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Analysis and Commentary

The Battle For German Public Opinion: The Russia/Ukraine Narrative

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Monday, December 15, 2014

Putin’s propaganda machine is fighting a desperate PR battle—at home and abroad—for control of the narrative of its war against Ukraine.


Mark Harrison on "More or Less"

interview with Mark Harrisonvia BBC World Service
Monday, December 15, 2014

Research Fellow Mark Harrison discusses 1920's Soviet Russia on BBC World Service's More or Less.

One of the “kill teams” employed by Moscow in the bloody suppression of the 1924
Analysis and Commentary

Was The Soviet 1923 Male Birth Cohort Doomed By World War II?

by Mark Harrisonvia Mark Harrison's Blog
Saturday, December 13, 2014

Tim Harford's BBC Radio programme "More or Less" asked me to comment on a claim that is widely repeated on the internet, for example on Buzzfeed:

Analysis and Commentary

Peace In Ukraine By Appeasing Putin? Refuting The Ill-Informed Proposal

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Thursday, December 11, 2014

Two Washington policy wonks propose an appeasement policy that would doom Ukraine and give Putin a huge victory over the West, while offering no tangible benefits. Their “win-win-win” policy is based on a fundamental lack of understanding of the Kremlin.

In the News

Should Ukraine Rewrite History And Reacquire Nuclear Weapons? No And No.

mentioning George P. Shultz, Henry A. Kissinger, William J. Perry, Sam Nunnvia Los Angeles Times
Thursday, December 11, 2014

Twenty years ago in Budapest, Hungary, leaders of the United States, Russia, Britain and Ukraine signed a memorandum on nuclear weapons and Ukrainian security. It committed Ukraine to remove nuclear arms from its territory and join the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty as a nonnuclear-weapon state — the last former Soviet republic to make that pledge.


Paul Gregory on the John Batchelor Show (19:29)

interview with Paul R. Gregoryvia John Batchelor Show
Monday, December 8, 2014

Research Fellow Paul Gregory discusses trolling in social media and the Ukraine crisis on the John Batchelor Show.

Analysis and Commentary

Putin's New Weapon In The Ukraine Propaganda War: Internet Trolls

by Paul R. Gregoryvia Forbes
Tuesday, December 9, 2014

The internet troll army’s selling of the Kremlin’s parallel universe to the Russian people and to a  skeptical Western audience is a matter of life and death for the Putin regime.  If the Russian people do not buy their story, Putin loses the high “ratings” on which his regime rests. If he cannot convince his Western audience, Europe and the United States will take actions that spoil his Novorossiya ventures and threaten his regime.  Trolling is a high stakes business that Putin takes seriously and the West must not underestimate.  

In the News

Putin’s Rambling State Of The Nation Speech Unnerves Russia’s Elites

quoting Michael McFaulvia Time
Thursday, December 4, 2014

The euphoria among the Kremlin elites that followed the annexation of Crimea has faded as economic and security issues pile up

Analysis and Commentary

Putin’s World Cup Picasso ‘Bribe’

by Tunku Varadarajanvia Daily Beast
Monday, December 1, 2014
Allegations that Russians bribed a senior soccer official with a painting by Picasso should be the final straw: Russia must not host the 2018 World Cup.

Economic Growth Scenarios for Russia: Bad and Very Bad

interview with Michael S. Bernstamvia Radio Free Europe-Radio Liberty
Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Американские эксперты обсуждают ухудшение экономической ситуации в России и не исключают повторения серьезного кризиса