On behalf of Taiwan in the Indo-Pacific Region and its National Security Task Force the Hoover Institution held The World’s Most Dangerous Place? Assessing the Prospects for War and Peace in the Taiwan Strait onTuesday, November 14, 2023 at 12:00 PM PT. 

In recent years, numerous analysts have warned of an increasing risk of war in the Taiwan Strait. Others, however, have argued that military conflict remains unlikely, and that the risk of war should not be over-hyped. Drawing from his recent book, Scott Kastner outlines a framework through which to assess the prospects for military conflict between China and Taiwan. Drawing on international relations theory, Kastner outlines several causal pathways through which a Taiwan Strait conflict could occur, and assesses how broad trends in China-Taiwan-US relations are affecting the likelihood of these different scenarios. He concludes with policy suggestions for how actors in Beijing, Taipei and Washington could mitigate the risks of a war in the Taiwan Strait.

ABOUT THE PARTICIPANTS

Scott L. Kastner is a professor in the Department of Government and Politics at the University of Maryland, College Park. He graduated from Cornell University and received his Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of California, San Diego. His books include Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond (Stanford University Press, 2009); China’s Strategic Multilateralism: Investing in Global Governance (Cambridge University Press, 2019; with Margaret Pearson and Chad Rector); and War and Peace in the Taiwan Strait (Columbia University Press, 2022).

Kharis Templeman is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution and part of the Project on Taiwan in the Indo-Pacific. Templeman is a political scientist (Ph.D. 2012, Michigan) with research interests in Taiwan politics, democratization, elections and election management, party system development, and politics and security issues in Pacific Asia.

Upcoming Events

Monday, April 15, 2024
AI, Artificial intelligence, robot and human hands are touching and connecting, unity with human and ai concept, machine learning and futuristic technology background
The Policy Challenge Of AI Safety
The Hoover Institution invites you to The Policy Challenge of AI Safety on Monday, April 15, 2024, from 1:00 – 5:45 PM in Hauck Auditorium, David… Hoover Institution, Stanford University
Tuesday, April 16, 2024
Cliodynamics of End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites and the Path of Political Disintegration
The Hoover History Working Group invites you to a seminar on Cliodynamics of End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites and the Path of Political… Hoover Institution, Stanford University
Thursday, April 18, 2024 12:00 PM PST
Book cover for A Woman of Adventure: The Life and Times of First Lady Lou Henry Hoover by Annette Dunlap
Lou Henry Hoover—Stanford's Woman of Adventure, A Talk by Annette Dunlap
In celebration of Lou Henry Hoover's enduring 150 year legacy and her dedication to Stanford University, join us as biographer Annette Dunlap shares… Online
overlay image