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Arctic Force Structure: What an Arctic Fleet Might Look Like

by Stephen M. Carmel via Analysis
Wednesday, February 19, 2014

The increasing accessibility of the Arctic Ocean is leading to greater commercial activity there. Non-Arctic states are also beginning to investigate the potential advantages the Arctic could afford them. The United States, however, does not have the government assets to operate beyond a minimal capacity in that area. To make informed investment decisions, a comprehensive survey of the decision environment would be helpful. To date, however, no such review has been done. This paper aims to...

Blank Section (Placeholder)Analysis and Commentary

Addressing the Gaps in Arctic Governance

by Mark E. Rosen, Patricio Asfura-Heimvia Analysis
Wednesday, October 23, 2013

The Arctic is warming twice as fast as the rest of the planet, thus opening the Arctic to increased human activity as never before. As that ocean becomes free of ice for longer periods of time, market pressures may attempt to exploit its vast resources, including hydrocarbons both onshore and offshore, minerals, fisheries, and access for tourists and navigational convenience. The rapid melting of the Arctic is creating new and unique challenges that can cause significant damage if unaddressed...

Grand Strategy Essay Series

Complexity and the Misguided Search for Grand Strategy

by Amy Zegartvia Analysis
Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Amy Zegart argues that the number, identity, and magnitude of dangers threatening American interests are wildly uncertain, and that this makes searching for a single grand strategy unwise.

Grand Strategy Essay Series

Strategy’s First Steps

by Admiral Gary Rougheadvia Analysis
Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Admiral Gary Roughead argues that a discussion of grand strategy must start with an honest and accurate assessment of the country’s current global position: “When in a precarious navigational situation at sea, the first question asked is, where am I?” He identifies five current and anticipated trends that should shape that assessment.

Thinking Historically about Grand Strategy

by David M. Kennedyvia Analysis
Tuesday, January 7, 2014

David M. Kennedy places the group’s work within a historical context, showing that “[i]solationism was, arguably, the most long-lived and successful grand strategy” in the nation’s history. One lesson from that history that might prove instructive today is that sharp calculations of cost should be weighed against the prospective benefits of any foreign policy initiative.

Thoughts on U.S. Strategy

by Ambassador Karl W. Eikenberryvia Analysis
Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Karl Eikenberry examines the country’s past national security strategies and finds that their articulation of American interests has been consistent since the early days of the Cold War. What has changed is the underlying set of assumptions about U.S. economic strength and the domestic foundations of power that allow us to pursue those interests.

The Domestic Foundations of American Grand Strategy

by Mariano-Florentino Cuéllarvia Analysis
Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar discusses domestic sources of national power and identifies four issues that should loom large in discussions of America’s global strategy—education, immigration, fiscal policy, and institutional capacity.

Federal Reserve
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The Conduct of Monetary Policy

by Kevin Warshvia Analysis
Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Warsh discusses the limits on the Federal Reserve's ability to regulate monetary policy. Topics include the credibility of the Federal Reserve, the importance of situational awareness for a central bank, communication policy as a tool for central banks, and the dual mandate (price stability and maximum sustainable employment) for central banks.

Blue Globe showing US
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Military Self-Interest in Accountability for Core International Crimes

by Richard Sousa, Morten Bergsmo, Arne Willy Dahlvia Analysis
Monday, July 22, 2013

Accountability for war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide has received increased international attention since the establishment of the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia in 1993 (‘ICTY’). Internationalized criminal tribunals were subsequently established for Rwanda, Sierra Leone, Cambodia, Iraq and Lebanon, and we have seen high profile war crimes cases against former leaders such as Slobodan Milošević, Saddam Hussein and Charles Taylor. Although there have been some controversies and setbacks, the overall trend since the mid-1990s has been one of increased support for accountability for flagrant violations of international criminal law.

Law and Ethics for Autonomous Weapon Systems: Why a Ban Won’t Work and How the Laws of War Can

by Matthew Waxman, Kenneth Andersonvia Analysis
Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Public debate is heating up over the future development of autonomous weapon systems and the merit and risks associated with their use in war. Grounded in a realistic assessment of technology, this essay outlines a practical alternative with which to evaluate the use of autonomous weaponry that incorporates codes of conduct based on traditional legal and ethical principles governing weapons and warfare.

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