Monetary Policy

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Interviews

John Taylor: Macro Musings Podcast

interview with John B. Taylorvia Macro Market Musings
Monday, April 18, 2016

Hoover Institution fellow John Taylor discusses the Taylor Rule, the Great Inflation, the housing boom period, the Great Recession, QE, the failure of the Fed to hit its inflation target, the international dimensions of Fed policy, rules versus discretion, and the latest efforts by Congress to nudge the Fed towards a more rules-based approach to monetary policy.

Featured

Brexit’s Happy Morons Don’t Give A Damn About The Costs Of Leaving

by Niall Fergusonvia Boston Globe
Sunday, April 17, 2016

When I was a little boy, my mother liked to quote the following quatrain (sometimes attributed to the New York wit Dorothy Parker): “See the happy moron, / He doesn’t give a damn, / I wish I were a moron, / My God! Perhaps I am!”

Analysis and Commentary

Impact Of Panama Papers Depends On Type Of Government

by Markos Kounalakisvia Sacramento Bee
Saturday, April 16, 2016

Warren Buffett is known for his pithy sayings and homespun investment philosophy. One Buffettism states that “it takes 20 years to build a reputation and five seconds to destroy it.”

Featured

A Better Living Will

by John H. Cochranevia Grumpy Economist
Saturday, April 16, 2016

"US rejects 'living wills' of 5 banks," from FT. WSJ puts this event in the larger story of Dodd Frank unraveling. Juicy quotes: WSJ: “living wills,” ... are supposed to show in detail how these banking titans, in the event of failure, could be placed into bankruptcy without wrecking the financial system.

Analysis and Commentary

‘Disguised’ Currency War Not Working

by Melvyn B. Kraussvia Handelsblatt Global Edition
Friday, April 15, 2016

[Subscription Required] We will all be better off when central bankers stop taking the easy road of devaluing their currencies, argues a U.S.-based expert on international economics and development.

Analysis and Commentary

Pension Fund Board Composition And Investment Performance: Evidence From Private Equity

by Aleksandar Andonov, Yael V. Hochberg, Joshua D. Rauhvia Social Science Research Network
Friday, March 25, 2016

We examine the governance of public pension funds and its relationship to investment performance. Pension fund board composition is strongly related to the performance of private equity investments made by the fund. Funds whose boards have high fractions of members who either sit on the board by virtue of their position in state government (ex officio) or were appointed by a state official underperform the most, followed by funds whose boards have a high fraction of members elected by participants.

Analysis and Commentary

New Deposition Testimony Cuts The Legs Out From Under The 2012 Net Worth Sweep

by Richard A. Epsteinvia Forbes
Wednesday, April 13, 2016

On April 4, 2016 I published a column (then, as now, as a consultant for several institutional investors) on the Fannie and Freddie fiasco that outlined the major legal issues that will surface when the District of Columbia hears the appeal that Perry Capital and Fairholme Funds are bringing to challenge the “net worth sweep” put into place between the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and the Department of Treasury on August 17, 2012.

The state of pensions
In the News

This Problem Could Push Much Of America Into Bankruptcy

featuring Joshua D. Rauh, Hoover Institutionvia Investors Business Daily
Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Pension Disaster: Puerto Rico’s recent financial woes have deflected attention from a problem potentially far “yuger,” as Donald Trump might say: The $3.4 trillion black hole at the center of state and local pensions.

In the News

Pension Pipe Dreams Put Taxpayers On Hook: Analysis

featuring Joshua D. Rauhvia CNBC
Monday, April 11, 2016

Underfunded pension programs in U.S. states, cities and municipalities are "three or four times worse" than current government projections, said Joshua Rauh, senior fellow at the Hoover Institution think tank.

In the News

US Faces ‘Disastrous’ $3.4tn Pension Funding Hole

quoting Joshua D. Rauhvia Financial Times
Sunday, April 10, 2016

[Subscription Required] The US public pension system has developed a $3.4tn funding hole that will pile pressure on cities and states to cut spending or raise taxes to avoid Detroit-style bankruptcies.

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Economic Policy Working Group

 
The Working Group on Economic Policy brings together experts on economic and financial policy to study key developments in the U.S. and global economies, examine their interactions, and develop specific policy proposals.

Milton and Rose Friedman: An Uncommon Couple