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Private Data/Public Regulation

by Barry Friedmanvia Aegis Paper Series
Monday, October 4, 2021

This article argues that, as a matter of constitutional law, government agencies that engage in policing cannot collect digital data, particularly about individuals for whom there is no suspicion of wrongdoing, without a sufficient regulatory scheme in place. A sufficient regulatory scheme justifies collection, achieves a public end, and has adequate protections for individual rights. Unauthorized and unregulated bulk digital collection of surveillance data simply may not occur.

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Pacific Century: Japan's New Leader And New Role In The Pacific With Senator Bill Hagerty

interview with Bill Hagerty, Michael R. Auslinvia The Pacific Century
Thursday, September 30, 2021

Senator Bill Hagerty explains who Japan’s new leader is and why Japan remains critical to US strategy.

Analysis and Commentary

Want To Lock Down For The Climate?

by Bjorn Lomborgvia The Wall Street Journal
Thursday, September 30, 2021

[Subscription required] Hitting environmentalists’ emission timetables would take far more than even what the pandemic forced.

Analysis and Commentary

Integrating Political Science Into Climate Modeling: An Example Of Internalizing The Costs Of Climate-Induced Violence In The Optimal Management Of The Climate

by Shiran Victoria Shenvia Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
Friday, September 24, 2021

Extant modeling of the climate has largely left out political science; that needs to change. This paper provides an example of how a critical political concept—human security—can be accounted for in climate modeling. Scientific evidence points to an active link between climate change and the incidence of interpersonal and inter-group violence. This paper puts forth a new method to internalize the costs of climate-induced violence in the optimal management of the climate. 

Analysis and Commentary

Allow “nonuse rights” to conserve natural resources

by Bryan Leonard, Shawn Regan, Christopher Costello, Suzi Kerr, Dominic Parker, Andrew Plantinga, James Salzman, V. Kerry Smith, Temple Stoellingervia Science
Friday, August 27, 2021

Market approaches to environmental conservation, by which mechanisms such as property rights, prices, and contracts are used to advance environmental goals, have gained traction globally in recent decades. But in many cases, antiquated rules limit their role in conserving public natural resources. “Use-it-or-lose-it” requirements, together with narrow definitions of eligible “uses,” can preclude environmental groups from participating in markets for natural resources. These restrictions can bias resource management in favor of extractive users, even when conservation interests are willing to pay more to protect resources from development. 

Analysis and Commentary

Wolves make roadways safer, generating large economic returns to predator conservation

by Jennifer L. Raynor, Corbett A. Grainger, Dominic Parkervia Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Tuesday, June 1, 2021

Measuring the economic benefits conveyed by predators is difficult—often, effects are indirect and operate through complex ecological changes. As a result, debates about the expansion of predators have pit salient costs against more speculative estimates of benefits that might be dismissed as unreliable or ideologically motivated. We quantify the indirect benefits of wolves (Canis lupus) to human lives and property through reductions in deer-vehicle collisions. Moreover, we decompose the effect into two components: changes in prey behavior versus prey abundance. This decomposition is important when effective policy depends on whether hunters can replicate the effects of predators. In the case of wolves, we conclude that human deer hunters cannot.

Analysis and Commentary

Indigenous Self-Governance and Development on American Indian Reservations

by Dustin Frye, Dominic Parkervia American Economic Association
Saturday, May 1, 2021

The UN Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People promotes self-governance as a matter of justice rather than economics. How will self-governance affect the incomes of indigenous people? To gain insight, we compare long-run income growth on American Indian reservations with and without federal oversight through the 1934 Indian Reorganization Act. Reservations with more autonomy had 12–15 percent higher income per capita in 2016, even conditional on 1930s income. However, these more autonomous reservations also experienced wider income variance with more downside risk. The findings are consistent with theory emphasizing the development trade-offs between local and centralized governance.

Blank Section (Placeholder)EssaysAnalysis and Commentary

Modern-day General Warrants And The Challenge Of Protecting Third-party Privacy Rights In Mass, Suspicionless Searches Of Consumer Databases

by Jennifer Lynchvia Aegis Paper Series
Thursday, September 23, 2021

This article describes the problem of suspicionless searches of consumer databases, explains the threat these searches pose to privacy interests, argues that the legal arguments put forth by law enforcement in defense of these practices are flawed, and suggests what should be done about the problem, both in courts and in the legislature.

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GoodFellows: Stable . . . And Stagnant?

interview with John H. Cochrane, Niall Ferguson, H. R. McMastervia Fellow Talks
Thursday, September 23, 2021

Europe’s future includes a post-Merkel Germany, the fallout over the AUSUK technology deal, a shaky NATO alliance post-Afghanistan, Ukraine’s uncertain outlook, plus Russian control of natural gas supplies. Hoover senior fellows Niall Ferguson, H. R. McMaster and John Cochrane discuss the mood on the other side of the Atlantic, as well as President Biden’s UN address and China’s financial reckoning.

Analysis and Commentary

Even With Climate Change, The World Isn’t Doomed

by Bjorn Lomborgvia The Wall Street Journal
Thursday, September 23, 2021

[Subscription Required] Humanity has overcome far greater problems before and can do so again.

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Research Teams


The Task Force on Energy Policy addresses energy policy in the United States and its effects on our domestic and international political priorities, particularly our national security.

The Arctic Security Initiative addresses the strategic and security implications of increased Arctic activity and identifies opportunities for shaping a safe, secure, and prosperous Arctic.