Congress confirm the end of China’s “hide and bide” period and demonstrate its growing interest in becoming a more influential player on the world stage.

Military Affairs
Military Affairs

The Cult of Xi and the Rise of the CMC Chairman Responsibility System

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Analyst coverage of the recent 19th Party Congress has emphasized the “cult of Xi” and the lack of a designated successor among the new civilian leadership team, as well as the ideological and normative content of the Central Committee work report delivered by party chief Xi Jinping. 

Economic Policy
Economic Policy

Economic Policy in the Aftermath of the 19th Party Congress

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Before the 19th Party Congress, economic policy was highly focused on ensuring a favorable environment for the congress.

Political Reform and Governance
Political Reform and Governance

Party All the Time: Governance and Society in the New Era

by Jessica Batkevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, January 23, 2018

The 19th Party Congress provided further testament to the Chinese Communist Party’s efforts to suffuse itself into all aspects of society and government. 

Party Affairs
Party Affairs

The 19th Central Committee Politburo

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, January 23, 2018

The 19th CCP Congress and the new Central Committee it elected followed longstanding norms in appointing a new party Politburo. 

E.g., 2 / 22 / 2018
E.g., 2 / 22 / 2018
Friday, March 14, 2014

Spring 2014: Issue 43

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Friday, March 14, 2014
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Friday, March 14, 2014
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Friday, March 14, 2014
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Friday, March 14, 2014
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Friday, March 14, 2014
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Thursday, March 13, 2014
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Friday, March 14, 2014
article
Monday, October 7, 2013

Fall 2013: Issue 42

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Monday, October 7, 2013
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Monday, October 7, 2013
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Monday, October 7, 2013
article
Friday, June 7, 2013

Spring 2013: Issue 41

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Thursday, June 6, 2013
article
Monday, January 14, 2013

Winter 2013: Issue 40

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Monday, January 14, 2013
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Monday, January 14, 2013
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Monday, January 14, 2013
article

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Map of Taiwan
China-Taiwan-United States

Tsai Ing-wen Takes Office: A New Era in Cross-Strait Relations

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

In her May 20 inaugural address Tsai Ing-wen laid out in stark terms the daunting economic and social challenges that Taiwan faces in the months and years ahead, as well as her determination to meet those challenges. 

Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the Presumptive U.S. Presidential Candidates Hillary R. Clinton and Donald J. Trump

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

This year’s presidential election, like past ones, features China and U.S.-China relations as a talking point for candidates from both parties. 

Party Affairs

“Core” Leaders, “Authoritative Persons,” And Reform Pushback

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

References in PRC media in recent months to China’s top leader, Xi Jinping, as “core” leader, and publication in May of a long dissertation on economic policy appearing in the Chinese Communist Party’s official newspaper under the byline “An Authoritative Person” have provoked controversy among observers of Chinese leadership politics.  

Economic Policy

Two Trains Running: Supply-Side Reform, SOE Reform and the Authoritative Personage

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

The publication of a new article by “Authoritative Personage” on May 9, 2016, threw into the open two unresolved issues of Chinese policy: Who is making economic reform policy?  What is the mix between reform and growth? 

Military Affairs

Promoting “Young Guards”:
 The Recent High Turnover in the PLA Leadership (Part III: Personal and Political)

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

The bold moves toward reform of China’s military will have profound implications not only for Xi Jinping’s political standing in the lead-up to the next leadership turnover in 2017, but also for the development of civilian-military relations in the country and for the trajectory of China’s military modernization. 

Party Affairs

Projecting the Next Politburo Standing Committee

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Analysis of appointments to the Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party shows that over the past two decades three simple rules have been followed.

Economic Policy

Supply-side Structural Reform: Policy-makers Look For a Way Out

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Policy-making with respects to economic reform has been extremely inconsistent since early 2015.

Military Affairs

Promoting “Young Guards”: The Recent High Turnover in the PLA Leadership (Part II: Expansion and Escalation)

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

The most noticeable trend under the leadership of Xi Jinping since the 2012 National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has been the continuing consolidation of power. In particular, the military has been a key arena in which Xi has strengthened both his personal power and his new administration’s authority. 

Military Affairs

China’s “Goldwater-Nichols”? The Long-Awaited PLA Reorganization Has Finally Arrived

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

On 31 December 2015, CCP supremo Xi Jinping announced the most sweeping reorganization of the People’s Liberation Army since the 1950s.

China-Taiwan-United States

The “1992 Consensus” – Adapting to the Future?

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

In the January 16, 2016, Taiwan presidential and legislative elections, the Democratic Progressive Party inflicted a devastating defeat on the incumbent Kuomintang.

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The China Leadership Monitor seeks to inform the American foreign policy community about current trends in China's leadership politics and in its foreign and domestic policies. The Monitor proceeds on the premise that as China's importance in international affairs grows, American policy-makers and the broader policy-interested public increasingly need analysis of politics among China's leadership that is accurate, comprehensive, systematic, current, and relevant to major areas of interest to the United States.

China Leadership Monitor analysis rests heavily on traditional China-watching methods of interpreting information in China's state-controlled media. Use of these methods was once universal among specialists in contemporary Chinese affairs. Although the use of these methods has declined as opportunities to study China using other approaches have opened up in recent decades, their value in following politics among China's top leadership has not. Monitor analysis also brings to bear some of the new avenues of information and insight that have opened up since the normalization of U.S.-China relations and China's policy "opening to the outside world" in the late 1970s.

The China Leadership Monitor website is updated with new analyses quarterly.

Subscribe here to receive a free copy in your email inbox every quarter.

The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University. Its general editor is Hoover Institution research fellow Alice Miller.