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The Taiwan Question

by Edward N. Luttwak via Strategika
Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Dividing the Taiwan question––does or should, and, if so, does America currently possess the wherewithal to help Taiwan successfully repel a Chinese attack––the first needed determination is whether the US should defend Taiwan, and that determination must be made anew every time the question comes up, just as it would be made anew in the hour of decision by any U.S. President and his chosen advisors.

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The Defense of Taiwan: A Matter of Willingness, not Capability

by Seth Cropseyvia Strategika
Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Taiwan lies within the United States’ defense umbrella out of strategic necessity. It is the critical link in the First Island Chain. If the chain is broken, China will be able to roll up U.S. defenses, attacking Japan and the Philippines from their exposed, Pacific-facing flanks.

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Put Nukes on Taiwan

by Angelo M. Codevillavia Strategika
Wednesday, June 30, 2021

For three generations, U.S. diplomats have purchased what they imagined to be the Chinese Communist Party’s good will by serial reductions in America’s own geopolitical interest in Taiwan. They have refused to see that tiny Taiwan is key to Beijing’s political vulnerabilities and ambitions.

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Taiwan: Deterrence of China Is Failing

by Gordon G. Changvia Strategika
Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Taiwan, the Economist proclaims on its May 1-7 cover, is “the most dangerous place on earth.”

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Taiwan: Time For A Real Discussion

by Admiral Gary Rougheadvia Strategika
Wednesday, June 30, 2021

There has been a spate of recent articles proffering when the People’s Republic of China (PRC) will likely be capable of invading Taiwan. The prognostications are interesting but unhelpful as they distract from the reality of the range of coercive actions the PRC may impose on Taiwan and what could happen now as a result of the PRC increasing pressure and a related military accident or misstep in the vicinity of Taiwan.

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Realism And Deterrence In Cross-Strait Relations

by Joseph Feltervia Strategika
Wednesday, June 30, 2021

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leadership has never felt more confident that its increasingly capable military could be deployed to successfully seize Taiwan by force. Decades of expanding defense budgets and investment in military modernization have significantly enhanced the CCP’s potential to project power across the Taiwan Strait.

Background EssayAnalysis and Commentary

Will America Defend Taiwan? Here’s What History Says

by Ian Eastonvia Strategika
Wednesday, June 30, 2021

In December 1949, Chiang Kai-shek moved the capitol of the Republic of China (ROC) to Taipei. He intended the relocation to be temporary. He had already moved his government multiple times: when the Empire of Japan invaded China, when World War II ended, and again when Mao Zedong’s Communist insurgents took the upper hand in the Chinese Civil War.


Former Chinese Party Insider Calls U.S. Hopes Of Engagement ‘Naive’

via The Wall Street Journal
Tuesday, June 29, 2021

Hoover’s Project on China’s Global Sharp Power has released a new essay by Cai Xia, a dissident and former professor at the Central Party School of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), that presents an insider’s account of the CCP’s historical world view and reveals the current perspective of Beijing’s leaders about their relationship with the United States.

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That ‘70s Show

interview with John H. Cochrane, Niall Ferguson, H. R. McMastervia GoodFellows: Conversations From The Hoover Institution
Tuesday, June 29, 2021

To the adage of repeating the past, does a stretch of inflation at home, the end of prolonged military involvement in a faraway land, and a president lamenting a nation in crisis suggest a return to the America of the 1970s? Hoover Institution senior fellows Niall Ferguson, H. R. McMaster, and John Cochrane discuss the differences between then and now—after sharing photos showcasing their ’70s finery.

In the News

China Chats With Stanford Faculty: USA Vs China: A New Cold War? Great Power Relations And Competition In The 21st Century With Prof. Michael McFaul

mentioning Michael McFaulvia Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
Friday, June 25, 2021

Thirty years ago, the Cold War ended. Today, great power competition is back – or so it seems – with many describing our present era as a “New Cold War” between the United States and China (and Russia). But is this label an illuminating or distorting analogy? More importantly, what should the U.S. do to meet the challengers of great power competition in the 21st century?