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Dragon Kings and Grey Rhinos: The World War of 1914-1918 and the Pandemic of 2020-? with Niall Ferguson

Thursday, May 7, 2020
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

A History Working Group seminar with Niall Ferguson.

Event
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Black Swans, Dragon Kings And Gray Rhinos: The World War Of 1914-1918 And The Pandemic of 2020-?

by Niall Fergusonvia Hoover History Working Group
Monday, May 4, 2020

History Working Paper 2020-1

It has become a commonplace among beleaguered leaders seeking to rally popular support that the COVID-19 pandemic is a “war,” albeit against an “invisible enemy.” For a number of obvious reasons, a pandemic is very different from a war, of course. We think of a pandemic as a natural disaster, whereas a war as man-made.

In the News

‘Niall Ferguson’s Networld’ Review: Everything’s Always Been Connected

featuring Niall Fergusonvia The Wall Street Journal
Monday, March 23, 2020

Until recently, most casual conversations about current television would arrive at the same conclusion: “There’s just too much! You can’t watch it all!” That diagnosis is now being put to the test. But not only are the sequestered multitudes going to consume more television, they’re likely to digest it differently. And there are few better examples of that than “Niall Ferguson’s Networld.”

“The Immediate and Long-Term Effects of Bank Failures,” an interview with Chenzi Xu

interview with Niall Ferguson, Chenzi Xuvia Hoover Videos
Tuesday, March 3, 2020

An interview with Chenzi Xu on the effects of bank failures.

"Unusual, Unstable, Complicated, Unreliable and Temporary: Reinterpreting the Ebb and Flow of Globalization” an interview with Michael Bordo

interview with Michael D. Bordo, Niall Fergusonvia Hoover Videos
Tuesday, February 11, 2020

An interview with Michael Bordo on reinterpreting the ebb and flow of globalization.

Featuring


In this groundbreaking new series hosted by Niall Ferguson and based on his bestselling book The Square and the Tower, Ferguson visits network theorists, social scientists and data analysts to explore the history of social networks. From the Reformation and 17th century witch-hunting, through the American Revolution and to the nightmare visions of Orwell’s 1984, Ferguson explores the intersection of social media, technology and the spread of cultural movements. Reviewing classic experiments and cutting-edge research, Ferguson demonstrates how human behavior, disruptive technology and profit can energize ideas and communication, ultimately changing the world.

Chair
Milbank Family Senior Fellow
Executive Director
Participant
Payson J. Treat Distinguished Research Fellow in Contemporary Asia
Research Fellow
Senior Fellow
Senior Fellow / National Fellow 2010–11
Deputy Director/ Director of Library & Archives / Research Fellow
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Dragon Kings and Grey Rhinos: The World War of 1914-1918 and the Pandemic of 2020-? with Niall Ferguson

Thursday, May 7, 2020
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

A History Working Group seminar with Niall Ferguson.

Event

“The Immediate and Long-Term Effects of Bank Failures” with Chenzi Xu

Tuesday, March 3, 2020
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

A History Working Group seminar with Chenzi Xu exploring her latest economic history research, which empirically demonstrated that the bank failures caused by the 1866 Overend and Gurney crisis led to long-term reductions in exports from those countries most dependent on the failed British banks.

Event

“J.M. Keynes 1919 and the Ebb and Flow of Globalization” with Michael Bordo

Tuesday, February 11, 2020
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

A History Working Group seminar with Michael Bordo which explored the turning points in the evolution of the global economic system since Keynes’s famous 1919 tract, The Economic Consequences of the Peace.

Event
Sound Recordings in the Mont Pèlerin Society

“Mont Pelerin 1947” with Bruce Caldwell

Wednesday, January 15, 2020
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

A History Working Group seminar with Bruce Caldwell. Caldwell presented “Mont Perelin 1947,” where he discussed a chapter from forthcoming biography of Friedrich A. Hayek, which he is co-authoring with Hansjoerg Klausinger.

Event

“The Last Conservative: The Life of Milton Friedman” with Jennifer Burns

Friday, November 15, 2019
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

A History Working Group seminar with Jennifer Burns who presented “The Last Conservative: The Lives and Times of Milton Friedman,” where she discussed a chapter of her new biography of Milton Friedman, arguably Hoover’s most famous economist.

Event

“Winning the Battles and Losing the War” with Nadav Samin

Monday, November 4, 2019
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

A History Working Group seminar with Nadav Samin on whether the United States was underestimating the resilience of and potential threat posed by Islamic extremism.

Event

“Becoming Hitler: Lessons from the Making of a Demagogue” with Thomas Weber

Monday, October 21, 2019
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

A History Working Group seminar focused on Thomas Weber's latest book, titled Becoming Hitler: The Making of a Nazi, which was published by Basic Books in 2017, which explores Hitler’s experience in the critical period between the end of the First World War and the publication of the Versailles Treaty. Thomas Weber is a professor of History and International Affairs and Director at the Centre for Global Security and Governance at the University of Aberdeen in Scotland.

Event

The Hoover Institution was founded on the idea that historical study is the indispensable foundation for the study of war, peace and revolution, as well as for the preservation of a free society: that is why it was, from the outset, an institution with an archive of historical manuscripts and publications.  However, historians in the United States have increasingly recoiled from addressing contemporary issues, while policymakers are rarely trained as historians. This means that policy is often formulated with too little reference to historical experience on issues ranging from financial instability to technological disruption, from Islamic terrorism to mass migration—and most recently the threat of pandemic disease.

The Hoover History Working Group (HHWG) aims to conduct and disseminate historical research on issues of national and international concern; provide concrete recommendations on the basis of research and discussion; and use Hoover's unique situation to convene academic experts, policy makers, and interested private sector actors both at Stanford and in Washington, DC.

Under the leadership of Senior Fellow Niall Ferguson and Executive Director Manuel Rincon-Cruz, the History Working Group was launched in fall 2019.