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Tuesday, September 1, 2020

Issue 2027

Great Power Competition in the Middle East
Introduction
Introduction

The Middle East And The Major World Powers

by Charles Hillvia The Caravan
Tuesday, September 1, 2020

At this disrupted time centered around the COVID-19 pandemic affecting all parts of the globe might there be a way to assess the relative standing of national regimes and the geographical regions as fields in which their interests may compete?

Featured Analysis
Featured Analysis

Russia And American Power In The Middle East

by Robert Servicevia The Caravan
Tuesday, September 1, 2020

Nothing is stranger than the notion, widely held, that Russia is a newcomer to the Middle East. After extending its rule to what is now called southern Ukraine in the late eighteenth century its territories bordered on the vast Ottoman Empire.

Featured Analysis

Mr. Magoo In Turkey

by Michael Doranvia The Caravan
Tuesday, September 1, 2020

Even a kerfuffle can reveal a strategic blunder. In December 2019, the New York Times editorial board taped an interview with former Vice President Joe Biden. A segment dealing with US-Turkish relations did not make the final cut, but eight months later, on August 15, 2020, it surfaced on the internet and sparked outrage in Turkey.

Featured Analysis

Breaking The Cycle: The Need For A Sustainable, Long-Term Policy In The Middle East

by H. R. McMastervia The Caravan
Tuesday, September 1, 2020

The inability of the United States, in cooperation with like-minded nations, to implement a consistent policy toward the greater Middle East and North Africa region (spanning Morocco in the west to Iran in the east and encompassing the northern countries of Syria and Iraq to the southern countries of Sudan and Yemen) has contributed to the extent of the region’s unravelling, diminishing American influence there.

Featured Analysis

Is China Pivoting To The Middle East?

by Paul Wolfowitzvia The Caravan
Tuesday, September 1, 2020

From the beginning, the “Pivot to Asia,” announced with some fanfare in late 2011 by President Obama and Secretary of State Clinton, was more about politics than strategy. It provided the appearance of a strategic rationale for the American retreat from the Middle East with its “endless wars,” taking advantage of our new-found “energy independence” to focus instead on the Asia-Pacific with its growing importance for American economic and security interests.

Featured Analysis

Middle East Policy In An Age Of Constraint

by Russell A. Bermanvia The Caravan
Tuesday, September 1, 2020

The American public has grown war weary, with no enthusiasm to return to a grand agenda for the Middle East. This reluctance is the major constraint on future policy, and it has multiple causes.

E.g., 10 / 23 / 2020
E.g., 10 / 23 / 2020
Tuesday, September 17, 2019

Issue 1923

Prospects for Progress for Israel and the Palestinians

Introduction

by Charles Hill Tuesday, September 17, 2019
article

Featured Analysis

by Itamar Rabinovich Thursday, September 19, 2019
article
by Samuel Tadros Thursday, September 19, 2019
article
by Daniel Kurtzer Tuesday, September 24, 2019
article
by Dennis Ross Tuesday, September 24, 2019
article
by Katherine Bauer Thursday, September 26, 2019
article
by Tony Badran Thursday, September 26, 2019
article
by Reuel Marc Gerecht Tuesday, October 1, 2019
article
Tuesday, June 18, 2019

Issue 1922

Competition for influence in the Middle East

Introduction

by Charles Hill Tuesday, June 18, 2019
article

Featured Analysis

by Elana DeLozier Thursday, June 20, 2019
article
by Camille Pecastaing Thursday, June 20, 2019
article
by Reuel Marc Gerecht Tuesday, June 25, 2019
article
by Hafed Al-Ghwell Tuesday, June 25, 2019
article
by Kelly A. Hammond Thursday, June 27, 2019
article
by Tony Badran Thursday, June 27, 2019
article
Tuesday, March 19, 2019

Issue 1921

Toward a Middle East Strategy

Introduction

by Charles Hill Tuesday, March 19, 2019
article

Featured Analysis

by Hal Brands Thursday, March 21, 2019
article
by Henri J. Barkey Thursday, March 21, 2019
article
by Dennis Ross Tuesday, March 26, 2019
article
by Samuel Helfont Tuesday, March 26, 2019
article
by Sanam Vakil Thursday, March 28, 2019
article
by Samuel Tadros Thursday, March 28, 2019
article
by Eric Edelman Tuesday, April 2, 2019
article
by Tony Badran Tuesday, April 2, 2019
article
by Afshin Molavi Thursday, April 4, 2019
article
Thursday, November 29, 2018

Issue 1820

Political Theology in the Greater Middle East

Introduction

by Charles Hill Thursday, November 29, 2018
article

Featured Analysis

by Samuel Helfont Tuesday, December 4, 2018
article
by Sanam Vakil Tuesday, December 4, 2018
article
by Henri J. Barkey Thursday, December 6, 2018
article
by Itamar Rabinovich Thursday, December 6, 2018
article
by Habib Malik Tuesday, December 11, 2018
article
by Aishwary Kumar Tuesday, December 11, 2018
article
by Asli Aydintasbas Thursday, December 13, 2018
article
by Afshin Molavi Thursday, December 13, 2018
article
by Samuel Tadros Tuesday, December 18, 2018
article
by Russell A. Berman Tuesday, December 18, 2018
article

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Featured Analysis

Mackinder’s Return

by Matt Trevithick via The Caravan
Thursday, June 11, 2020

Halford Mackinder began his sketch on a spare map in 1904 by putting his pencil down on a point near the seas north of Russias St. Petersburg, by the Kanin Peninsula. From there, he laid down a southward graphite trail, bending west to incorporate Moscow, then heading south once more, threading between the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea until he stopped barely above the Persian Gulf. 

Featured Analysis

The Primacy Of Pragmatism

by Samuel Tadrosvia The Caravan
Thursday, June 11, 2020

“A plague has occurred that is unprecedented and the likes of which we have never heard of before … it has spread throughout the country, east and west, and we have seen wonders from it in its phases and conditions for it has annihilated most of the people in the country … and the markets were closed … and the call of prayers from mosques has been disrupted … and crops have been left unharvested and dried up on the face of the earth because there was no one to harvest it.”

Featured Analysis

The Pandemic: A Global Review

by Walter Russell Mead via The Caravan
Tuesday, June 9, 2020

The coronavirus pandemic is not, by the standards of the great plagues of the past, a particularly deadly disease. The plague that struck the Athens of Pericles seems to have had a much higher mortality rate, though its geographical reach was restricted. The epidemic that wrecked the Emperor Justinian’s drive to re-establish imperial authority in the west was similarly responsible for more death than the current outbreak – so far.

Featured Analysis

The Corona Pandemic And The Middle East

by Itamar Rabinovichvia The Caravan
Tuesday, June 9, 2020

The public health crisis and challenge of COVID-19’s impact on most of the Middle East, as on other parts of the non-Western World, has been limited. While the extent of the pandemic in Iran and Turkey has been significant, the figures cited by and for most of the Arab World have been low, certainly low when compared to the early concern that high density (in countries like Egypt and in the Gaza Strip) and weak public health systems could lead to an exponential spread of the disease.

Featured Analysis

Iran’s COVID-19 Response And U.S. Policy

by Alma Keshavarzvia The Caravan
Thursday, June 4, 2020

The United States has been badly hit by the COVID-19 pandemic, but so has the Middle East. While combating the virus at home is the priority, foreign policy is entwined with the overall strategy. The Pentagon and Department of State – and other agencies – are still hard at work keeping a watchful eye on the Middle East’s response to the virus and how adversaries could potentially take advantage of the pandemic.

Featured Analysis

Turkey's COVID-19 Response

by Soner Cagaptay, Deniz Yukselvia The Caravan
Thursday, June 4, 2020

Ankara's handling of the COVID-19 outbreak has left Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan falling behind the wheel, also revealing competition among advisors inside his presidential palace (known as Saray in Turkish) in Ankara. Meanwhile, popular initiatives to battle the pandemic, launched by recently-elected opposition mayors of key cities, including Istanbul and Ankara, have allowed these politicians to emerge as problem-solvers in the country.

Introduction

The Pandemic: Sovereignty And Globalization In Tension?

by Charles Hillvia The Caravan
Tuesday, June 2, 2020

The old cracker barrel wisdom inside the Beltway (if there had been a country store inside the Beltway) used to be “This is a Presidential Election Year, so don’t believe anything you hear.”  What we’ve been hearing recently are media spats about U.S-China immoral equivalency that could produce “a new Cold War.”  Don’t believe it.  Presidential year politics has Trump shaping his re-election around “I’m tough on China; Biden is soft”. 

Featured Analysis

The Evolution Of Arab Popular Opinion Toward Iran, And Iranian Self-Perceptions

by Karim Sadjadpourvia The Caravan
Thursday, March 12, 2020

The Middle East’s conflicts and autocracies—hostile to independent researchers and pollsters—make it one of the most challenging regions of the world to accurately assess public opinion. The competing popular demonstrations in the region both before and after the killing of Iranian Major General Qassem Soleimani illustrates the confusion.

Featured Analysis

Crisis Of The Iranian Order

by Tony Badranvia The Caravan
Tuesday, March 10, 2020

The “transnational”: this is how Qassem Soleimani, the former head of Iran’s Qods Force, who was killed in a January U.S. missile strike in Baghdad, is described in Hezbollah-run schools in Lebanon. 

Featured Analysis

The Islamic Republic Soldiering On

by Sanam Vakilvia The Caravan
Tuesday, March 10, 2020

A look back at the past few months of tumultuous domestic events in Iran and around the Middle East might lend favour to the view that Donald Trump’s maximum pressure campaign against the Islamic Republic is destabilising and weakening Iran alongside its grip on its regional networks.

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The Caravan is envisaged as a periodic symposium on the contemporary dilemmas of the Greater Middle East. It will be a free and candid exchange of opinions. We shall not lack for topics of debate, for that arc of geography has contentions aplenty. It is our intention to come back with urgent topics that engage us. Caravans are full of life and animated companionship. Hence the name we chose for this endeavor.

We will draw on the membership of Hoover's Herbert and Jane Dwight Working Group on Islamism and the International Order, and on colleagues elsewhere who work that same political and cultural landscape. Russell Berman and Charlie Hill cochair the project from which this effort originates.