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EssaysBlank Section (Placeholder)Analysis and Commentary

Unsalvageable Phenomena: A Doubter’s Guide To Middle Eastern Oil And US Foreign Policy

by Tristan Abbeyvia The Caravan Notebook
Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Does Middle East security really revolve around oil? According to this policy practitioner, doubts are accumulating about the “petrocentric” theory of the region's geopolitics, with anomalies that cannot be easily explained away by the conventional fixation on oil production. This essay draws on parallels from historical astronomy to suggest the time is ripe for a strategic revolution in the minds of American policy makers.

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Conciliation And Delusion: The Case For Maximum Pressure On Iran

by H. R. McMastervia The Caravan
Tuesday, June 15, 2021

“Anyone who will say that religion is separate from politics is a fool; he does not know Islam or politics.” -Khomeini

Featured AnalysisAnalysis and Commentary

Four Factors Will Shape Future U.S. Policy In Middle East

by James Jay Carafanovia The Caravan
Tuesday, June 15, 2021

The future Middle East matters to the United States. Peace, stability and prosperity in the region impacts our vital interests. The four factors outlined here could dramatically affect the U.S. capacity to safeguard our interests in the near to mid-term.

Featured AnalysisAnalysis and Commentary

Biden, Iran And The Middle East: A Failure To Learn

by Robert Liebervia The Caravan
Tuesday, June 15, 2021

Yes, Iran really matters and so does the Middle East. Despite signs that the Biden administration hopes to downplay U.S engagement in the region, U.S. national interests remain at stake there.  Notwithstanding major changes and upheavals, most of these interests continue to be relevant for America’s national security and for its allies and partners. 

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The Houthis, Saudi Arabia and the War in Yemen

by Bernard Haykelvia The Caravan
Tuesday, June 15, 2021

The conflict in Yemen is poorly understood in the United States. The general view in policy and government circles is that Saudi Arabia is the principal cause of the crisis, and that if the Saudis can be made to stop their military campaign against the Houthi rebel movement, the war would end quickly. 

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Gulf Politics And The Nuclear Deal

by Dania Koleilat Khatibvia The Caravan
Tuesday, June 15, 2021

The core state in the Arabian Peninsula is Saudi Arabia. The rest are small countries with less than one million citizens each. Hence, if we want to talk about Gulf policy towards Iran we need to talk about Saudi policy.

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Are Iraq’s Gates Opening Wider For Iran?

by Alma Keshavarzvia The Caravan
Tuesday, June 15, 2021

Iran has been a state sponsor of terrorism since 1984. Through the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Qods Force, Iran has forged relationships with like-minded militias in neighboring countries, but primarily in Iraq.

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Iran In China’s Grand Strategy

by Miles Maochun Yuvia The Caravan
Tuesday, June 15, 2021

China does not have a fixed Iran doctrine. And Iran does not have a historic China doctrine, as it usually places its geostrategic emphasis on the Middle East, the United States, and Europe. But the two revolutionary regimes are coming together.

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Why Iran Matters For American National Interest

by Russell A. Bermanvia The Caravan
Tuesday, June 15, 2021

The negotiations in Vienna about a return to the JCPOA are continuing, at least as of this writing in late May. Perhaps there will be a breakthrough soon, one way or another, even before this Caravan goes to press, or the talks may drag on into the summer until a compromise is reached or until one side decides to call it quits.

Featured AnalysisAnalysis and Commentary

Whither The JCPOA With Iran

by James Jeffreyvia The Caravan
Friday, June 11, 2021

Within the next several weeks the United States and its partners could well agree with Iran for the ‘return’ of the U.S. and Iran to the provisions of the 2015 “Joint Comprehensive Program of Action” or JCPOA regulating Iran’s nuclear programs.

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Scholars Describe The Origins And Potential Outcomes Of The Decade-Long Syrian Civil War

Monday, March 22, 2021
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

The Hoover Institution’s Herbert and Jane Dwight Working Group on the Middle East and the Islamic World acknowledged the tenth anniversary of the Syrian civil war this week with a conversation about the origins of the conflict and the future of what has become a failed state.

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The Syrian Requiem: The Civil War And Its Aftermath

Tuesday, March 16, 2021
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

The Hoover Institution’s Working Group on the Middle East and the Islamic World held a discussion on Tuesday, March 16, 2021 from 8:30-9:30am PST with Ambassador Itamar Rabinovich, Professor Emeritus at Tel Aviv University and Dr Carmit Valensi, Research Fellow at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS).

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Saudi Arabia In Crisis

Wednesday, November 7, 2018
Hoover Institution, Washington DC

The Hoover Institution hosted "Saudi Arabia in Crisis" on Wednesday, November 7, 2018 from 12:00 PM – 2:00 PM EST.

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Elections in the Middle East

Tuesday, July 10, 2018
Hoover Institution, Washington DC

The Hoover Institution hosted "Elections in the Middle East" on Tuesday, July 10, 2018 from 12:15pm - 1:30pm EST. 

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In the News

Realism And Democracy: American Foreign Policy After The Arab Spring

Monday, November 6, 2017
Hoover Institution, Washington DC

The Hoover Institution hosted "Realism and Democracy: American Foreign Policy after the Arab Spring" on Monday, November 6, 2017 from 5:00pm - 7:00pm EST.

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Israel Facing A New Middle East: In Search Of A National Security Strategy

Monday, July 17, 2017
Hoover Institution, Washington DC

The Hoover Institution hosted "Israel Facing a New Middle East: In Search of a National Security Strategy" on Monday, July 17, 2017 from 12:00pm - 2:00pm EST.

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In the News

White Helmets Discussion: Humanitarian Efforts In Syria

Thursday, April 27, 2017
Hoover Institution, Washington DC

The Hoover Institution hosted a discussion with the White Helmets on their humanitarian efforts in Syria on Thursday, April 27, 2017 from 5:00pm - 7:00pm EST.

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In This Arab Time, by Ajami
Analysis and Commentary

In In This Arab Time, Ajami marries historical analysis and personal perspective to inform thinking on current Middle East struggle

Thursday, November 13, 2014
Stanford

The Hoover Institution Press today released In This Arab Time, by the late Fouad Ajami, Hoover Institution senior fellow. In this collection of thought-provoking essays, Ajami  brings into focus the current struggles of the Middle East through detailed historical analysis and a personal perspective immersed in the literature of the time and place.

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Iraq after America: Strongmen, Sectarians, Resistance

In Iraq After America, Rayburn Focuses on Why Iraq Is Too Important to Disregard

Tuesday, August 5, 2014

The Hoover Institution Press today released Iraq after America by Colonel Joel Rayburn, a contributor to the Hoover Institution’s Working Group on Islamism and the International Order.

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The Caravan: Obama’s Second Term – Middle Eastern Memos.

Hoover Caravan traverses postelection landscape in the Middle East

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

The Hoover Caravan is a product of the Herbert and Jane Dwight Working Group on Islamism and the International Order, cochaired by Hoover fellows Charles Hill and Fouad Ajami, with the active participation of John Raisian, the Tad and Dianne Taube Director of the Hoover Institution. Participants gather in a round-table discussion format to discuss various topics and ideas. The contributors write 750-word essays and columns that can be seen on Advancing a Free Society: The Caravan.

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The Herbert and Jane Dwight Working Group on the Middle East and the Islamic World highlights the importance of studying both a region and a culture, while also addressing challenges outside the Middle East itself.

Chaired by Hoover fellow Russell Berman, the group draws on a wide network of scholars and practitioners, from within the United States and abroad, to support changes that enhance economic and political freedom, and foster personal liberty and rule of law—developments that are critical to the very order of the international system.


Visit The Caravan, a periodic symposium on the contemporary dilemmas of the greater Middle East.