China Leadership Monitor

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Thursday, May 17, 2018

Spring 2018 Issue 56

Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the U.S. National Security and National Defense Strategies

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, May 16, 2018

The Trump administration’s recent U.S. National Security and National Defense Strategies have drawn strong criticisms from the Chinese and have increased tensions in the U.S.-China relationship.

Military Affairs
Military Affairs

And Then There Were Seven: The New, Slimmed-Down Central Military Commission

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, May 16, 2018

In October 2017 at the first plenary session of the 19th Central Committee, Chinese state media announced the lineup of the new Central Military Commission (CMC). 

Economic Policy
Economic Policy

Xi’s System, Xi’s Men: After the March 2018 National People’s Congress

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, May 17, 2018

The National People’s Congress meeting in March launched a significant administrative reorganization and approved the appointment of a new generation of economic technocrats.

Political Reform and Governance
Political Reform and Governance

Central and Regional Leadership for Xinjiang Policy in Xi’s Second Term

by Jessica Batkevia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, May 16, 2018

After the 19th Party Congress last fall and the recent “two meetings” in March, the party-state has now completed its quinquennial leadership turnover and announced a major restructuring of a number of party and state entities.

Party Affairs
Party Affairs

Only Socialism Can Save China; Only Xi Jinping Can Save Socialism

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, May 16, 2018

The abolition of constitutional term limits on the post of PRC president has attracted more attention than usually attends Chinese leadership politics, and sparked a flood of speculation about the purposes of Xi Jinping in engineering it.

E.g., 8 / 18 / 2018
E.g., 8 / 18 / 2018
Friday, March 14, 2014

Spring 2014: Issue 43

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Friday, March 14, 2014
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Friday, March 14, 2014
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Friday, March 14, 2014
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Friday, March 14, 2014
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Friday, March 14, 2014
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Thursday, March 13, 2014
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Friday, March 14, 2014
article
Monday, October 7, 2013

Fall 2013: Issue 42

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Monday, October 7, 2013
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Monday, October 7, 2013
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Monday, October 7, 2013
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Monday, October 7, 2013
article
Friday, June 7, 2013

Spring 2013: Issue 41

Foreign Policy

by Michael D. Swaine Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

China-Taiwan-United States

by Alan D. Romberg Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Military Affairs

by James Mulvenon Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Political Reform

by Joseph Fewsmith Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Economic Policy

by Barry Naughton Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

Party Affairs

by Alice L. Miller Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

The Provinces

by Cheng Li Thursday, June 6, 2013
article

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Wuhan, China
Economic Policy

Supply-Side Structural Reform at Mid-year: Compliance, Initiative, and Unintended Consequences

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Implementation of supply-side reforms has now passed to provincial governments.

Military Affairs

Xi Jinping Has a Cool New Nickname: “Commander-in-Chief”

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

On 20 April 2016, Xi Jinping formally inspected the Central Military Commission’s joint battle command center, broadcast on national television.

China-Taiwan-United States

The First 100 Days: Crossing the River While Feeling the Stones

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

As Tsai Ing-wen strives to jumpstart her priority domestic programs, she is finding that governance is hard.

Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the South China Sea Arbitration Case between the People’s Republic of China and the Philippines

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Philippines v. China arbitration case and the furor over its verdict constitute a significant development that could influence the prospects for future rivalry or cooperation in the Western Pacific. 

Military Affairs

PLA Divestiture 2.0: We Mean It This Time

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

In November 2015, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) announced that the military’s remaining sanctioned participation in the PRC economy, known as “paid services,” would be phased out over the course of three years.

Map of Taiwan
China-Taiwan-United States

Tsai Ing-wen Takes Office: A New Era in Cross-Strait Relations

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

In her May 20 inaugural address Tsai Ing-wen laid out in stark terms the daunting economic and social challenges that Taiwan faces in the months and years ahead, as well as her determination to meet those challenges. 

Foreign Policy

Chinese Views on the Presumptive U.S. Presidential Candidates Hillary R. Clinton and Donald J. Trump

by Michael D. Swainevia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

This year’s presidential election, like past ones, features China and U.S.-China relations as a talking point for candidates from both parties. 

Party Affairs

“Core” Leaders, “Authoritative Persons,” And Reform Pushback

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

References in PRC media in recent months to China’s top leader, Xi Jinping, as “core” leader, and publication in May of a long dissertation on economic policy appearing in the Chinese Communist Party’s official newspaper under the byline “An Authoritative Person” have provoked controversy among observers of Chinese leadership politics.  

Economic Policy

Two Trains Running: Supply-Side Reform, SOE Reform and the Authoritative Personage

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

The publication of a new article by “Authoritative Personage” on May 9, 2016, threw into the open two unresolved issues of Chinese policy: Who is making economic reform policy?  What is the mix between reform and growth? 

Military Affairs

Promoting “Young Guards”:
 The Recent High Turnover in the PLA Leadership (Part III: Personal and Political)

by Cheng Livia China Leadership Monitor
Tuesday, July 19, 2016

The bold moves toward reform of China’s military will have profound implications not only for Xi Jinping’s political standing in the lead-up to the next leadership turnover in 2017, but also for the development of civilian-military relations in the country and for the trajectory of China’s military modernization. 

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The China Leadership Monitor seeks to inform the American foreign policy community about current trends in China's leadership politics and in its foreign and domestic policies. The Monitor proceeds on the premise that as China's importance in international affairs grows, American policy-makers and the broader policy-interested public increasingly need analysis of politics among China's leadership that is accurate, comprehensive, systematic, current, and relevant to major areas of interest to the United States.

China Leadership Monitor analysis rests heavily on traditional China-watching methods of interpreting information in China's state-controlled media. Use of these methods was once universal among specialists in contemporary Chinese affairs. Although the use of these methods has declined as opportunities to study China using other approaches have opened up in recent decades, their value in following politics among China's top leadership has not. Monitor analysis also brings to bear some of the new avenues of information and insight that have opened up since the normalization of U.S.-China relations and China's policy "opening to the outside world" in the late 1970s.

The China Leadership Monitor website is updated with new analyses quarterly.

Subscribe here to receive a free copy in your email inbox every quarter.

The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University. Its general editor is Hoover Institution research fellow Alice Miller.