Hoover Daily Report
Featured
Featured

The Belarus Uprising: A Repeat Of Ukraine?

by Russell A. Berman, Kiron K. Skinnervia National Interest
Monday, September 7, 2020

The United States should be prepared to act if Putin tries to repeat in Belarus what he did in Ukraine.

Federal Reserve
Featured

The Fed Puts Its Independence On The Line

by Kevin Warshvia The Wall Street Journal
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

[Subscription Required] The central bank is on a one-way path to a larger role in our government and economy. Wall Street is thrilled, Main Street not so much.

Featured

'Weimar America'? The Trump Show Is No Cabaret

by Niall Fergusonvia Bloomberg
Sunday, September 6, 2020

Detractors have been equating the U.S. with 1920s Germany for 85 years, and they are still wrong.

Featured

Trump’s Covid Adviser Gets A Washington Welcome

featuring Scott W. Atlasvia The Wall Street Journal
Friday, September 4, 2020

Scott W. Atlas makes the case for reopening and says it’s a ‘preposterous lie’ that he advocates ‘herd immunity.’

Analysis and Commentary
Analysis and Commentary

Debt Matters

by John H. Cochranevia The Grumpy Economist
Friday, September 4, 2020

(This is a draft of an oped. I got done and saw it's 1500 words, so I'm posting it for your enjoyment rather than go through a painful 600 word diet. Diet later. Maybe.)

Analysis and Commentary

How Much Is Amazon Worth To You?

by Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Lee Ohanianvia The Hill
Sunday, September 6, 2020

Jeff Bezos, founder of Amazon and owner of about 11 percent of Amazon stock, recently became the first person in history to be worth more than $200 billion. Bezos’s net worth has skyrocketed as Amazon’s share price increased about 85 percent since February, before the pandemic.

Analysis and Commentary

Breaking The Cycle: The Need For A Sustainable, Long-Term Policy In The Middle East

by H. R. McMastervia The Caravan
Tuesday, September 1, 2020

The inability of the United States, in cooperation with like-minded nations, to implement a consistent policy toward the greater Middle East and North Africa region (spanning Morocco in the west to Iran in the east and encompassing the northern countries of Syria and Iraq to the southern countries of Sudan and Yemen) has contributed to the extent of the region’s unravelling, diminishing American influence there.

Analysis and Commentary

California Businesses Leave The State By The Thousands

by Lee Ohanianvia California on Your Mind
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

California businesses are leaving the state in droves. In just 2018 and 2019—economic boom years—765 commercial facilities left California. This exodus doesn’t count Charles Schwab’s announcement to leave San Francisco next year. Nor does it include the 13,000 estimated businesses to have left between 2009 and 2016.

Analysis and Commentary

Increasingly Volatile Voters

by Victor Davis Hansonvia Arkansas Democrat Gazette
Monday, September 7, 2020

Joe Biden and his handlers know that he should be out and about, weighing in daily on the issues of the campaign.

Analysis and Commentary

Area 45: State Of The Presidential Race: Convention Bump?

interview with David Brady, Douglas Riversvia Matters of Policy & Politics
Friday, September 4, 2020

The dynamics of the presidential race and “hidden” voters. 

Analysis and Commentary

The Terrifying Inadequacy Of American Election Law

by Larry Diamond, Edward Foleyvia The Atlantic
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

The country has narrowly averted catastrophic deadlocks over the presidential-election outcome before. We may not be so fortunate in 2020.

Analysis and Commentary

More On Debt

by John H. Cochranevia Grumpy Economist
Sunday, September 6, 2020

Following my last post on debt I've thought a bit more, and received some very useful emails from colleagues. A central clarifying thought emerges. The main worry I have about US debt is the possibility of a debt crisis.

Analysis and Commentary

SALT

by John H. Cochranevia The Grumpy Economist
Sunday, September 6, 2020

Chris Pullman and Richard Reeves at Brookings write opposing a reinstatement of the deduction for state and local taxes on the federal income tax. Jonathan Parker, a great economics tweeter, tweets approvingly, I offer a little more guarded approval.

Analysis and Commentary

Trump, Race, And Class

by Victor Davis Hansonvia National Review
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

The president’s authentic bluntness may be more appealing to non-elites of all races than violence and condescending lectures.

Analysis and Commentary

Desperately Derailing Donald

by Victor Davis Hansonvia American Greatness
Sunday, September 6, 2020

The effort to stop President Trump is growing comical.

Analysis and Commentary

GoI’s Plan To Conserve Resources For A Future Stimulus Is Self-Defeating, Says Raghuram Rajan

by Raghuram Rajanvia Economic Times (India)
Monday, September 7, 2020

The recently released quarterly GDP growth numbers for the first quarter of FY2020-21 should alarm us all. The 23.9% contraction in India (and the numbers will probably be worse when we get estimates of the damage in the informal sector) compares with a drop of 12.4% in Italy and 9.5% in the US, two of the most Covid-affected advanced economies.

Analysis and Commentary

The Speaker’s Death By A Thousand Snips And Cuts

by Bill Whalenvia Forbes
Thursday, September 3, 2020

Why bother with a column about House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to a San Francisco hair salon earlier this week – an appointment that caused political embarrassment for America’s highest elected Democrat as a surveillance camera caught her violating, at the time, at least two local ordinances (getting her hair done indoors and not wearing a mask)?

Analysis and Commentary

Republicans Should Campaign Hard For Votes Of Immigrants Like Me Who Are US Citizens

by Ayaan Hirsi Alivia Fox News
Sunday, September 6, 2020

The Republican Party has not done enough to win a significant share of our votes.

Analysis and Commentary

Don't Expect Europe To Hold Putin Accountable In Navalny Poisoning

by Paul R. Gregoryvia The Hill
Sunday, September 6, 2020

Vladimir Putin is a notorious risk-taker. Many of his ventures have paid off for him, but did his luck run out when a suspected plot to take out opposition leader Aleksei Navalny veered wildly off course? Instead of being pronounced dead from “natural causes” upon arriving on a flight to Moscow, as was purportedly planned, Navalny lies in a coma in a Berlin hospital, full of a poison accessible only to the Russian military and its Kremlin-successor security service, the FSB.

Analysis and Commentary

Trump And Biden Could Face Dramatic Post-Election Battle — Here’s What Might Happen

by John Yoovia Fox News
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Election Day is Nov. 3. But if the vote is close, we might not know who wins control of the White House until December or even January. Multiple, complex scenarios could play out before either Donald Trump or Joe Biden takes the oath of office Jan. 20.

Analysis and Commentary

The Marxist Virus Is Still Lethal

by Bruce Thorntonvia FrontPage Mag.com
Monday, September 7, 2020

Is the ground being laid for the final demolition of the Constitutional order?

Analysis and Commentary

Biden May Lose The Moderates

by Kevin Hassettvia National Review
Tuesday, September 1, 2020

They see a red flag in his threat to end the filibuster if the Republicans are too ‘obstreperous.’

Analysis and Commentary

Margaret Heffernan On Uncharted

by Russ Robertsvia EconTalk
Monday, September 7, 2020

How do we prepare for a future that is unpredictable? That's the question at the heart of Margaret Heffernan's new book, Uncharted: How to Navigate the Future. Heffernan is a professor at the University of Bath, but she is also a serial entrepreneur, a former CEO, and the author of five books on leadership, innovation, and the challenge of unleashing talent and creativity in large organizations. 

Analysis and Commentary

The Education Exchange: New Research Links Milwaukee School Vouchers And Reduction In Criminal Activity

by Paul E. Petersonvia The Education Exchange
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

The director of school choice at Reason Foundation and an adjunct scholar at Cato Institute, Corey DeAngelis, joins Paul E. Peterson to discuss DeAngelis’ new study which finds a correlation between receiving a school voucher in Milwaukee and a reduction in criminal activity.

Analysis and Commentary

Unemployment Rate Drops To Well Under 10 Percent

by David R. Hendersonvia EconLog
Friday, September 4, 2020

In August, the unemployment rate declined by 1.8 percentage points to 8.4 percent, and the number of unemployed persons fell by 2.8 million to 13.6 million. Both measures have declined for 4 consecutive months but are higher than in February, by 4.9 percentage points and 7.8 million, respectively.

Analysis and Commentary

Bad-Boy Foreign Leaders Shouldn’t Underestimate Trump’s Appetite For Election-Year Drama

by Markos Kounalakisvia Miami Herald
Thursday, September 3, 2020

Turkey, Russia and China are just three countries taking advantage of the moment to act aggressively around the world and test American resolve. All three are betting that the United States is too mired in crisis to react powerfully to strategic challenges overseas. All three might be making a miscalculation.

Interviews
Interviews

Trump's New Covid-19 Adviser Scott Atlas Responds To Critics

interview with Scott W. Atlasvia CNN
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Scott Atlas responds to critics.

White House at night
Interviews

Scott Atlas On BBC Newshour

interview with Scott W. Atlasvia BBC
Friday, September 4, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Scott Atlas discusses coronavirus as well as his position at the White House.

Interviews

Dr. Scott Atlas Denies Reports He Backed 'Herd Immunity,' Says No Safety Measures Are Being Cut For COVID Vaccine

interview with Scott W. Atlasvia Fox News
Thursday, September 3, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Scott Atlas discusses the White House strategy for fighting COVID-19.

Interviews

Ed Lazear: It’s A Very Active Labor Market

interview with Edward Paul Lazearvia CNBC
Friday, September 4, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Ed Lazear discusses the latest jobs numbers and the economy.

Interviews

Victor Davis Hanson Says Joe Biden Is Beholden To His Socialist Supporters

interview with Victor Davis Hansonvia Yahoo
Thursday, September 3, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Victor Davis Hanson discusses how Joe Biden has put himself in a socialist straight jacket based on the his polices and the reality of implementing them.

Interviews

Victor Davis Hanson On The John Batchelor Show

interview with Victor Davis Hansonvia The John Batchelor Show
Thursday, September 3, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Victor Davis Hanson discusses his National Review article "Biden Is a Prisoner of His Own Paradoxes."

Interviews

Victor Davis Hanson On The John Batchelor Show

interview with Victor Davis Hansonvia The John Batchelor Show
Thursday, September 3, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Victor Davis Hanson discusses his National Review article "Biden Is a Prisoner of His Own Paradoxes."

Interviews

Richard Epstein On The John Batchelor Show

interview with Richard A. Epsteinvia The John Batchelor Show
Saturday, September 5, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Richard Epstein discusses his Defining Ideas article "The American Meltdown."

Interviews

Richard Epstein On The John Batchelor Show

interview with Richard A. Epsteinvia The John Batchelor Show
Saturday, September 5, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Richard Epstein discusses his Defining Ideas article "The American Meltdown."

Interviews

John Cochrane On The John Batchelor Show

interview with John H. Cochranevia The John Batchelor Show
Friday, September 4, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow John Cochrane discusses his Grumpy Economist blog post, "What if the private sector were responsible for California wildfires?"

Interviews

Kiron Skinner: Will ‘Silent Majority’ Help Get Trump Reelected?

interview with Kiron K. Skinnervia Yahoo! Finance
Friday, September 4, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Kiron Skinner discusses the tightening presidential race and why she expects to see the president get reelected.

Interviews

John Yoo: Former FBI Agent Peter Strzok Calls President Trump A National Security Threat

interview with John Yoovia Fox News
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow John Yoo talks about the presidential race and possible Russian interference.

Interviews

Scott Atlas On Mornings On The Mall

interview with Scott W. Atlasvia OMNY FM
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Scott Atlas discusses the coronavirus task force and some of his concerns concerning the closure of schools and online learning.

Interviews

Charles Plosser: Expecting Too Much From The Fed Leads To ‘Wrong Kind Of Risk-Taking’

interview with Charles I. Plosservia Yahoo! Finance
Friday, September 4, 2020
Hoover Institution fellow Charles Plosser talks about the August jobs report and the Fed’s recent announcement on inflation.
Interviews

Elizabeth Cobbs: Encore: Harriet Tubman, American Patriot

interview with Elizabeth Cobbsvia Under the Radar
Friday, September 4, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Elizabeth Cobbs discusses Harriett Tubman.

Interviews

Michael Petrilli On The Education Gadfly Show: The Politics Of School Reopenings

interview with Michael J. Petrillivia Thomas B. Fordham Institute
Wednesday, September 2, 2020

Hoover Institution fellow Michael Petrilli discusses why politics seems to be a bigger factor in some school reopening decisions than science.

In the News
In the News

Scott Atlas Is A Needed Voice Of Wisdom And Reason On The Coronavirus Taskforce

featuring Scott W. Atlasvia Rep. Andy Biggs
Thursday, September 3, 2020

Thank goodness that President Trump has appointed a knowledgeable, credible counterbalance to the Coronavirus Taskforce. Dr. Scott Atlas is not a bureaucrat like Dr. Anthony Fauci or Dr. Deborah Birx; he is a world-renowned scientist and physician who seems to actually study the totality of the impacts of the COVID-19 epidemic. Dr. Fauci, by contrast, has repeatedly conceded that he hasn’t considered the economic impacts and secondary public health crises of his COVID-19 advice.

In the News

India’s GDP Data Should ‘Alarm’, Says Raghuram Rajan

featuring Raghuram Rajanvia Bloomberg Quint
Monday, September 7, 2020

Former Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan said India’s GDP data should “alarm” all of us.

In the News

New White House Coronavirus Adviser Says He’s A ‘Straight Shooter’

featuring Scott W. Atlasvia ABC
Friday, September 4, 2020

Dr. Scott Atlas, the controversial newest addition to the White House Coronavirus Task Force, says he is a “straight shooter.” He proceeded to demonstrate that in a lengthy and wide-ranging interview with BBC Radio Friday.

In the News

Pre-Election Dirty Tricks: Ignore, Refute, Or Pivot?

quoting Victor Davis Hansonvia American Greatness
Monday, September 7, 2020

It sounds unlikely but the most appalling instance of journalistic malpractice last week was not when The Atlantic published anonymous allegations that President Trump disparaged American troops behind closed doors—it was Joe Biden’s so-called press conference following another shaky, rambling, and dishonest speech disguised as a “campaign event.”

Thomas Sowell in front of a black background with an Uncommon Knowledge mug
In the News

Thursday Short Cuts

quoting Thomas Sowellvia The Patriot Post
Thursday, September 3, 2020

Upright: “I think the narrative that the police are in some epidemic of shooting unarmed black men is simply a false narrative and also the narrative that’s based on race. The fact is that it is very rare for an unarmed African American to be shot by a white police officer.” —Attorney General William Barr

In the News

The U.S. Vs. The Globe: How Primary Countries Are Actually Recuperating Coming From Coronavirus

quoting Michael J. Boskinvia Daily Research Editor
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Jan Hatzius, a Goldman Sachs expert that co-authored the record, said to POLITICO that U.S. financial end results because July substantiate the partnership in between wellness and also development. The economic situation’s enhancement, he kept in mind, represents an increasing allotment of the American populace based on condition and also regional hide directeds– coming from regarding 40 per-cent in June to its own existing 80 per-cent.

In the News

Prominent US Doctors Break Down Which Coronavirus Tests Will Curb Transmission Rates

quoting Scott W. Atlasvia America's News HQ (Fox News)
Friday, September 4, 2020

Rapid antigen tests could play a pivotal role in curbing the spread of the coronavirus, according to some of the country’s top medical professionals.

California flag
In the News

On California's Demise

quoting Victor Davis Hansonvia The Patriot Post
Monday, September 7, 2020

An elderly gent in California made a comment that sadly captures the mood in the nation’s biggest state: “In California these days, you can’t tell whether mask wearers are fighting the virus, the smoke, or the police.”

In the News

Recovery Could Falter Without More Targeted, Focused Stimulus: Charles Dallara

mentioning Scott W. Atlasvia CNBC
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Charles Dallara, The Partners Group USA chairman, and former CEO of the Institute of International Finance, joins ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss if a recovery could happen without additional stimulus.

In the News

Sullivan Is Confident Payroll Tax Suspension Will Hasten Recovery

mentioning Casey B. Mulliganvia Patch
Saturday, September 5, 2020

BROOKFIELD – David X. Sullivan, the Republican candidate in the Fifth Congressional District, says GOP President Donald Trump's recent payroll tax suspension has helped boost the economy.

In the News

Big Tech, Market Tipping And Market Definition

mentioning Nicolas Petitvia Concurrences
Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Concurrences, in partnership with Cleary Gottlieb, Compass Lexecon, Facebook and Orrick , is pleased to invite you to its next Law & Economics webinar.