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Economic Policy

An Economic Bubble? Chinese Policy Adapts to Rapidly Changing Conditions

by Barry Naughtonvia China Leadership Monitor
Friday, January 30, 2004

During the first half of 2003, rapid growth in China led many to proclaim the emergence of an economic "bubble." Extremely rapid growth of money and credit was accompanied by rapid growth in investment, especially in the housing market. Chinese policymakers have taken steps to restrain the bubble, and these measures are now having an impact. During this first phase, the emergence of the bubble and the way that it was handled seem to have strengthened the positions of both Premier Wen Jiabao and Central Bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan. However, the rapid emergence of the bubble economy reveals some unsettling realities about the Chinese economy. Moreover, the bubble portends important shifts in the economic payoffs and challenges that lie ahead for the political leadership.

Making Room at the Inn

by Jennifer Roback Morsevia Hoover Digest
Friday, January 30, 2004

Why we need the needy. By Hoover fellow Jennifer Roback Morse.

The Outlook

by George P. Shultzvia Hoover Digest
Friday, January 30, 2004

Former secretary of state George P. Shultz surveys the current Asian political and economic landscape.

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Legitimacy and Irrelevance

by Bruce Berkowitzvia Hoover Digest
Friday, January 30, 2004

The United Nations is far less powerful than some—French president Jacques Chirac, for example—would like. Thank goodness. By Hoover fellow Bruce Berkowitz.

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Four More Years?

by Bill Whalenvia Hoover Digest
Friday, January 30, 2004

Why this fall’s election will be George W. Bush’s to lose. By Hoover fellow Bill Whalen.

Party Affairs

Hu Jintao and the Party Politburo

by Alice L. Millervia China Leadership Monitor
Friday, January 30, 2004

Publicity attending the recent party Central Committee plenum and other media attention over the past year have shed light on the operations of the party's top decision-making body, the Politburo, under party General Secretary Hu Jintao's leadership. Much of the picture of Chinese leadership decision making remains dim, but the recent publicity has illuminated the formal aspects of Politburo routines and procedures in small but still significant ways. This publicity also permits tentative inferences about the dynamic of power in the Politburo and its Standing Committee and perhaps about Hu Jintao's personal aims in pressing institutional reform in the Politburo and beyond.

Analysis and Commentary

The Scientific Basis of Teaching Reading

by Herbert J. Walbergvia Hoover Daily Report
Monday, January 26, 2004

Children who fall substantially behind in reading in the early grades are unlikely to catch up.

Analysis and Commentary

Shorting Russia's Banks

by Alvin Rabushka, Michael S. Bernstamvia russianeconomy.org
Thursday, January 22, 2004

Like all business decisions, the wisdom or miscalculation of the purchase of Bank One by J.P. Morgan Chase will be evaluated by future returns and share prices. How does this story compare with Russia?

Analysis and Commentary

Who Could Be against "Adequate" School Funding?

by Eric Hanushekvia Hoover Daily Report
Monday, January 19, 2004

A massive amount of evidence indicates that spending on schools is not closely related to school quality or student learning.

Analysis and Commentary

Our Schools, Still at Risk

by John E. Chubbvia Hoover Daily Report
Monday, January 12, 2004

Even after two decades of efforts to raise academic standards, provide more resources, reduce class size, and hold schools accountable for improving student achievement, our schools continue to fail many children.

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