Hoover Daily Report
Featured
Featured

Three Words That Haunt Joe Biden: ‘Dewey Defeats Truman’

by Niall Fergusonvia Bloomberg
Sunday, November 1, 2020

The 1948 presidential election was a bigger surprise than 2016, and has eerie parallels to 2020.

Featured

Who Will Win The US Presidential Election?

by Michael Spence, David Bradyvia Project Syndicate
Saturday, October 31, 2020

If the latest polls are any indication, Joe Biden is on track to win the popular vote in the upcoming US presidential election by a substantial margin, and an Electoral College reversal of that outcome, like in 2016, is unlikely. But the polls have been wrong before, including in 2016.

Featured

Donald Trump, Counterrevolutionary

by Victor Davis Hansonvia American Greatness
Sunday, November 1, 2020

Against all the money and clout of America’s revolutionary forces, the counterrevolutionary Trump had only one asset, the proverbial people.

Featured

Intelligence Isn’t Just For Government Anymore

by Amy Zegartvia Foreign Affairs
Monday, November 2, 2020

Spy Agencies Need to Reach Voters and Tech Leaders Now, Too

Analysis and Commentary
Analysis and Commentary

Rhetoric Of Economic Policy -- Biden Plan Analysis

by John H. Cochranevia The Grumpy Economist
Saturday, October 31, 2020

Last week saw four interesting statements by economists regarding the economic effects of Biden economic plans. 

Analysis and Commentary

Reading The Electoral Map: Do All Roads Lead To Reading, PA?

by Bill Whalenvia Forbes
Sunday, November 1, 2020

So how will the presidential election play out? Let’s look at a few scenarios.

Analysis and Commentary

I’m A Democracy Expert. I Never Thought We’d Be So Close To A Breakdown.

by Larry Diamondvia The New York Times
Sunday, November 1, 2020

Our election systems were not built for the modern era. Looking abroad might help.

Analysis and Commentary

Election Day In California: Waiting To Know How Often Voters Will “Just Say No”

by Bill Whalenvia California on Your Mind
Monday, November 2, 2020

Ordinarily, my writing appears in this space mid to late in the week. But a Tuesday election—and the uncertainty that may come as California’s vote tally vacillates in the days (and weeks) after—leads me to believe that the safer approach is to concentrate on pre–Election Day California.

Analysis and Commentary

Law Talk With Epstein & Yoo #139: “Judging Amy”

interview with Richard A. Epstein, John Yoovia Law Talk With Epstein, Senik & Yoo
Saturday, October 31, 2020

The ACB hearings, the future of the 6-3 court, and the judiciary’s role in the most unusual presidential election ever.

Analysis and Commentary

Pacific Century: Chinese Politics 101

interview with Michael R. Auslin, Jude Blanchettevia The Pacific Century
Friday, October 30, 2020

Jude Blanchette Talks Fifth Plenum and State Capitalism.

Analysis and Commentary

The Tapestry Weaver

by Sanam Vakilvia The Caravan
Thursday, October 29, 2020

Joseph Conrad said this about his work: “My task, which I am trying to achieve is, by the power of the written word, to make you hear, to make you feel--it is, before all, to make you see.” The same should be said of Fouad Ajami who through his life and writing helped many, like myself, hear, feel and see the rich beauty and diversity of the Middle East.

Analysis and Commentary

The World Must Prepare For A Contested US Election

by Timothy Garton Ashvia Financial Times
Sunday, October 25, 2020

[Subscription Required] Americans will need the support of other democracies if results are not immediately clear.

Analysis and Commentary

Rob Wiblin And Russ Roberts On Charity, Science, And Utilitarianism

by Russ Robertsvia EconTalk
Monday, November 2, 2020

Rob Wiblin, host of the 80,000 Hours podcast, interviews EconTalk host Russ Roberts about charity, the reliability of data to inform decision-making, and utilitarianism.

Analysis and Commentary

The Education Exchange: Politics And Unions, Not Public Health, Explain School Closures

by Paul E. Petersonvia The Education Exchange
Monday, November 2, 2020

An assistant professor of political science at Boston College, Michael Hartney, joins Paul E. Peterson to discuss a new study by Hartney and Leslie Finger, which links school district decisions on whether to reopen schools to how those areas voted in the 2016 presidential election.

Analysis and Commentary

Jonathan Rauch Has A GREAT Answer

by David R. Hendersonvia EconLog
Monday, November 2, 2020

What’s the appeal to people? Obviously I agree with you when you talk about a liberal society being a good one. The idea of intellectual or ideological pluralism, I’m all in. But people who are saying, “That’s a false front for a system that is rigged against trans people, against black people, and against other types of racial, ethnic, ideological, or sexual minorities”—how do you engage them when they are not interested necessarily in hearing what you have to say?

Analysis and Commentary

The COVID/Lockdown Recession Is Over

by David R. Hendersonvia EconLog
Friday, October 30, 2020

And the recovery is well under way. 

Interviews
Interviews

Morris Fiorina: Why Electing Biden (Or Trump) Won't Settle Anything For Long

interview with Morris P. Fiorinavia Reason
Monday, November 2, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Morris Fiorina discusses the impact of the presidential election.

Interviews

Mistrust And The ‘Polarisation Industry’: Stephen Kotkin On What’s Ailing The US

interview with Stephen Kotkinvia Investment Magazine
Monday, November 2, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Stephen Kotkin discusses the polarization in America and how we come together to rebuilt America.

Interviews

Shelby Steele On The Sunday Special

interview with Shelby Steelevia The Sunday Special
Saturday, October 31, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Shelby Steele discusses his film What Killed Michael Brown?, as well as the rise of the Black Lives Matter movement, and the reason President Trump and his supporters are so often labeled as racist.

Interviews

David Davenport On The John Batchelor Show (Part 1)

interview with David Davenportvia The John Batchelor Show
Friday, October 30, 2020

(Part 1) Hoover Institution fellow David Davenport discusses his Washington Examiner article "The civics education crisis can be fixed without congressional gridlock."

Interviews

David Davenport On The John Batchelor Show (Part 2)

interview with David Davenportvia The John Batchelor Show
Friday, October 30, 2020

(Part 2) Hoover Institution fellow David Davenport discusses his Washington Examiner article "The civics education crisis can be fixed without congressional gridlock."

Interviews

Lanhee Chen: A Look At The Biden And Trump Campaigns' Strategies In Final Stretch Before Election Day

interview with Lanhee J. Chenvia Yahoo News
Saturday, October 31, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Lanhee Chen discusses the Biden and Trump campaigns' strategies in the home stretch.

Interviews

Transparency 2020: Free Speech And Election Integrity, With John Yoo

interview with John Yoovia Parler
Friday, October 30, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow John Yoo explores the relationship between freedom of speech and election integrity, particularly as it applies to social media policy.

In the News
George Pratt Shultz
In the News

George Shultz Speaks Out For Renewing US Leadership Overseas

featuring George P. Shultzvia The New York Times
Saturday, October 31, 2020

n the final years of the Cold War, Secretary of State George P. Shultz negotiated the first arms-control treaty in history to eliminate an entire class of nuclear weapons, a crowning achievement of President Ronald Reagan’s tenure and the start of a new era of nuclear de-escalation.

In the News

Make Elections Not Matter So Much Again

quoting John H. Cochranevia Reason
Monday, November 2, 2020

My son's school, located near a polling place, is hosting online-only classes on Election Day and the day before. It's doing so "out of an abundance of caution," despite making a successful transition from a hybrid schedule to optional full-time in-person teaching, because supporters of America's two political death cults can't be trusted to behave themselves when encountering one another on the way to vote.

In the News

Authoritarian Regimes Prevailing Over Democracies Across The World

quoting Larry Diamondvia Nikkei Asian Review
Monday, November 2, 2020

Strongmen leaders take over as people fail to realize dream of becoming affluent.

In the News

Post-COVID-19 Tax Policy: Keeping Taxes Low To Ensure A Robust Recovery

cited John F. Cogan, Daniel Heil, John B. Taylorvia Heritage Foundation
Friday, October 30, 2020

Tax policy is an important component of the coronavirus economic recovery, which is complicated by the expiration of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act beginning in 2022, and culminating in 2026 when taxes increase for most Americans.

In the News

Orrin Hatch: We Must Fix Civics Education To Protect American Democracy

cited David Davenportvia USA Today
Friday, October 30, 2020

The events of one of the most tumultuous years in U.S. history have pushed our representative government to the breaking point.

In the News

With No Commute, Americans Simply Worked More During Coronavirus

featuring Steven J. Davisvia The Wall Street Journal
Friday, October 30, 2020

What would you do with an extra hour each day? For many people, the answer is…work more.

In the News

Deeply Divided Elections Cloud Economic Policy

featuring Steven J. Davisvia Chicago Booth Review
Monday, November 2, 2020

As political polarization has grown in recent years, the path of US economic policy increasingly depends on which party holds office, write Northwestern’s Scott R. Baker, Stanford PhD candidate Aniket Baksy, Stanford’s Nicholas Bloom and Jonathan A. Rodden, and Chicago Booth’s Steven J. Davis.