First we will examine Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future, a new book by Henry Sokolski, Executive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC), that explores what we face over the next few decades. Will the number of nuclear states grow in the next 20 years? What will the consequences be?

Then we will look at the new Hoover Institution publication, The War That Must Never Be Fought, co-edited by Distinguished Hoover Fellow and former U.S. Secretary of State George P. Shultz and current Annenberg Distinguished Visiting Fellow and former U.S. Ambassador, James E. Goodby. This important book borrows language from President Ronald Reagan's admonition in his 1984 State of the Union Message: "A nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought." Contributing authors of the book review the dilemmas of deterrence at global and regional levels and suggest new institutional mechanisms to create conditions for a world without nuclear weapons.

Finally, the Hoover Institution will soon launch a new series of occasional papers on the study of nuclear security issues entitled, A Hoover Institution Essay on Reducing Nuclear Threats. Dr. Michael Mazarr will present the highlights of his contribution to this series, A Renewed Vision for Nuclear Risk Reduction.




Time Content Panelists Moderator
10:30 AM

How Peaceful Will Our Nuclear Future Be?

Charles Lutes, Director, Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction, National Defense University

Henry Sokolski, Executive Director, Nonproliferation Policy Education Center
Greg Thielmann, Senior Fellow, Arms Control Association

Harvey Rishikof, Chair, American Bar Association Standing Committee on Law & National Security

12:00 PM

Working Lunch
Featuring keynotes by Lord Browne of Ladyton, former UK Minister of Defence and Vice Chairman of the Nuclear Threat Initiative.



12:45 PM

Approaching the Tipping Point: A Global Effort to Forestall Proliferation

Ambassador James E. Goodbye, Annenberg Distinguished Fellow, Hoover Institution

Dr. Michael J. Mazarr, Senior Political Scientist, RAND Corporation
Ambassador Steven Pifer, Director, Arms Control and Non-Proliferation Initiative, Brookings Institution; Senior Fellow, Arms Control Association

Lord Browne, former UK Defence Minister; Vice Chairman, Nuclear Threat Initiative

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