The Center for Revitalizing American Institutions host From Dominance to Parity: America’s Political Parties and the New Era of Electoral Instability, a book talk with author David W. Brady on Tuesday, November 4, 2025, from 4:00 - 5:00 pm PT in the Shultz Auditorium, George P. Shultz Building.
ABOUT THE BOOK
At the time Jimmy Carter was inaugurated as the 39th president of the United States, the Democratic Party had been enjoying a half-century of sustained electoral advantage. It had long controlled Congress and dominated measures of party identification. When Carter defeated Gerald Ford in 1976, 40% of Americans called themselves Democrats and another 12% told survey takers they leaned towards the party. To win the election of 1976, Carter just needed to hold the voters that started out on his side. Nearly fifty years later, American politics has inverted itself. Close electoral competition is the norm, and politics are at a stalemate. Brady and Parker call the existing deadlock the era of party parity, an age of division unseen since the late-nineteenth century. From Dominance to Parity: America’s Political Parties and the New Era of Electoral Instability explains this profound shift in electoral politics. Drawing on fresh datasets and long-running surveys, the authors trace the decline of the Democratic majority and consider how this decline differed from past realignments. They show why modern American presidential elections are always close and argue that the rise of Donald Trump largely reinforced preexisting trends. Their work represents a significant contribution to our understanding of party identification and realignment.
ABOUT THE SPEAKERS
David W. Brady is the Davis Family Senior Fellow Emeritus at the Hoover Institution, the McCoy Professor of Political Science Emeritus in the Stanford Graduate School of Business, and Professor of Political Science Emeritus at Stanford University.
Carl M. Cannon is the Washington Bureau Chief of RealClearPolitics and the Executive Editor of RealClear Media Group. He has covered every presidential campaign and major political convention since 1984, and received the two most-prestigious awards for White House coverage: the Gerald R. Ford Prize for Distinguished Reporting of the Presidency, and the Aldo Beckman award for “excellence in presidential news coverage.”
