Casey B. Mulligan


Casey B. Mulligan was a visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution. Mulligan, a professor of economics at the University of Chicago, received his PhD in economics from the University of Chicago in 1993 and has also served as a visiting professor teaching public economics at Harvard University, Clemson University, and the Irving B. Harris Graduate School of Public Policy Studies at the University of Chicago. He is codirector of the Health Economics Initiative at the Becker-Friedman Institute. He has received awards and fellowships from the Manhattan Institute, the National Science Foundation, the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, the Smith-Richardson Foundation, and the John M. Olin Foundation. His research covers capital and labor taxation, the gender wage gap, health economics, Social Security, voting, and the economics of aging.

Mulligan has written widely on discrepancies between economic analysis and conventional wisdom.  He is the author of Side Effects and Complications: Economic Consequences of Health-Care Reform, The Redistribution Recession, and Parental Priorities and Economic Inequality. He has also written numerous op-eds and blog entries for the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the New York Post, the Chicago Tribune,, and other blogs and periodicals.

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Recent Commentary

Analysis and Commentary

Trumping Poverty

by Casey B. Mulliganvia City-Journal
Thursday, April 23, 2020

The president’s rollback of onerous regulations has helped low-income Americans.

Analysis and Commentary

Congress Can Still Save The Recovery

by Casey B. Mulligan, Brian Blasevia The Wall Street Journal
Tuesday, April 7, 2020

Lawmakers should correct incentives not to work, lest they slow the recovery after the economy reopens.

Analysis and CommentaryBlank Section (Placeholder)

Where Did The Fevers Go?

by Casey B. Mulliganvia Casey Mulligan
Thursday, April 2, 2020

There is a website that tracks real time fevers using thermometers connected to the internet. A first glance at their map suggests to me that fevers spiked two week ago.

Analysis and Commentary

An Example Of 7(A) Perversion

by Casey B. Mulliganvia Casey Mulligan
Monday, March 30, 2020

Let's say that you have 700 employees in the prior year, earning an average of $50K. If you continue that between now and the end of Q2, Title I of the 2020 CARES Act will give you nothing.

Analysis and Commentary

The Economic Impact Of Sanders’ Radical Agenda

by Casey B. Mulliganvia Casey Mulligan
Tuesday, February 25, 2020

If fully implemented, but otherwise implemented wisely, Senator Sanders’ agenda for the economy would reduce real GDP and consumption by 24 percent. Real wages would fall more than 50 percent after taxes. Employment and hours would fall 16 percent combined. There would be less total healthcare, less childcare, less energy available to households, and less value added in the university sector. Although it is more difficult to forecast, the stock market would likely fall more than 50 percent.


Casey Mulligan: We Exaggerate The Impact Of Tariffs, No Recession

interview with Casey B. Mulliganvia WGN Radio
Tuesday, August 20, 2019

Hoover Institution fellow Casey Mulligan notes that in spite of recent reports, the United States isn’t expecting another recession. He shares the advice he would give the president concerning trade.

Analysis and Commentary

The Most Important Blog Post Today

by David R. Henderson featuring Casey B. Mulliganvia EconLog
Monday, July 1, 2019

No, not this one. 

Analysis and Commentary

A Brief Summary Of Activities In President Trump's Council Of Economic Advisers

by Casey B. Mulliganvia Casey Mulligan
Monday, July 1, 2019

From July 2018 to June 2019, I served as Chief Economist of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA). My primary responsibilities were preparing public reports, supervising senior economists and interacting with various groups in the White House and in the relevant agencies on a wide range of topics.  As CEA engaged in topics, they were picked up by Kevin Hassett (especially tax and trade), Tom Philipson (esp. health, infrastructure, student loans), Rich Burkhauser (esp. labor, immigration, and social programs), or me (Affordable Care Act, socialism, regulation, wage growth, macro aspects of trade).  On some of the topics I worked serially or in tandem with Tom (health insurance regulation, Medicare Part D, the Rx CPI, opioid prices) and in tandem with Rich (TROIKA).

In the News

Trump's Top Economic Adviser Still Supports Carbon Tax

quoting Casey B. Mulliganvia E&E News
Wednesday, March 20, 2019
President Trump's top economic adviser is not backing away from his belief that a carbon tax would be an effective way to address greenhouse gas emissions.
In the News

White House Report: U.S. Economy Beat Projections Again In 2018

quoting Casey B. Mulliganvia UPI
Tuesday, March 19, 2019

The U.S. economy has outpaced expectations for the second consecutive year and shaken off fears of a global recession, the White House Council of Economic Advisers said in a report Tuesday.