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Military Affairs

The Mystery of the Missing Godfather: Civil-Military Relations and the Shenzhou-5 Manned Space Mission

by James Mulvenonvia China Leadership Monitor
Friday, January 30, 2004

On October 15, 2003, China launched Shenzhou-5, its first manned space mission. China's space program was personally associated with Jiang during his tenure China's top leader, and he was prominently involved in the previous four Shenzhou launches. In the saturated media coverage of the launch and recovery, however, Jiang was noticeably absent. Instead, the new top party leader Hu Jintao was the center of the action, issuing the "important speech" on the success of the mission, and PRC Premier Wen Jiabao played a significant role. This report examines the possible reasons why Jiang was not in attendance at the Shenzhou-5 launch and assesses their implications for Chinese civil-military relations.

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Tehran, Coming Clean at Last?

by Charles Recknagelvia Hoover Digest
Friday, January 30, 2004

Iran recently agreed to grant international arms inspectors greater access to its nuclear facilities. Small comfort. By Hoover fellow Charles Recknagel.

Ripples of Battle

by Victor Davis Hansonvia Hoover Digest
Friday, January 30, 2004

The continuing aftershocks of September 11. By Hoover fellow Victor Davis Hanson.

Messages from a Lost World

by Elena Danielson, Zachary Baker, Maciej Siekierskivia Hoover Digest
Friday, January 30, 2004

A collection of thank-you letters from Polish children to Herbert Hoover following World War I offers a glimpse into a lost world of European Jewry. By Hoover Archives director Elena S. Danielson, Zachary Baker, and Maciej Siekierski.

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Do the Tories Matter?

by Gerald A. Dorfmanvia Hoover Digest
Friday, January 30, 2004

With Tony Blair’s popularity plummeting and a strong new leader at the helm of the Conservative Party, could the Tories be making a comeback at long last? By Hoover fellow Gerald A. Dorfman.

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Surviving Fidel

by William Ratliffvia Hoover Digest
Friday, January 30, 2004

The U.S. embargo against Cuba is an abysmal failure. Let’s end it. By Hoover fellow William Ratliff.

Sovereignty and Democracy

by Marc F. Plattnervia Policy Review
Monday, December 1, 2003

Self-government needs the nation-state

European Union, Properly Constructed

by Reginald Dalevia Policy Review
Monday, December 1, 2003

Americans need to take Europe more seriously

Keeping the Information Edge

by Robert R. Tomes, Kevin O'Connellvia Policy Review
Monday, December 1, 2003

Reforming intelligence for the age of terror

Foreign Policy

PRC Security Relations with the United States: Why Things Are Going So Well

by Thomas Christensenvia China Leadership Monitor
Thursday, October 30, 2003

My first contribution to China Leadership Monitor was completed 10 days before the terrorist attacks in New York, Washington, D.C., and Pennsylvania. In that essay, I laid out reasons for optimism and pessimism about trends in People's Republic of China (PRC) security relations with Taiwan, the United States, and U.S. allies in the region. If we apply the template laid out in that essay to the contemporary setting, it is quite clear that U.S.-PRC relations are more stable and constructive than they have been at any other time since the period prior to the Tiananmen massacre of June 4, 1989. In fact, on issues such as North Korea, Washington and Beijing are closer to the long-term goal of a security partnership, articulated by the Clinton administration, than anyone could have expected when the Bush administration first assumed office. The early months of 2001 saw tough rhetoric on China out of Washington and a brief crisis in bilateral relations following the collision of a People's Liberation Army (PLA) jet fighter and a U.S. Navy EP-3 surveillance plane. Since fall 2001, however, relations have improved dramatically. There are still problems, of course. For example, there is still much improvement to be made on issues such as PRC weapons proliferation. That having been said, cooperation in the war on terrorism has been real, as I have outlined in previous editions of CLM. Beijing was also not very vocal in its opposition to the war in Iraq. Moreover, in the past several weeks Beijing has been extremely helpful to Washington in addressing the North Korean nuclear crisis and pressuring Pyongyang to accept a multilateral forum for negotiations. This cooperation has led to the assessment by Secretary of State Colin Powell that U.S.-PRC relations are at their most constructive "in decades." In this essay, I lay out the reasons for this basic turnaround in U.S.-PRC bilateral relations.

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