The TPA’s Tech Futures Lab hosted its inaugural retreat on June 23–24, asking participants to consider how they can better prepare for strategic technological surprises across sectors. Featuring speakers including Distinguished Visiting Fellow Maria Langan Riekhof, Hoover Director Condoleezza Rice, Alphabet Chairman John Hennessy, and former DARPA Director Aarti Prabhakar, the conference explored what technological advancements are likely in the next 10 years and which remain elusive long shots.

Tuesday, June 23, 2026
Time Content Presenters

12:00 - 1:00 PM

Registration

Lunch provided at registration. 

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1:00 - 1:10 PM

Welcome

Amy Zegart
Morris Arnold and Nona Jean
Cox Senior Fellow

Amber Miller
Hewlett Foundation President

1:10 - 2:00 PM

Introduction to the Tech Futures Lab

  • Mission of the Lab
  • Defining Strategic
    Technological Surprise
  • Goals for the retreat

Maria Langan Riekhof
Distinguished Visiting Fellow

2:00 - 3:00 PM

Expecting the Unexpected

A discussion on how emerging and
existing technologies could transform our world in unexpected and consequential ways.

Sec Condoleezza Rice
Tad and Dianne Taube Director, Thomas and Barbara Stephenson Senior Fellow on Public Policy

John Hennessy
Chairman of Alphabet,
President Emeritus of Stanford University, James F. and Mary Lynn Gibbons Professor in the School of Engineering. Shriram Family Director of Knight-Hennessy Scholars

Arati Prabhakar
Former Presidential Science and
Technology Advisor and DARPA Director

3:00 - 3:15 PM 

Break

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3:15 - 4:00 PM

Icebreaker

Lisa Einstein
Visiting Fellow

Jay Okey
Facilitator

4:00 - 5:30 PM

What’s on the Horizon In Key
Technology Sectors?

In ten years, what technological
advances are probable, possible,
and long shots? What are the major
enablers and countervailing forces
affecting these advances?

Jay Okey

5:30 - 6:00 PM

Reception
Main Patio

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6:00 - 7:30 PM

Dinner
Main Patio

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Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Time Content Presenters

7:30 - 8:00 AM

Breakfast 

--

8:00 - 9:45 AM

Battle of the Assumptions

Participants will debate controversial and consequential assumptions about emerging technologies in a point/counterpoint format.

Lisa Einstein

9:45 - 10:00 AM

Break

--

10:00 - 11:30 AM

Beyond the Obvious: Imagining Critical Transformations

Develop scenarios to illustrate how emerging technologies could potentially disrupt and transform different sectors, such as the
economy, healthcare, geopolitics, governance, information, and education, and identify hidden linkages.

Jay Okey

11:30 AM - 12:45 PM

Lunch & Presentations

Maria Langan Riekhof

12:45 - 2:00 PM

Problem Solved: Now What?

Explore the consequences/knock-on effects of solving major challenges in the world.

Jay Okey

2:00 - 2:15 PM

Voting

Participants will vote on topics and key questions for future research, analytic exercises, and follow-on engagement.

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2:15 - 2:45 PM 

Break

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2:45 - 4:00 PM 

Charting the Year Ahead for the
Hoover Tech Futures Lab

Review of key outputs from the inaugural retreat and identify areas for further research, scenario development, and wargames.

Maria Langan Riekhof 

4:00 - 5:00 PM

Closing Reception
Main Patio

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