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The Autumn of the Patriarch

by Oscar Espinosa Chepe, William Ratliffvia Hoover Digest
Thursday, April 17, 2008

When will an American president finally scrap our embargo on Cuba? By Oscar Espinosa Chepe and William Ratliff.

Defusing the Bomb Culture

by George P. Shultz, William J. Perry, Henry A. Kissinger, Sam Nunnvia Hoover Digest
Thursday, April 17, 2008

The growing effort to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons. By George P. Shultz, William J. Perry, Henry A. Kissinger, and Sam Nunn.

Teaching The Federalist

by Peter Berkowitzvia Hoover Digest
Wednesday, April 16, 2008

What happens when South Korean students take a close look at American democracy. By Peter Berkowitz.

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Starting Anew on Taiwan

by Ramon H. Myers, Hsiao-ting Linvia Hoover Digest
Wednesday, April 16, 2008

In 1949, Chiang Kai-shek faced both utter defeat and a second chance. What he did next. By Ramon H. Myers and Hsiao-ting Lin.

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Weak Hand, Skillful Player

by Paul H. Taivia Hoover Digest
Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Chiang Kai-shek’s diaries shed light on his intricate moves in the game of international diplomacy. By Paul H. Tai.

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Don’t Worry about the Yuan

by Charles Wolf Jr.via Hoover Digest
Wednesday, April 16, 2008

A crude attempt to “realign” China’s currency would do more harm than good. By Charles Wolf Jr.

“Harmonious” In China

by John Deluryvia Policy Review
Monday, March 31, 2008

The ancient sources of modern doctrine

Holy Bible

Religion and Economic Development

by Rachel M. McClearyvia Policy Review
Friday, March 28, 2008

The advantage of moderation

Religion and Social Order

by Amitai Etzionivia Policy Review
Friday, March 28, 2008

Filling the gap when autocrats fall

PRC-Tawain-United States

Taiwan Elections: Foundation for the Future

by Alan D. Rombergvia China Leadership Monitor
Wednesday, March 12, 2008

The January Legislative Yuan elections in Taiwan demonstrated that, for better or worse, the Chen Shui-bian era is over. The rout of Chen’s Democratic Progressive Party by the opposition Kuomintang sent a clear message that the people of Taiwan were utterly dissatisfied with the government’s performance over the past eight years and that they rejected the politics of ideology. Whomever they choose in the March presidential election, it is obvious that the people of Taiwan—while rejecting unification with the Mainland today, anxious to participate actively in the international community, and resentful of steps taken by the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to thwart virtually every effort by Taiwan to do so—are far more concerned about securing their future well-being and de facto independence than about pushing “principled” stands on the island’s de jure status. The nightmare scenarios that Beijing has conjured up about how Chen might declare an emergency and enforce “Taiwan independence” to perpetuate himself in office have little relevance to Taiwan’s reality in 2008.

The hard-fought presidential campaign, following the course of many Taiwan political contests, is being conducted in a manner that might offend the Marquis of Queensberry. But Taiwan voters seem largely unimpressed and retain their focus on the issues. The critical question facing all the relevant players after a new Taiwan leader takes office in May will be whether the two sides of the Strait can seize the opportunity presented by the change in Taipei—whoever is elected—to lay a new foundation for the future. If for any reason the parties miss the moment, they might well set in concrete a competitive and even confrontational cross-Strait structure that will deepen existing tensions, complicate U.S.-PRC relations, and continue to threaten the well-being of all concerned.

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