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Analysis and Commentary

“No Truer Friend”

by Gerald A. Dorfmanvia Hoover Daily Report
Monday, November 12, 2001

Blair on behalf of Britain has been vigorously carrying on the long tradition of an Anglo-American special relationship.

THE GHOST OF COMMUNISM PAST: Reform in Russia and China

with Michael McFaul, Coit Blacker, Orville Schellvia Uncommon Knowledge
Tuesday, October 23, 2001

After two decades of reform, Stalin and Mao wouldn't recognize Russia and China today. But each state has taken a different path away from their communist past. Russia has emphasized democratic reforms while enduring economic instability. China has promoted economic growth based on market reforms, while maintaining tight control over politics. Which path will prove to be more successful, Russia's or China's?

Analysis and Commentary

Putin's Moment of Truth

by Michael McFaulvia Hoover Daily Report
Monday, October 15, 2001

Ironically, the recent attack against the United States offers Russia an opportunity to join the West.

Analysis and Commentary

The New Protectionism at Work in Russia's Auto Industry

by Alvin Rabushka, Michael S. Bernstamvia russianeconomy.org
Wednesday, August 15, 2001

The Russian government, reinforced by a mid-July IMF Report, emphasized domestic industrial output as a principal source of growth in 2000 and 2001. Future growth, on this view, requires sustaining domestic production, which means holding down imports.

Analysis and Commentary

The New IMF Orthodoxy for Russia Is the Old Protectionism for Africa

by Alvin Rabushka, Michael S. Bernstamvia russianeconomy.org
Tuesday, July 31, 2001

The IMF released its mid-year report on the Russian Federation in July 2001. It recommends a new protectionism modeled on the lines of the old (failed) African policy of import substitution that was prevalent in the 1960s and 1970s.

Analysis and Commentary

Creating Incentives for Israeli-Palestinian Peace

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquitavia Hoover Daily Report
Monday, July 16, 2001

In an arrangement that ties revenue to tourism, both Palestinians and Israelis have incentives to minimize violence.

Analysis and Commentary

The IMF, the Truth, and Russia

by Alvin Rabushka, Michael S. Bernstamvia russianeconomy.org
Wednesday, May 30, 2001

The International Monetary Fund is trying to set up a venture that would warn of impending financial crises in developing countries, which would give both itself and other international lenders time to deal with problems in their early stages. But the IMF has no incentives to enforce the truth, even for its own policy objectives.

Analysis and Commentary

Putin Shows His True Colors

by Michael McFaulvia Hoover Daily Report
Monday, May 21, 2001

Putin seeks to destroy Russia's already fragile and weak democratic institutions.

Analysis and Commentary

The IMF, Oil, and Russian Economic Policy

by Alvin Rabushka, Michael S. Bernstamvia russianeconomy.org
Tuesday, May 1, 2001

Given the IMF's assessment of Russia's current favorable macroeconomic environment (strong reserves, balanced budget, stable currency), the IMF states that the time is ripe to make progress on such structural and institutional reforms as creating a real banking sector and further reduce arrears. What's lacking in the IMF Outlook?

Analysis and Commentary

Two Conflicting Policies in Search of Growth

by Alvin Rabushka, Michael S. Bernstamvia russianeconomy.org
Tuesday, April 10, 2001

Two rival predictions have been made on Russian economic growth. One, by experts from the IMF, WB, and Russians themselves, is that relaxing the 75% rule will, by slowing ruble appreciation, increase growth. The other, which we have made, is that relaxing the rule will slow growth.

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Research Teams


The Working Group on Foreign Policy and Grand Strategy explores an array of foreign policy topics to develop orienting principles about the most important policy challenges that face the United States.
 
 

The Arctic Security Initiative addresses the strategic and security implications of increased Arctic activity and identifies opportunities for shaping a safe, secure, and prosperous Arctic.